2020_Campania_regional_election Knowpia

2020 Campania regional election
All 51 seats to the Regional Council of Campania
Turnout	55.54% (3.61%)
President before election; Vincenzo De Luca; Democratic Party	President ; Vincenzo De Luca; Democratic Party

The 2020 Campanian regional election took place in Campania on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy.^[1]^[2]

Electoral system edit

The Regional Council of Campania (Consiglio Regionale della Campania) is composed of 50 members, elected in a party-list proportional representation system. The seats are divided among five constituencies corresponding to the region's provinces: Avellino with 4 seats, Benevento with 2 seats, Caserta with 8 seats, Naples with 27 seats, and Salerno with 9 seats. Regional councillors are selected from party lists at the constituency level, with an electoral threshold at 3%. An additional seat is reserved to the President-elect, who is the candidate winning a plurality of votes. A majority bonus of 60% is granted to the winning coalition.^[3]^[4]

Background edit

In February 2020, the direction of the Democratic Party (PD) officially confirmed that the centre-left candidate for President of Campania would be the incumbent President Vincenzo De Luca.^[5]

The centre-right coalition picked former President Stefano Caldoro, a member of Forza Italia (FI), as its candidate, after hypotheses of a League's candidate or Mara Carfagna (FI) were abandoned.^[6]^[7]

The Five Star Movement (M5S) discarded the idea of a coalition with the centre-left, and proposed its own candidate Valeria Ciarambino.^[6] Previously, the M5S had proposed the incumbent Minister of Environment Sergio Costa as its candidate.^[8]

Parties and candidates edit

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate
Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Votes (%)	Seats	Candidate
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party (PD)	19.5	15	Vincenzo De Luca
			De Luca for President	4.9	4
			Free Campania (CL)	4.8	3
			Democratic Centre (CD)	2.8	2
			Italian Socialist Party (PSI)	2.2	1
			Green Europe – Solidary Democracy (EV–DemoS)	1.2	1
			Really – Animalist Party (D–PA) (incl. IiC)	—	—
			More Campania in Europe (+C) (incl. PLI)	—	—
			Us Campanians (NC)	—	—
			Democratic Making – Populars (FD–Pop.)	—	—
			Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates (LD–CP–Mod.)	—	—
			Democrats and Progressives (DeP) (incl. Art.1, RD)	—	—
			Italia Viva (IV)	—	—
			For People and the Community (Per)	—	—
			Italian Republican Party – League for Italy (PRI–LpI)	—	—
	Centre-right coalition		Forza Italia (FI)	17.8	7	Stefano Caldoro
			Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre (CP–UDC) (incl. NPSI, C!)	9.6^[a]	4^[b]
			Brothers of Italy (FdI)	5.5	2
			League (Lega)	—	—
			Alliance of the Centre (AdC)	—	—
			Southern Identity – Southern Macroregion (IM–MS)	—	—
	Five Star Movement (M5S)			17.0	7	Valeria Ciarambino
	Terra (incl. SI, PRC, PCI, PdS, èViva)			2.3	–	Luca Saltalamacchia
	Power to the People (PaP)			—	—	Giuliano Granato
	Third Pole (TP)			—	—	Sergio Angrisano
	Party of Good Manners			—	—	Giuseppe Cirillo

^ 7.2 % of the vote to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2.4 % of the vote to UDC.
^ 2 seats to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2 seats to UDC.

