2020 United States Senate election in Colorado

Summary

The 2020 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in Colorado

← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee John Hickenlooper Cory Gardner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,731,114 1,429,492
Percentage 53.50% 44.18%

Hickenlooper:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gardner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No data

U.S. senator before election

Cory Gardner
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

Under Colorado law, the filing deadline for U.S. Senate candidates was March 17, 2020, the third Tuesday in March of the election year; the primary election occurred on June 30.[1][2] Incumbent senator Cory Gardner lost re-election to former governor John Hickenlooper.[3] Gardner was unopposed in the Republican primary, and Hickenlooper defeated former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary.[4]

This race was one of two Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trump lost in 2020; the other was in Maine. Many pollsters and pundits[5][6] considered Gardner to be the most vulnerable Republican senator facing re-election in 2020 due to his narrow victory in 2014, the state's leftward shift, and Trump's unpopularity in the state. As predicted, Hickenlooper easily defeated Gardner by a 9.3-point margin. However, Gardner did manage to outperform Donald Trump in the concurrent presidential election by roughly four points.[7] This became the first election Gardner had lost in his political career.[8] This was the third consecutive election where this seat flipped parties, and also the second consecutive election in which the incumbent senator lost re-election to a second term for this particular seat. At the age of 68, Hickenlooper is the oldest first term senator from Colorado.

Background edit

Gardner was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014, narrowly defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Udall in a very successful election year for Republicans. Gardner was widely considered vulnerable in 2020 due to Colorado's recent Democratic trend and his support for Trump.[9] Polling showed that more voters had a negative view of Gardner compared to a positive one.[10] Gardner also faced a four year grassroots campaign across the state by progressive political activists to hold him accountable for his votes, featured a cardboard cutout dubbed "Cardboard Cory".[11] The seat was expected to be highly competitive and the most likely Republican-held seat to flip Democratic. The Democratic nominee, former governor John Hickenlooper, had a consistent double-digit lead over Gardner in the polls.[12][13]

Various minor scandals in the days leading up to the June 30 Democratic primary sparked speculation that Romanoff might win, but Hickenlooper had an advantage in name recognition, and harsh negative attacks by Romanoff reportedly led many state Democrats and voters to sour on him.[14]

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Withdrawn edit

  • Margot Dupre, estate agent[16][17]
  • Gail Prentice, veteran and business owner[18][19]

Endorsements edit

Cory Gardner (R)
U.S. presidents
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Other Individuals

Results edit

Republican primary results [28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent) 554,806 100.00%
Total votes 554,806 100.00%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

John Hickenlooper
U.S. presidents
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Newspapers
Unions
Organizations
Andrew Romanoff
State officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jena
Griswold
John
Hickenlooper
Mike
Johnston
Andrew
Romanoff
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA June 19–24, 2020 575 (LV) ± 6.0% 58% 28% 15%[d]
Myers Research and Strategic Services[A] June 16–17, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 39%
Unspecified polling firm[A] October 2019 – (LV)[e] 68% 19%
September 3, 2019 Johnston withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) 60%[f] 3% 9% 27%[g]
[h] 66% 17% 17%[i]
August 21, 2019 Hickenlooper announces his candidacy
August 9, 2019 Griswold announces that she will not run
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group July 25–28, 2019 600 (LV) 6% 61% 10% 8% 15%[d]
Public Policy Polling (D) July 12–14, 2019 561 (LV) 4% 44% 3% 12% 38%[j]
Hypothetical polling
with Dan Baer and John Hickenlooper
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Dan
Baer
John
Hickenlooper
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) 11% 72% 17%
with John Hickenlooper and Mike Johnston
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Mike
Johnston
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) 69% 14% 18%
with John Hickenlooper and Alice Madden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Alice
Madden
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) 69% 14% 17%
with John Hickenlooper and Angela Williams
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
John
Hickenlooper
Angela
Williams
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) 70% 11% 18%

Caucus edit

On March 7, 2020, the Colorado Democratic Party held a non-binding Senate primary preference poll at its caucus sites. Attendees could choose delegates to county and then state conventions. If a candidate received at least 30% of the delegates at the state convention they would be placed on the ballot. Some candidates were not listed because they instead chose to attempt to collect signatures to reach the ballot. Candidates needed 1,500 signatures from each congressional district. Hickenlooper and Underwood chose to do both. Romanoff collected the needed signatures as of March 8, 2020.[96][97]

