2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

Summary

The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
Turnout41.7%
 
Nominee Tom Corbett Dan Onorato
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jim Cawley H. Scott Conklin
Popular vote 2,172,763 1,814,788
Percentage 54.5% 45.5%

Corbett:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      90–100%
Onorato:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%     80–90%      90–100%
Tie:      50%
     No data

Governor before election

Ed Rendell
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Corbett
Republican

Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin.

As of 2023, this was the last time that a Republican was elected governor of Pennsylvania and the last time that Allegheny County was carried by a Republican candidate. This is the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the most recent and the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties.

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Dropped Out edit

Polling edit

Poll source Dates administered Dan
Onorato
Jack
Wagner
Joe
Hoeffel
Anthony
Williams
Chris
Doherty
Tom
Knox
Undecided
Muhlenberg/Morning Call May 7, 2010 35% 8% 11% 10% 36%
Rasmussen Reports May 6, 2010 34% 17% 9% 17% 17%
Quinnipiac April 28 – May 5, 2010 36% 8% 9% 8% 37%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call May 2, 2010 41% 5% 6% 8% 40%
Quinnipiac March 31 – April 5, 2010 20% 13% 15% 5% 47%
Research 2000 March 8–10, 2010 19% 10% 12% 3% 56%
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 2010 6% 6% 6% 1% 4% 72%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2009 19% 14% 11% 6% 4% 37%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 14% 7% 12% 5% 4% 46%

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Onorato—70–80%
  Onorato—60–70%
  Onorato—50–60%
  Onorato—40–50%
  Onorato—30–40%
  Wagner—30–40%
  Wagner—40–50%
  Wagner—50–60%
  Hoeffel—50–60%
  Williams—50–60%
Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Onorato 463,575 45.1
Democratic Jack Wagner 248,338 24.1
Democratic Anthony Williams 185,784 18.1
Democratic Joe Hoeffel 130,799 12.7
Total votes 1,028,496 100.0

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Dropped Out edit

Polling edit

Poll source Dates administered Jim
Gerlach
Tom
Corbett
Sam
Rohrer
Undecided
Quinnipiac March 31 – April 5, 2010 58% 7% 35%
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 2010 26% 4% 65%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2009 10% 54% 30%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 13% 42% 43%

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Corbett—80–90%
  Corbett—70–80%
  Corbett—60–70%
  Corbett—50–60%
  Rohrer—50–60%
  Rohrer—70–80%
Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Corbett 589,249 68.7
Republican Sam Rohrer 267,893 31.3
Total votes 857,142 100.0

General election edit

Candidates edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[3] Lean R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political Report[4] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[5] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[7] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling edit

Poll source Dates administered Tom
Corbett (R)
Dan
Onorato (D)
Quinnipiac October 25–30, 2010 52% 42%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2010 52% 43%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Archived January 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine October 28, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2010 50% 45%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 48% 46%
Quinnipiac October 13–17, 2010 49% 44%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 2010 54% 40%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2010 53% 41%
Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster September 29, 2010 36% 32%
Suffolk University Archived September 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine September 24–27, 2010 47% 40%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[permanent dead link] September 18–23, 2010 46% 37%
CNN/Time September 17–21, 2010 52% 44%
Quinnipiac September 15–19, 2010 54% 39%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 2010 49% 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 30, 2010 50% 37%
Rasmussen Reports August 16, 2010 48% 38%
Public Policy Polling August 14–16, 2010 48% 35%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 50% 39%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2010 48% 38%
Quinnipiac July 6–11, 2010 44% 37%
Rasmussen Reports June 29, 2010 49% 39%
Public Policy Polling June 19–21, 2010 45% 35%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 49% 33%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 2010 49% 36%
Quinnipiac[permanent dead link] May 4–10, 2010 43% 37%
Rasmussen Reports April 15, 2010 45% 36%
Quinnipiac March 30 – April 5, 2010 45% 33%
Public Policy Polling March 29 – April 1, 2010 45% 32%
Rasmussen Reports March 16, 2010 46% 29%
Research 2000 March 8–10, 2010 40% 34%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 52% 26%
Rasmussen Reports December 10, 2009 44% 28%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 47% 28%

Results edit

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Corbett 2,172,763 54.49%
Democratic Dan Onorato 1,814,788 45.51%
Total votes 3,987,551 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

See also edit

References edit

  1. ^ a b "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State. May 18, 2010. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
  2. ^ "Meehan quits governor's race".
  3. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  4. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  5. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  6. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. ^ "2010 General Election". Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on May 21, 2012. Retrieved November 2, 2010.

External links edit

  • Pennsylvania Department of State Archived February 12, 2012, at the Wayback Machine
    • Official election results
    • Official general information for voting, no candidate lists
  • Pennsylvania Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
  • Campaign contributions for 2010 Pennsylvania Governor from Follow the Money
  • 2010 Pennsylvania Governor General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Pennsylvania Governor from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 Pennsylvania Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 Pennsylvania Governor's Race from CQ Politics
  • Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites
  • Dan Onorato for Governor (Archived)
  • Tom Corbett for Governor (Archived)