2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

Summary

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 4 0
Seats won 4 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 828,266 330,485
Percentage 70.23% 28.02%
Swing Increase 7.67% Decrease 7.17%

Overview edit

Popular vote
Republican
70.23%
Democratic
28.02%
Libertarian
1.75%
House seats
Republican
100%
Democratic
0%

District edit

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:[1]

District Republican Democratic Libertarian Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 237,596 100% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 237,596 100% Republican Hold
District 2 184,093 55.37% 148,410 44.63% 0 0.00% 332,503 100% Republican Hold
District 3 214,960 64.31% 106,325 31.81% 12,977 3.88% 334,262 100% Republican Hold
District 4 191,617 69.67% 75,750 27.54% 7,668 2.79% 275,035 100% Republican Hold
Total 828,266 70.23% 330,485 28.02% 20,645 1.75% 1,179,396 100%

District 1 edit

2020 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
   
Nominee Rick Crawford
Party Republican
Popular vote 237,596
Percentage 100.0%

 

U.S. Representatives before election

Rick Crawford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Rick Crawford
Republican

The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent was Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results edit

Arkansas's 1st congressional district, 2020[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Crawford (incumbent) 237,596 100.0
Total votes 237,596 100.0
Republican hold

District 2 edit

2020 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee French Hill Joyce Elliott
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 184,093 148,410
Percentage 55.4% 44.6%

 
Results by county
Hill:      60–70%      70–80%
Elliott:      50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

French Hill
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

French Hill
Republican

The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent was Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Endorsements edit

General election edit

Debate edit

2020 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
French Hill Joyce Elliott
1 Oct. 12, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube P P

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Tossup November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Tossup October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[7] Lean R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Tossup November 2, 2020
RCP[9] Lean R November 2, 2020

Polling edit

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
French
Hill (R)
Joyce
Elliott (D)
Other Undecided
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020 586 (LV) ± 4.5% 48% 48% 4%[b] 1%
ALG Research (D)[permanent dead link][A] October 16–21, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47%
Hendrix College October 11–13, 2020 644 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 46% 9%
ALG Research (D)[A] September 27–29, 2020 511 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 48%
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[B] September 10–16, 2020 605 (LV) 46% 48%
ALG Research (D)[A] September 9–13, 2020 511 (LV)[c] 50% 46%
Hendrix College/TalkBusiness September 4–9, 2020 698 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 46% 7%
ALG Research (D)[A] June 18–24, 2020 511 (LV)[c] 50% 43%

Results edit

Arkansas's 2nd congressional district, 2020[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 184,093 55.4
Democratic Joyce Elliott 148,410 44.6
Total votes 332,503 100.0
Republican hold

District 3 edit

2020 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee Steve Womack Celeste Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 214,960 106,325
Percentage 64.3% 31.8%

 
Results by county
Womack:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representatives before election

Steve Womack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Steve Womack
Republican

The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent was Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit
  • Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner[26]

Other edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

General election edit

Debate edit

2020 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Steve Womack Celeste Williams Michael Kalagias
1 Oct. 13, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube P P P

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results edit

Arkansas's 3rd congressional district, 2020[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 214,960 64.3
Democratic Celeste Williams 106,325 31.8
Libertarian Michael Kalagias 12,977 3.9
Total votes 334,262 100.0
Republican hold

District 4 edit

2020 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2018
2022 →
     
Nominee Bruce Westerman William Hanson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 191,617 75,750
Percentage 69.7% 27.5%

 
Results by county
Westerman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hanson:      50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Bruce Westerman
Republican

The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent was Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit
  • William Hanson, former law professor[27]

Other edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

General election edit

Debate edit

2020 Arkansas's 4th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Bruce Westerman Williams Hanson Frank Gilbert
1 Oct. 13, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube P P P

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[7] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[8] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[9] Safe R November 2, 2020

Results edit

Arkansas's 4th congressional district, 2020[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 191,617 69.7
Democratic William Hanson 75,750 27.5
Libertarian Frank Gilbert 7,668 2.8
Total votes 275,035 100.0
Republican hold

See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
  3. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.

References edit

  1. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  2. ^ a b c d Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  3. ^ a b c d e f "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org.
  4. ^ a b c d "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  5. ^ a b c d "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  6. ^ a b c d "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c d "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  8. ^ a b c d "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  9. ^ a b c d "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  10. ^ a b c d "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  11. ^ "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  12. ^ "Democratic nominee Joe Biden formally endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". KATV. September 18, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  13. ^ Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  14. ^ "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
  15. ^ "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Archived from the original on October 7, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  16. ^ Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  17. ^ "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  18. ^ Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
  19. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  20. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
  22. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
  23. ^ "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action. Archived from the original on March 20, 2020. Retrieved July 28, 2020.
  24. ^ McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  25. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  26. ^ "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
  27. ^ "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.

External links edit

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
  • Rick Crawford (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
  • Joyce Elliott (D) for Congress Archived February 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  • French Hill (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
  • Michael Kalagias (L) for Congress Archived July 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  • Celeste Williams (D) for Congress
  • Steve Womack (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
  • William Hanson (D) for Congress Archived December 28, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  • Bruce Westerman (R) for Congress