Opinion polls edit

Candidates edit

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	De Luca	Caldoro	Ciarambino	Others	Undecided	Lead
Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size				Others	Undecided	Lead
21 Sep 2020	Opinio (exit poll)	–	54.0–58.0	23.0–27.0	10.5–14.5	–	–	31.0
1–4 Sep 2020	Ixè	1,000	54.4	26.9	15.0	3.7	23.7	27.5
29 Aug 2020	Ipsos	930	50.4	29.0	15.9	4.8	8.4	21.4
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020	SWG	1,000	51–55	29–33	11–15	—	26	18–26
27 Aug 2020	Tecnè	2,000	45–49	33–37	14–18	2–4	—	8–14
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020	Noto	—	46–50	34–38	11–15	1–5	—	8–14
3–4 Aug 2020	Tecnè	1,000	44.5	39.0	15.0	1.5	—	5.5
20–22 Jul 2020	Winpoll	1,002	58.6	28.9	9.9	2.6	21.0	29.7
25–26 Jun 2020	Winpoll Arcadia	800	65.4	21.9	10.9	—	—	43.5
24–25 Jun 2020	Noto	1,000	45.0	39.0	13.0	3.0	—	6.0
17–20 Dec 2019	Winpoll Arcadia	700	39.5	36.7	23.8	–	—	2.8

Hypothetical candidates edit

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	De Luca	Caldoro	Other CDX	Ciarambino	Costa	Others	Undecided	Lead
Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size						Others	Undecided	Lead
20 Dec–25 Dec 2019	Index	1,000	36.0	47.0	—	15.0	—	2.0	27.2	11.0
20 Dec–25 Dec 2019	Index	1,000	35.0	—	49.0^[a]	14.0	—	2.0	25.9	14.0
12–15 Nov 2019	Noto^[b]	1,000	34.0	42.0	—	—	20.0	4.0	30.0	8.0
			32.0	—	44.0^[a]	—	22.0	2.0	25.8	12.0
			34.0	—	42.0^[c]	—	20.0	2.0	26.8	8.0
27 Sep 2019	Winpoll Arcadia	–	37.0	—	20.4^[d]	5.2	7.9	33.0^[e]	—	8.5

^ ^a ^b Mara Carfagna
^ This poll was commissioned by a political party.
^ Clemente Mastella
^ Carfagna 16.9% and Edmondo Cirielli 4.5%.
^ De Magistris, 28.5%

Parties edit

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Centre-left							M5S	Centre-right				Others	Undecided	Lead
			PD	IV	EV	DeP	+E	DL	Other	M5S	FI	Lega	FdI	Other
									Other					Other
1–4 Sep 2020	Ixè	1,000	20.6	1.5	—	—	—	17.3	7.1	19.4	8.8	8.6	7.8	6.2	2.7	26.3	1.2
29 Aug 2020	Ipsos	930	19.2	12.0				12.2	4.1	17.2	14.0	3.3	10.2	1.0	2.7	14.5	2.0
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020	SWG	1,000	18.5–20.5	1.5–2.5	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	17.0–19.0	—	13.0–15.0	5.5–7.5	9.5–11.5	7.5–9.5	—	1.0–2.0	29.0	-0.5–3.5
20–22 Jul 2020	Winpoll	1,002	15.0	1.9	0.9	0.8	1.3	17.2	7.7	17.0	6.0	14.4	14.9	0.7	1.4	—	0.2
25–26 Jun 2020	Winpoll Arcadia	800	21.3	0.9	1.2	1.1	—	—	20.6	21.7	8.2	10.7	10.5	2.7	1.1	—	0.4
29–30 May 2020	Tecnè	1,000	21.7	2.4	0.9	2.7	2.3	—	1.7	24.3	14.1	15.3	12.4	—	2.2	—	2.6
17–20 Dec 2019	Winpoll Arcadia	700	22.7	2.5	2.1	2.6	2.4	—	1.2	26.2	9.7	18.8	8.8	—	3.0	—	3.5
30 Nov–2 Dec 2019	Index	1,000	16.0	3.0	2.0	—	—	5.0	8.0	15.0	14.0	17.0	11.0	4.0	5.0	17.2	1.0
12–15 Nov 2019	Noto^[a]	1,000	22.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	—	—	3.0	18.0	16.0	13.0	10.0	3.0	8.0	28.0	4.0

^ This poll was commissioned by a political party.