Caucus results edit

Romanoff was the only candidate to get more than 30% in the initial precinct caucuses. Hickenlooper withdrew from the assembly process soon afterward, choosing to qualify for the ballot exclusively by petition. Ballot access for assembly candidates will be decided at the state assembly. Caucus winners do not always receive the party's nomination; Romanoff won them in the 2010 Democratic primary for Colorado's Senate race, but Michael Bennet won the party's nomination that year.[98]

The aggregate results of the various precinct caucuses on March 7, 2020, were:[99]

Candidate Total Raw Votes Percentage of Vote Won (%)
Andrew Romanoff 8,629 54.98
John Hickenlooper 4,761 30.34
Trish Zornio 976 6.21
Stephany Rose Spaulding 771 4.91
Uncommitted 520 3.31
Erik Underwood 35 0.22

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Hickenlooper
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Romanoff
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[100]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Hickenlooper 585,826 58.65%
Democratic Andrew Romanoff 412,955 41.35%
Total votes 998,781 100.00%

Other candidates edit

Libertarian primary edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Results edit

Libertarian primary results [103]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Raymon Doane 3,477 62.41%
Libertarian Gaylon Kent 2,094 37.59%
Total votes 5,571 100.00%

Unity Party edit

Nominee edit

  • Stephan "Chairman Seku" Evans, former candidate for Mayor of Denver[104]

Eliminated at Unity Party convention edit

Withdrawn edit

Write-in candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

General election edit

Debate edit

Host Date & Time Link(s) Participants
John

Hickenlooper

Cory Gardner
Colorado State University October 13, 2020
6:00pm MDT
[113] Present Present

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[114] Lean D (flip) October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[115] Lean D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[116] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[117] Likely D (flip) October 30, 2020
Politico[118] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
RCP[119] Lean D (flip) October 23, 2020
DDHQ[120] Likely D (flip) November 3, 2020
538[121] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020
Economist[122] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020

Endorsements edit

Cory Gardner (R)
U.S. presidents
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Other Individuals
Newspapers
John Hickenlooper (D)
U.S. presidents
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Local officials
Newspapers
Unions
Organizations

Polling edit

Graphical Summary edit

Poll Results edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Other /
Undecided
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun October 29 – November 1, 2020 502 (LV)[k] ± 4.4% 42% 53%
Data for Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 54% 2%[l]
Swayable Archived November 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 23 – November 1, 2020 443 (LV) ± 6% 43% 57%
Morning Consult October 22–31, 2020 727 (LV) ± 4% 44% 52%
Morning Consult October 11–20, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 50%
RBI Strategies & Research October 12–16, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 53% 7%[m]
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine October 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 51% 7%[n]
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 11–14, 2020 1,013 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 53% 3%[o]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson October 8–13, 2020 519 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 51% 7%[p]
Morning Consult October 2–11, 2020 837 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 50%
YouGov/University of Colorado October 5–9, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.64% 40% 48% 12%[q]
SurveyUSA October 1–6, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 48% 14%[r]
Morning Consult September 11–20, 2020 613 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 42%[s] 49%
Morning Consult September 8–17, 2020 599 (LV)[k] ± (2% – 4%) 44% 46%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[C] August 30 – September 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 51% 4%[t]
Global Strategy Group (D)[D] August 28 – September 1, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 52% 5%
Morning Consult August 21–30, 2020 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 39%[s] 48% 13%
Morning Consult August 16–25, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 48%
Public Policy Polling (D)[E] August 18–19, 2020 731 (V) ± 3.2% 42% 51% 7%[u]
Morning Consult August 6–15, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 49%
Morning Consult July 27 – August 5, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 50%
Morning Consult July 17–26, 2020 616 (LV) ± 4.0% 42%[v] 48% 11%[w]
Morning Consult July 13–22, 2020 ~600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 50%
Public Policy Polling[F] June 29–30, 2020 840 (V) ± 3.4% 40% 51% 9%[x]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson May 1–3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 54% 10%[y]
Montana State University Bozeman April 10–19, 2020 379 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 48% 21%[z]
Keating Research October 10–14, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 53% 5%
Emerson College Archived August 20, 2019, at the Wayback Machine August 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 53% 8%
Global Strategy Group (D)[G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 49% 13%
Public Policy Polling[B] August 8–11, 2019 739 (V) ± 3.6% 38% 51% 12%
Hypothetical polling
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 48% 14%
Global Strategy Group January 31 – February 4, 2019 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 51% 9%
DFM Research Archived January 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine January 2–5, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 38% 46% 16%
Change Research (D)[H] December 2–4, 2018 540 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 47%
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived November 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine[I] August 2–3, 2017 628 (V) ± 3.8% 41% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] June 30 – July 1, 2017 870 (V) ± 3.6% 39% 53% 8%
on whether Cory Gardner deserves to be re-elected
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Yes No Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward/AARP July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 50% 19%[aa]
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado October 5–9, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.64% 39% 47% 14%[ab]
Climate Nexus February 15–19, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 48% 12%[ac]
Fabrizio Ward/AARP July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% 14%[ad]
with Mike Johnston
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Cory
Gardner (R)
Mike
Johnston (D)
Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 50% 11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 2%[ae] 14%

Results edit

The election was not particularly close, with Hickenlooper winning by 9.32%. Hickenlooper's win was expected, as Colorado has moved more toward being a blue state. Key to Hickenlooper's victory was Denver County and its surrounding suburban counties, Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, and Jefferson, the latter of which had been pivotal to Gardner's victory in 2014.[citation needed] Gardner did well in the typically red El Paso County, home of Colorado Springs. Gardner also did well in many rural areas of the state. However, Hickenlooper's strong performance in heavily populated counties proved too much for Gardner to overcome. Hickenlooper was also likely helped by Joe Biden, who won the state by 13.5%.

Hickenlooper is the first senator from Colorado who was also the Governor of Colorado since Senator Edwin Johnson was elected in 1936. Hickenlooper was sworn in as Senator on January 3, 2021, for a six-year term that expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2020[137][138]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Hickenlooper 1,731,114 53.50% +7.24%
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent) 1,429,492 44.18% -4.03%
Libertarian Raymon Doane 56,262 1.74% -0.85%
Approval Voting Daniel Doyle 9,820 0.30% N/A
Unity Stephen Evans 8,971 0.28% -0.04%
Total votes 3,235,659 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican
By county
County[139] John Hickenlooper
Democratic
Cory Gardner
Republican
Raymon Doane
Libertarian
Daniel Doyle
Approval Voting
Stephen Evans
Unity
Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adams 130,409 55.33 98,341 41.72 4,916 2.09 1,071 0.45 963 0.41 32,068 13.60 235,700
Alamosa 3,734 48.45 3,800 49.31 104 1.35 40 0.52 29 0.38 -66 -0.86 7,707
Arapahoe 204,054 58.53 136,713 39.21 5,694 1.63 1,074 0.31 1,111 0.32 67,341 19.31 348,646
Archuleta 3,591 39.82 5,225 57.93 163 1.81 26 0.29 14 0.16 -1,634 -18.12 9,019
Baca 329 14.98 1,816 82.70 32 1.46 12 0.55 7 0.32 -1,487 -67.71 2,196
Bent 702 31.12 1,488 65.96 33 1.46 26 1.15 7 0.31 -786 -34.84 2,256
Boulder 154,552 75.20 47,321 23.03 2,869 1.40 317 0.15 457 0.22 107,231 52.18 205,516
Broomfield 27,447 59.41 17,855 38.65 712 1.54 82 0.18 100 0.22 9,592 20.76 46,196
Chaffee 6,948 51.17 6,344 46.72 232 1.71 32 0.24 22 0.16 604 4.45 13,578
Cheyenne 119 10.58 995 88.44 7 0.62 2 0.18 2 0.18 -876 -77.87 1,125
Clear Creek 3,494 53.94 2,835 43.77 121 1.87 15 0.23 12 0.19 659 10.17 6,477
Conejos 1,975 46.26 2,243 52.54 24 0.56 18 0.42 9 0.21 -268 -6.28 4,269
Costilla 1,313 62.91 713 34.16 40 1.92 12 0.57 9 0.43 600 28.75 2,087
Crowley 456 26.19 1,230 70.65 36 2.07 12 0.69 7 0.40 -774 -44.46 1,741
Custer 1,059 29.47 2,456 68.34 62 1.73 10 0.28 7 0.19 -1,397 -38.87 3,594
Delta 5,764 29.86 13,118 67.96 308 1.60 79 0.41 34 0.18 -7,354 -38.10 19,303
Denver 305,602 77.74 80,163 20.39 4,984 1.27 963 0.24 1,376 0.35 225,439 57.35 393,088
Dolores 338 23.69 1,064 74.56 17 1.19 4 0.28 4 0.28 -726 -50.88 1,427
Douglas 97,553 42.13 130,045 56.16 3,279 1.42 332 0.14 350 0.15 -32,492 -14.03 231,559
Eagle 17,902 62.27 10,350 36.00 384 1.34 53 0.18 59 0.21 7,552 26.27 28,748
El Paso 152,126 40.36 212,057 56.27 9,932 2.64 1,451 0.39 1,314 0.35 -59,931 -15.90 376,880
Elbert 4,257 22.46 14,340 75.64 299 1.58 35 0.18 26 0.14 -10,083 -53.19 18,957
Fremont 7,201 28.40 17,450 68.81 508 2.00 129 0.51 71 0.28 -10,249 -40.42 25,359
Garfield 14,999 48.72 15,027 48.81 598 1.94 92 0.30 71 0.23 -28 -0.09 30,787
Gilpin 2,183 52.29 1,867 44.72 99 2.37 15 0.36 11 0.26 316 7.57 4,175
Grand 4,579 46.36 5,075 51.38 181 1.83 28 0.28 15 0.15 -496 -5.02 9,878
Gunnison 6,922 62.13 3,978 35.71 193 1.73 30 0.27 18 0.16 2,944 26.42 11,141
Hinsdale 244 39.35 365 58.87 9 1.45 0 0.00 2 0.32 -121 -19.52 620
Huerfano 2,077 47.52 2,160 49.42 97 2.22 25 0.57 12 0.27 -83 -1.90 4,371
Jackson 164 18.92 684 78.89 12 1.38 5 0.58 2 0.23 -520 -59.98 867
Jefferson 210,619 55.87 158,276 41.99 6,191 1.64 1,026 0.27 849 0.23 52,343 13.88 376,961
Kiowa 93 10.45 783 87.98 10 1.12 3 0.34 1 0.11 -690 -77.53 890
Kit Carson 628 16.46 3,138 82.25 36 0.94 8 0.21 5 0.13 -2,510 -65.79 3,815
La Plata 19,873 56.05 14,776 41.68 632 1.78 71 0.20 101 0.28 5,097 14.38 35,453
Lake 2,297 58.11 1,511 38.22 109 2.76 15 0.38 21 0.53 786 19.88 3,953
Larimer 116,419 53.91 94,585 43.80 3,914 1.81 544 0.25 471 0.22 21,834 10.11 215,933
Las Animas 3,509 44.28 4,217 53.21 130 1.64 45 0.57 24 0.30 -708 -8.93 7,925
Lincoln 434 16.46 2,141 81.22 39 1.48 17 0.64 5 0.19 -1,707 -64.76 2,636
Logan 2,117 20.20 8,167 77.92 131 1.25 37 0.35 29 0.28 -6,050 -57.72 10,481
Mesa 29,478 33.05 57,236 64.17 1,785 2.00 457 0.51 244 0.27 -27,758 -31.12 89,200
Mineral 302 39.89 437 57.73 15 1.98 1 0.13 2 0.26 -135 -17.83 757
Moffat 1,120 16.45 5,544 81.41 106 1.56 31 0.46 9 0.13 -4,424 -64.96 6,810
Montezuma 5,538 36.45 9,273 61.03 272 1.79 47 0.31 64 0.42 -3,735 -24.58 15,194
Montrose 7,321 29.45 16,978 68.31 410 1.65 92 0.37 55 0.22 -9,657 -38.85 24,856
Morgan 3,787 27.91 9,544 70.33 136 1.00 69 0.51 35 0.26 -5,757 -42.42 13,571
Otero 3,428 36.60 5,731 61.18 113 1.21 67 0.72 28 0.30 -2,303 -24.59 9,367
Ouray 2,291 57.45 1,622 40.67 68 1.71 3 0.08 4 0.10 669 16.77 3,988
Park 4,800 39.20 7,100 57.98 281 2.29 31 0.25 34 0.28 -2,300 -18.78 12,246
Phillips 463 18.74 1,980 80.13 22 0.89 6 0.24 0 0.00 -1,517 -61.39 2,471
Pitkin 8,761 73.88 2,935 24.75 130 1.10 13 0.11 20 0.17 5,826 49.13 11,859
Prowers 1,435 26.09 3,966 72.11 55 1.00 26 0.47 18 0.33 -2,531 -46.02 5,500
Pueblo 42,791 48.93 42,098 48.14 1,720 1.97 533 0.61 308 0.35 693 0.79 87,450
Rio Blanco 529 14.47 3,065 83.86 46 1.26 13 0.36 2 0.05 -2,536 -69.38 3,655
Rio Grande 2,502 39.85 3,635 57.89 84 1.34 40 0.64 18 0.29 -1,133 -18.04 6,279
Routt 10,284 61.12 6,256 37.18 223 1.33 39 0.23 24 0.14 4,028 23.94 16,826
Saguache 1,887 55.84 1,405 41.58 55 1.63 11 0.33 21 0.62 482 14.26 3,379
San Juan 328 59.64 207 37.64 10 1.82 2 0.36 3 0.55 121 22.00 550
San Miguel 3,808 74.36 1,227 23.96 76 1.48 2 0.04 8 0.16 2,581 50.40 5,121
Sedgwick 320 22.11 1,103 76.23 14 0.97 9 0.62 1 0.07 -783 -54.11 1,447
Summit 12,175 66.14 5,817 31.60 353 1.92 25 0.14 37 0.20 6,358 34.54 18,407
Teller 5,039 30.06 11,307 67.46 339 2.02 54 0.32 22 0.13 -6,268 -37.40 16,761
Washington 346 11.55 2,617 87.35 22 0.73 4 0.13 7 0.23 -2,271 -75.80 2,996
Weld 63,647 38.19 99,424 59.65 2,761 1.66 470 0.28 376 0.23 -35,777 -21.46 166,678
Yuma 652 13.10 4,273 85.85 29 0.58 19 0.38 4 0.08 -3,621 -72.75 4,977
Totals 1,731,114 53.50 1,429,492 44.18 56,262 1.74 9,820 0.30 8,971 0.28 301,622 9.32 3,235,659

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also edit

Notes edit

Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Romanoff's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by 314 Action
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Colorado, a progressive and pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. ^ Giffords endorsed Hickenlooper prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. ^ End Citizens United supports candidates who oppose the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling
  7. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Mike Johnston
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
Voter samples
  1. ^ A judge ruled that Lorena Garcia could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  2. ^ A judge ruled that Michelle Ferrigno Warren could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ a b Undecided with 15%
  5. ^ Not yet released
  6. ^ Standard VI response
  7. ^ Undecided with 16%; Baer, Madden and Williams with 2%; Walsh with 1%; "someone else" with 4%
  8. ^ With only Hickenlooper and Romanoff as candidates
  9. ^ Undecided with 17%
  10. ^ Undecided with 29%; Walsh with 4%; Williams with 3%; Baer and Madden with 1%
  11. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%
  13. ^ Doane (L) with 2%; Evans (Unity) with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  14. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  15. ^ Doane (L) with 2%; Doyle (Approval Voting), Evans (Unity) and "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 1%
  16. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  17. ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  18. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 8%
  19. ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  20. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  21. ^ Undecided with 7%
  22. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and voters who are undecided or for third party candidates
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 6%
  24. ^ Undecided with 9%
  25. ^ Undecided with 9%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  26. ^ "Don't know" with 17%; "other/none of the above" with 4%
  27. ^ "Refused" with 3%; Undecided with 16%
  28. ^ "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 12%
  29. ^ "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
  30. ^ "Undecided" with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 4%
  31. ^ Would not vote/would not vote for U.S. Senate with 2%

References edit

  1. ^ Griswold, Jena (2019). "Major Party Candidate Petition". Colorado Secretary of State. State of Colorado. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
  2. ^ "Colorado Revised Statutes Title 1 Elections § 1-4-801 Designation of party candidates by petition". Colorado Revised Statutes. State of Colorado. 2019. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
  3. ^ Alas, Horus (November 3, 2020). "Democrat Hickenlooper Flips Colorado Senate Seat". www.usnews.com.
  4. ^ "2020 State Primary Results Certificate" (PDF). Retrieved January 31, 2021.
  5. ^ "The most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020". Roll Call. March 5, 2019. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
  6. ^ "He's a vulnerable Republican in a state that's trending blue. So why won't he defy Trump on impeachment?". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
  7. ^ "Colorado Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  8. ^ "Why John Hickenlooper won and Cory Gardner lost Colorado's U.S. Senate race". Retrieved January 31, 2021.
  9. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart (March 5, 2019). "The most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020". Roll Call.
  10. ^ Frank, Sandra Fish, John (July 2, 2020). "Cory Gardner starts the U.S. Senate contest in negative territory. And the reason why is simple". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved June 20, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  11. ^ Frank, John (November 25, 2020). "How the Cardboard Cory protest in Colorado helped Democrats defeat Gardner in the U.S. Senate race". Colorado Sun.
  12. ^ Dickinson, Tim (November 22, 2019). "The Battle for the Senate". Rolling Stone.
  13. ^ Frank, Jesse Paul, John (November 4, 2020). "John Hickenlooper easily defeats Cory Gardner in Colorado's U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved June 20, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  14. ^ Hulse, Carl (June 27, 2020). "Hickenlooper Stumbles in Colorado Race, Complicating Democrats' Senate Push". The New York Times.
  15. ^ "GARDNER, CORY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  16. ^ Frank, John (April 13, 2020). "How the coronavirus snuffed the primary for U.S. Senate and cemented Hickenlooper as the front-runner". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  17. ^ "The Green Papers: 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. May 15, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  18. ^ Busing, Jo (February 19, 2020). "Lincoln Day Dinner gives insight to election season". Akron News-Reporter. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  19. ^ "CO US Senate – R Primary". Our Campaigns. May 6, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  20. ^ "Trump hands Cory Gardner election year wins". Denver Post. May 19, 2020.
  21. ^ a b c d e "George W. Bush to hold virtual fundraiser for Republican senators". The Washington Post.
  22. ^ a b Politics, Ernest Luning, Colorado (September 13, 2019). "Ex-Trump advisor John Bolton revives PACs, endorses Cory Gardner's bid for Senate re-election". Colorado Politics.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  23. ^ a b "Nikki Haley Stumps For Cory Gardner, Says He's 'Got Coloradans' Backs'". August 20, 2019.
  24. ^ a b c d Families, Campaign for Working. "Bauer Endorses Gardner for Congress in CO-4". www.prnewswire.com (Press release).
  25. ^ a b RJC. "The RJC is proud to announce that the RJC PAC is endorsing @CoryGardner for reelection to the US Senate. Senator Gardner has been a strong friend top Israel and helped advance the GOP agenda on Capitol Hill!". Twitter.
  26. ^ a b PAC, Huck. "Candidates – Huck PAC". www.huckpac.com.
  27. ^ a b Schwartz, Brian (June 18, 2019). "Koch network backs vulnerable GOP Sen. Cory Gardner as he seeks reelection in 2020". CNBC.
  28. ^ "UNITED STATES SENATOR – REPUBLICAN PARTY". Secretary of State of Colorado. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  29. ^ Garcia, Justin (August 21, 2019). "John Hickenlooper is running for U.S. Senate: "I'm not done fighting for the people of Colorado"". The Denver Post. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
  30. ^ a b c Ernest Luning (February 17, 2019). "Colorado Democrats lining up to take on Cory Gardner in 2020 U.S. Senate race". Colorado Springs Gazette. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  31. ^ Staver, Anna (February 7, 2019). "Andrew Romanoff joins list of Democrats competing to challenge Cory Gardner". The Denver Post. Retrieved February 7, 2019.
  32. ^ Clark, Kyle (September 12, 2019). "Record-fundraiser Dan Baer drops US Senate bid, supports Hickenlooper in 2020". Retrieved September 12, 2019.
  33. ^ Luning, Ernest (November 27, 2019). "They also ran: 11 Democrats who have left the race for US Senate". Colorado Politics. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  34. ^ a b Paul, Jesse (May 7, 2020). "Here are the Democrats running to unseat Republican Cory Gardner — and who's [sic] campaigns have ended". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  35. ^ Luning, Ernest. "Judge rules Bray won't appear on primary ballot despite COVID-19 obstacles to petition drive". Colorado Politics. Retrieved April 30, 2020.
