The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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Raimondo: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Fung: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four year terms.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 66,978 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Matt Brown | 39,300 | 33.5 | |
Democratic | Spencer Dickinson | 10,926 | 9.3 | |
Total votes | 117,204 | 100.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Research Inc. (R-Morgan) | July 23–24, 2018 | 400 | – | 44% | 33% | – | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung) Archived August 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 22% | 4%[36] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Joe Trillo |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 433 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 24% | 10% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Allan Fung | 18,577 | 56.4 | |
Republican | Patricia Morgan | 13,208 | 40.1 | |
Republican | Giovanni Feroce | 1,147 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 32,932 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[41] | Lean D | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[42] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[43] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[44] | Lean D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[46] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[47] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[48][a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[49] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates | October 20–24, 2018 | 416 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4%[51] | 8% |
SocialSphere | October 5–9, 2018 | 502 | – | 40% | 32% | 17% | – | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | September 27 – October 6, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 3%[52] | 11% |
Fleming & Associates Archived September 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 14–17, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4%[53] | 9% |
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 3%[54] | 14% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 33% | 33% | 16% | – | 18% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 38% | 36% | 6% | – | 17% |
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 24% | 8% | 5%[55] | 22% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 39% | 20% | 19% | – | 22% |
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 25% | 9% | – | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 9% | 12% | 6%[56] | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 36% | 7% | 6%[57] | 30% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 25% | 35% | 14% | – | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 8%[58] | 36% |
SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 30% | 20% | 18% | – | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 8% | 11% | 10%[59] | 43% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 198,122 | 52.64% | +11.94% | |
Republican | Allan Fung | 139,932 | 37.18% | +0.94% | |
Independent | Joe Trillo | 16,532 | 4.39% | N/A | |
Moderate | Bill Gilbert | 10,155 | 2.70% | -18.68% | |
Independent | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 6,223 | 1.65% | N/A | |
Compassion | Anne Armstrong | 4,191 | 1.11% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,246 | 0.33% | +0.10% | ||
Total votes | 376,401 | 100% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |