2011_Mississippi_gubernatorial_election Knowpia

2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election
	County results; Bryant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; DuPree: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Governor before election; Haley Barbour; Republican	Elected Governor ; Phil Bryant; Republican

The 2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011. Incumbent Republican Governor of Mississippi Haley Barbour was unable to run for a third term due to term limits.

Republican nominee Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant defeated the Democratic nominee, Hattiesburg Mayor Johnny DuPree. Sworn in on January 10, 2012, Bryant became only the third Republican Governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction. This is the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was also the first time that Issaquena County and Benton County voted Republican since Reconstruction.

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Phil Bryant, Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi
Dave Dennis, former New Orleans Federal Reserve Board Chairman
Ron Williams, businessman
Hudson Holliday, Pearl River County Supervisor
James Broadwater, businessman

Polling edit

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant	Dave Dennis	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	400	± 4.9%	63%	14%	3%^[1]	20%

Results edit

Republican primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Phil Bryant	172,300	59.46
	Republican	Dave Dennis	74,546	25.72
	Republican	Ron Williams	25,555	8.82
	Republican	Hudson Holliday	13,761	4.75
	Republican	James Broadwater	3,626	1.25
Total votes			289,788	100.00

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Johnny DuPree, Hattiesburg Mayor
Bill Luckett, businessman and attorney
William Bond Compton, Jr., 2007 candidate for governor
Guy Dale Shaw

Results edit

Results by county

DuPree

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%

Luckett

40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%

Shaw

40–50%

Democratic primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Johnny DuPree	179,748	43.57
	Democratic	Bill Luckett	161,833	39.23
	Democratic	William Bond Compton, Jr.	40,452	9.81
	Democratic	Guy Dale Shaw	30,497	7.39
Total votes			412,530	100.00

Runoff results edit

Results by county

DuPree

50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%

Luckett

50–60%
60–70%
70–80%

Tie

50–60%

Democratic primary runoff results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Johnny DuPree	177,767	54.99
	Democratic	Bill Luckett	145,517	45.01
Total votes			323,284	100.00

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source	Ranking	As of
Rothenberg Political Report^[5]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Governing^[6]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Cook^[7]	Safe R	November 4, 2011
Sabato^[8]	Safe R	November 4, 2011

Polling edit

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 4–6, 2011	796	± 3.5%	54%	40%	—	6%
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	56%	25%	—	19%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dave Dennis (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	41%	28%	—	31%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hudson Holliday (R)	Johnny DuPree (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	37%	28%	—	35%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Bryant (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	53%	27%	—	20%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dave Dennis (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	43%	27%	—	32%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hudson Holliday (R)	Bill Luckett (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 24–27, 2011	817	± 3.4%	38%	28%	—	34%

Results edit


Candidate		Party	Popular vote		Electoral vote
Candidate		Party	Votes	%	Votes	%
	Phil Bryant	Republican Party	544,851	60.98	82	67.21
	Johnny DuPree	Democratic Party	348,617	39.02	40	32.79
Total			893,468	100.00	122	100.00

Source: Mississippi Secretary of State

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic edit

Adams (Largest city: Natchez)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican edit

Benton (largest municipality: Ashland)
Chickasaw (Largest city: Houston)
Copiah (Largest city: Hazlehurst)
Issaquena (Largest city: Mayersville)
Jasper (Largest city: Bay Springs)
Prentiss (Largest city: Booneville)
Wayne (largest municipality: Waynesboro)
Winston (Largest city: Louisville)

References edit

^ Hudson Holliday 2%, James Broadwater 1%, Ron Williams 0%
^ "Certified Republican Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
^ "Certified Democrat Primary Results" (PDF). Sos.ms.gov. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
^ "An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests". Governing. July 25, 2011. Archived from the original on August 1, 2011.
^ "2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS". The Cook Political Report. September 15, 2011. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011.
^ "2012 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball.