2017 United Kingdom general election in Wales

Summary

The 2017 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 8 June 2017; all 40 seats in Wales were contested.[1] The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.

2017 United Kingdom general election in Wales

← 2015 8 June 2017 2019 →

All 40 Welsh seats to the House of Commons
Turnout68.6% Increase3.0%
  First party Second party Third party
  Jeremy Corbyn Theresa May
Leader Jeremy Corbyn Theresa May Leanne Wood
Party Labour Conservative Plaid Cymru
Leader since 12 September 2015 11 July 2016 16 March 2012
Last election 25 seats, 36.9% 11 seats, 27.2% 3 seats, 12.1%
Seats won 28 8 4
Seat change Increase3 Decrease3 Increase1
Popular vote 771,354 528,839 164,466
Percentage 48.9% 33.6% 10.4%
Swing Increase12.1% Increase6.3% Decrease1.7%

Results by constituency

The Labour party won the most votes in Wales, with the Conservatives winning overall across the UK.[2]

Results summary edit

Party Seats Votes
Total Gains Losses Net +/- % seats Total % Change
Labour 28 3 0  3 70.0 771,354 48.9  12.1
Conservative 8 0 3  3 20.0 528,839 33.6  6.3
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0  1 10.0 164,466 10.4  1.7
Liberal Democrats 0 0 1  1 71,039 4.5  2.0
UKIP 0 0 0 0 31,376 2.0  11.6
Green 0 0 0 0 5,128 0.3  2.2
  Others 0 0 0 0 3,612 0.2  0.1
Total 40 1,575,814 Turnout 68.6
Popular vote
Labour
48.9%
Conservative
33.6%
Plaid Cymru
10.4%
Liberal Democrats
4.5%
UKIP
2.0%
Greens
0.3%
Other
0.2%
Parliament seats
Labour
70%
Conservative
20%
Plaid Cymru
10%

Analysis edit

The Labour Party remained the largest party in Wales and won an even larger majority of seats after gaining three seats from the Conservatives. Its 48.9% of the vote and total of 771,354 popular votes were its best in Wales since 1997.[3]

The Conservative Party, who entered the campaign with high hopes of making gains, saw its representation reduced back to the levels it won in the 2010 general election.[4]

Plaid Cymru won back Ceredigion after the constituency's 12 years in Liberal Democrat hands, and brought its tally up to four seats, which was its best result showing since 2001 and one of its joint best in history.[5][6]

Plaid Cymru's gain in Ceredigion and the Liberal Democrats' failure to make gains elsewhere meant that this was the first time in Welsh electoral history where there were no Liberal or Liberal Democrat MPs elected to represent a Welsh constituency in a Westminster Parliamentary election.[7][8]

Target seats edit

Labour edit

Conservative edit

Plaid Cymru edit

Opinion polling edit

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con UKIP Plaid Lib Dem Green Others Lead
8 June General Election results 1,575,814 48.9% 33.6% 2.0% 10.4% 4.5% 0.3% 0.2% 15.3%
5–7 June 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,074 46% 34% 5% 9% 5% 1% 12%
29–31 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,014 46% 35% 5% 8% 5% 0% 0% 11%
18–21 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,025 44% 34% 5% 9% 6% 1% 1% 10%
5–7 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,018 35% 41% 4% 11% 7% 1% 1% 6%
4 May 2017 2017 Welsh local elections
19–21 April 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,029 30% 40% 6% 13% 8% 2% 1% 10%
18 Apr Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
3–6 Jan 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,034 33% 28% 13% 13% 9% 2% 0 5%
18–21 Sep 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,001 35% 29% 14% 13% 7% 2% 0 6%
13 Jul 2016 Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
30 Jun–4 Jul 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,010 34% 23% 16% 16% 8% 1% 2% 11%
5 May 2016 Welsh Assembly election and Ogmore by-election
19–22 Apr 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,001 37% 23% 17% 13% 7% 2% 1% 14%
7–11 Apr 2016 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,011 38% 22% 18% 13% 6% 2% 1% 16%
7–18 Mar 2016 Welsh Election Study Archived 25 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 3,272 36% 25% 16% 14% 6% 3%[a] 11%
9–11 Feb 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,024 37% 27% 18% 13% 4% 1% - 10%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,005 37% 27% 17% 12% 4% 2% - 10%
21–24 Sep 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,151 42% 26% 16% 10% 5% 2% - 16%
24–26 Jun 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,151 37% 28% 15% 12% 4% 3% 1% 9%
7 May 2015 General Election results 1,498,433 36.9% 27.2% 13.6% 12.1% 6.5% 2.6% 1.0% 9.7%

See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ Including the Green Party.

References edit

  1. ^ "Election 2017 – Wales". BBC News. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
  2. ^ "UK Election Statistics: 1918-2022, A Long Century of Elections" (PDF). House of Commons Library. p. 22.
  3. ^ Colombeau, Joseph (29 June 2017). "The 2017 General Election – the numbers behind the result – London Datastore". Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  4. ^ Watson, Leon (9 June 2017). "Tory hopes of breakthrough in Wales dashed as Labour gain Gower, Vale of Clwyd and Cardiff North". The Daily Telegraph. ISSN 0307-1235. Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  5. ^ "Meet Ben Lake - Wales' youngest Member of Parliament". ITV News. 9 June 2017. Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  6. ^ Coles, Jon (10 June 2017). "Plaid wrestle Ceredigion from Lib Dems". The Ceredigion Herald. Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  7. ^ "No Liberal MP in Wales for the first time since 1859". BBC News. 9 June 2017. Retrieved 27 December 2020.
  8. ^ Shipton, Martin (9 June 2017). "The end of Liberalism in Wales as party loses Ceredigion seat". WalesOnline. Retrieved 27 December 2020.