Results edit

The election saw the victory of the centre-left candidate and incumbent President of Campania, Vincenzo De Luca, who won almost 69.5% of the vote with more than 45% lead over the centre-right candidate Stefano Caldoro. The Five Star Movement candidate, Valeria Ciarambino, arrived third with less than 10% of the vote. The Democratic Party was the first party by number of votes, with 16.9% of preferences, followed by the list of De Luca and by the Five Star Movement.^[9]

20–21 September 2020 Campanian regional election results
Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats

	Vincenzo De Luca	1,789,017	69.48	1		Democratic Party	398,490	16.90	8
						De Luca for President	313,666	13.30	6
						Italia Viva	173,870	7.37	4
						Free Campania	122,367	5.19	2
						Democratic Making – Populars	104,857	4.45	2
						Us Campanians	102,652	4.35	2
						Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates	84,769	3.60	2
						Democratic Centre	76,141	3.23	2
						Italian Socialist Party	60,100	2.55	1
						More Campania in Europe	45,500	1.93	1
						Green Europe – Solidary Democracy	42,996	1.82	1
						Really – Animalist Party	33,681	1.43	1
						For the People and the Community	26,452	1.12	–
						Democrats and Progressives	25,254	1.07	–
						Italian Republican Party	5,745	0.24	–
					Total		1,616,540	68.57	32
	Stefano Caldoro	464,921	18.06	1		Brothers of Italy	140,918	5.98	4
						League	133,152	5.65	3
						Forza Italia	121,695	5.16	2
						Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre	45,326	1.92	1
						Alliance of the Centre	6,432	0.27	–
						Southern Identity – South Macroregion	3,333	0.14	–
					Total		450,856	19.12	10
	Valeria Ciarambino	255,714	9.93	–		Five Star Movement	233,974	9.92	7
	Giuliano Granato	30,955	1.20	–		Power to the People	26,711	1.13	–
	Luca Saltalamacchia	27,475	1.07	–		Terra	25,125	1.07	–
	Sergio Angrisano	4,028	0.16	–		Third Pole	3,056	0.13	–
	Giuseppe Cirillo	2,608	0.10	–		Party of Good Manners	1,348	0.06	–

Blank and invalid votes		199,386	7.19
Total candidates		2,574,718	100.00	2	Total parties		2,357,610	100.00	49
Registered voters/turnout		4,996,921	55.52
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Results^{[permanent dead link]}

Popular vote

PD			16.90%
De Luca			13.30%
M5S			9.92%
IV			7.37%
FdI			5.98%
Lega			5.65%
CL			5.19%
FI			5.16%
FD–Pop.			4.45%
NC			4.35%
LD–Mod			3.60%
CD			3.23%
PSI			2.55%
+E			1.93%
UDC			1.92%
EV–DemoS			1.82%
PA			1.43%
Others			5.25%

President

De Luca			69.48%
Caldoro			18.06%
Ciarambino			9.93%
Others			2.53%

Seats summary

Centre-left			64.70%
Centre-right			21.57%
M5S			13.73%

Turnout edit

Region	Time
	20 Sep			21 Sep
	12:00	19:00	23:00	15:00
Campania	11.32%	26.52%	38.92%	55.53%
Province	Time
	20 Sep			21 Sep
	12:00	19:00	23:00	15:00
Avellino	9.55%	24.95%	37.01%	51.86%
Benevento	10.06%	24.80%	36.22%	51.73%
Caserta	11.21%	27.00%	40.20%	57.61%
Naples	11.84%	26.78%	38.86%	55.33%
Salerno	11.24%	26.67%	39.62%	57.11%
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout^{[permanent dead link]}

