2008 United States Senate election in Maine

Summary

The 2008 United States Senate election in Maine took place on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Susan Collins won re-election to a third term against Democrat Tom Allen, the U.S. Congressman from the 1st district.

2008 United States Senate election in Maine

← 2002 November 4, 2008 2014 →
 
Nominee Susan Collins Tom Allen
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 444,300 279,510
Percentage 61.33% 38.58%

Collins:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Allen:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Susan Collins
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Susan Collins
Republican

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

  • Tom Allen, U.S. Representative
  • Thomas Ledue, educator

Results edit

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Allen 69,932 85.6%
Democratic Tom Ledue 11,795 14.4%
Total votes 81,727 100.0%

General election edit

Campaign edit

Allen tried to tie Collins to George W. Bush, but these tactics failed as Collins maintained her image as a very popular, moderate, independent Republican. She obtained an endorsement from Independent and former Democratic U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman.[1]

When Collins was first elected in 1996 she pledged to serve only two terms (twelve years) in office, which would have been up in 2008. She instead decided to seek a third term, and defeated Allen with over 60% of the vote. She was the only Republican Senate candidate to win in 2008 in a state that was simultaneously won by Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama.

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[2] Likely R October 23, 2008
CQ Politics[3] Lean R October 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[4] Likely R November 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[5] Likely R November 1, 2008

Polling edit

Poll source Dates administered Tom
Allen (D)
Susan
Collins (R)
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008 41% 57%
Survey USA October 20, 2008 43% 54%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 43% 53%
Survey USA September 22–23, 2008 39% 55%
Rasmussen Reports September 17, 2008 42% 55%
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2008 40% 55%
Rasmussen Reports July 17, 2008 42% 49%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group June 18, 2008 31% 56%
Rasmussen Reports June 16, 2008 42% 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 14, 2008 42% 52%
Rasmussen Reports April 1, 2008 38% 54%
McLaughlin & Associates/
Coalition for a Democratic Workforce
March 6–9, 2008 31% 54%
Critical Insights October 12–30, 2007 34% 54%
Survey USA October 26–29, 2007 38% 55%
Research 2000/Daily Kos October 15–17, 2007 33% 56%

Results edit

General election results
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Susan Collins (incumbent) 444,300 61.33% +2.9%
Democratic Tom Allen 279,510 38.58% -3.0%
Write-in 620 0.09% n/a
Total votes 724,430 100.00% n/a
Republican hold

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ Lieberman Backs Susan Collins, Gives $5K To Her Re-election Campaign - CBS News
  2. ^ "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  3. ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
  4. ^ "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  5. ^ "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.

External links edit

  • Elections Division from the Maine Secretary of State
  • U.S. Congress candidates for Maine at Project Vote Smart
  • Maine, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
  • Maine U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
  • Maine U.S. Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
  • Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
  • Collins vs Allen graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • ME-Sen: Baseline poll kos, DailyKos, October 22, 2007
  • A Lopsided Senate Lineup Charlie Cook, Cook Political January 20, 2007