Elected councillors edit


Constituency		Member
Campania (at-large)	PD	Vincenzo De Luca^[a]
Campania (at-large)	FI	Stefano Caldoro^[b]
Naples	PD	Mario Casillo
	PD	Loredana Raia
	PD	Carmela Fiola
	PD	Massimiliano Manfredi
	DLP	Vittoria Lettieri
	DLP	Lucia Fortini
	DLP	Carmine Mocerino
	DLP	Paola Raia
	M5S	Valeria Ciarambino
	M5S	Gennaro Saiello
	M5S	Maria Muscarà
	M5S	Luigi Cirillo
	FdI	Michele Schiano di Visconti
	FdI	Marco Nonno
	LD–Mod	Giuseppe Sommese
	LD–Mod	Pasquale Di Fenza
	CD	Giovanni Mensorio
	CD	Raffaele Maria Pisacane
	IV	Francesco Iovino
	Lega	Severino Nappi
	CL	Giovanni Porcelli
	FI	Anna Rita Patriarca
	FD–Pop	Felice Di Maiolo
	+E	Fulvio Frezza
	EV–DemoS	Francesco Emilio Borrelli
	UDC	Gennaro Cinque


Constituency		Member
Salerno	PD	Francesco Picarone
	DLP	Luca Cascone
	M5S	Michele Cammarano
	IV	Tommaso Pellegrino
	FdI	Nunzio Carpentieri
	Lega	Attilio Pierro
	CL	Giovanni Savastano
	FD–Pop	Corrado Matera
	PSI	Andrea Volpe
Caserta	PD	Gennaro Oliviero
	DLP	Giovanni Zannini
	M5S	Salvatore Aversano
	IV	Vincenzo Santangelo
	FdI	Alfonso Piscitelli
	Lega	Gianpiero Zinzi
	FI	Massimo Grimaldi
	NC	Luigia Maria Iodice
Avellino	PD	Maurizio Petracca
	M5S	Vincenzo Ciampi
	IV	Vincenzo Alaia
	D–PA	Livio Petitto
Benevento	PD	Erasmo Mortaruolo
Benevento	NC	Luigi Abbate

^ As elected President of the Region.
^ As runner-up candidate to President of the Region.

References edit

^ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
^ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
^ "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 6 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
^ "Regioni.it - n. 2689 del 24-03-2015 - Campania al voto con una nuova legge elettorale - Regioni.it". www.regioni.it. Archived from the original on 16 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
^ "Regionali Campania 2020, la direzione Pd ufficializza la scelta: «Il nostro candidato è De Luca»". il Mattino (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020, la guida: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 31 July 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
^ "Regionali Campania 2020, la Lega vuole il candidato ma Forza Italia frena: tocca a noi". il Mattino (in Italian). 10 May 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
^ "Regionali, il M5S lancia Costa in Campania. Ma il Pd si schiera con De Luca". la Repubblica (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
^ Bufi, Fulvio (22 September 2020). "Elezioni regionali 2020 in Campania, i risultati definitivi". Corriere della Sera (in Italian). Retrieved 24 September 2020.

[fn1-9] 7.2 % of the vote to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2.4 % of the vote to UDC.

[fn2-10] 2 seats to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2 seats to UDC.

[Carfagna-11] Mara Carfagna

[party-commissioned-12] This poll was commissioned by a political party.

[13] Clemente Mastella

[14] Carfagna 16.9% and Edmondo Cirielli 4.5%.

[15] De Magistris, 28.5%

[party-commissioned-16] This poll was commissioned by a political party.

[18] As elected President of the Region.

[19] As runner-up candidate to President of the Region.

[1] "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.

[2] Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche

[3] "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 6 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.

[4] "Regioni.it - n. 2689 del 24-03-2015 - Campania al voto con una nuova legge elettorale - Regioni.it". www.regioni.it. Archived from the original on 16 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.

[5] "Regionali Campania 2020, la direzione Pd ufficializza la scelta: «Il nostro candidato è De Luca»". il Mattino (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.

[money.it-6] "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020, la guida: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 31 July 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.

[7] "Regionali Campania 2020, la Lega vuole il candidato ma Forza Italia frena: tocca a noi". il Mattino (in Italian). 10 May 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.

[8] "Regionali, il M5S lancia Costa in Campania. Ma il Pd si schiera con De Luca". la Repubblica (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.

[17] Bufi, Fulvio (22 September 2020). "Elezioni regionali 2020 in Campania, i risultati definitivi". Corriere della Sera (in Italian). Retrieved 24 September 2020.

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Summary