  36. ^ Luning, Ernest (May 1, 2020). "Diana Bray endorses former rival Andrew Romanoff in Democratic US Senate primary". Colorado Politics. Retrieved May 5, 2020.
  37. ^ Paul, Jesse (September 19, 2019). "Denise Burgess abruptly ends Senate campaign amid Colorado Sun questions about federal tax liens". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved September 19, 2019.
  38. ^ Luning, Ernest (July 16, 2019). "Democrats running for Gardner's US Senate seat rake in $4.5M for second quarter". Retrieved October 18, 2019.
  39. ^ Paul, Jesse (May 5, 2020). "Colorado Supreme Court removes second Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, Lorena Garcia, from primary ballot". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved May 5, 2020.
  40. ^ Luning, Ernest (March 17, 2020). "Goldfischer quits Democratic U.S. Senate primary". Colorado Politics. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  41. ^ Paul, Jesse (September 3, 2019). "Democrat Mike Johnston ends his U.S. Senate bid, says he didn't want to run negative campaign". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
  42. ^ Ernest Luning (February 27, 2019). "Douglas County Democrat Danielle Kombo jumps in race for Gardner's US Senate seat". Colorado Politics. Retrieved March 12, 2019.
  43. ^ "Dustin Leitzel Announces New Campaign Website". Online PR Media. April 19, 2017. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
  44. ^ Roberts, Michael (July 31, 2019). "Alice Madden on Her Plan to Unseat Cory Gardner in U.S. Senate Race". Westword. Retrieved October 27, 2019.
  45. ^ Burness, Alex (October 11, 2019). "Alice Madden exits U.S. Senate race, says avenues closed after Hickenlooper". The Denver Post. Retrieved October 11, 2019.
  46. ^ Miller, Blair (October 11, 2019). "Alice Madden drops out of Democratic field of Colorado's 2020 US Senate race". The Denver Channel. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  47. ^ "Keith Pottratz of Grand Junction bids for Cory Gardner's seat". The Denver Post. December 2, 2018. Retrieved December 10, 2018.
  48. ^ Luning, Ernest (April 18, 2020). "Andrew Romanoff wins top line in U.S. Senate primary at Democrats' state assembly". Colorado Politics. Retrieved April 18, 2020.
  49. ^ Luning, Ernest (May 1, 2020). "Former rival Stephany Spaulding endorses Lorena Garcia in Democratic US Senate primary". Colorado Politics. Retrieved May 6, 2020.
  50. ^ "CO US Senate – D Primary". Our Campaigns. May 6, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  51. ^ Justin Wingerter (September 11, 2019). "John Walsh drops out of U.S. Senate race". Denver Post. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  52. ^ "No. 20SA140, Griswold v. Ferrigno Warren—Election Law" (PDF). Colorado Supreme Court. May 4, 2020. Retrieved May 5, 2020.
  53. ^ Wingerter, Justin (November 27, 2019). "Angela Williams drops out of U.S. Senate race, will seek re-election to Colorado Senate". The Denver Post.
  54. ^ Joey Bunch (April 15, 2020). "Trish Zornio suspending U.S. Senate campaign as field tightens". Colorado Politics. Retrieved April 15, 2020.
  55. ^ Bravender, Robin (April 8, 2019). "Rep. Diana DeGette 'not talking' about her 2020 primary". The Colorado Independent. Retrieved September 10, 2019.
  56. ^ Trujillo, Anne (February 24, 2019). "Crisanta Duran, former Colorado House Speaker, announces primary challenge to Rep. Diana DeGette". The Denver Post. Retrieved August 15, 2019.
  57. ^ "Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold is not running for US Senate". Denver Post. August 9, 2019.
  58. ^ a b Garcia, Nic (November 14, 2018). "Which Democrat will challenge U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner? Four names sit on top of insiders' lists". The Denver Post.
  59. ^ Littwin, Mike (January 31, 2019). "Littwin: In search of sage to explain why savvy Cory Gardner endorsed toxic Donald Trump". Colorado Independent. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
  60. ^ "Former Colorado House Speaker Crisanta Duran launches primary challenge to Democrat Diana DeGette". The Colorado Sun. February 24, 2019. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
  61. ^ Ernest Luning (March 19, 2019). "Ex-U.S. Attorney for Colorado John Walsh leaves law firm to consider run against Cory Gardner". Colorado Springs Gazette. Retrieved March 20, 2019.
  62. ^ "Here are the Democrats running to unseat Colorado's Cory Gardner". The Colorado Sun. March 27, 2019. Retrieved April 20, 2022.
  63. ^ a b Paul, Jesse (August 24, 2019). "DSCC officially throws their weight behind Hickenlooper in U.S. Senate race, irking primary rivals". The Colorado Sun.
  64. ^ a b "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
  65. ^ a b "The Win Big Project". The Win Big Project.
  66. ^ a b "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
  67. ^ a b Birkeland, Bente (August 22, 2019). "Hickenlooper Kicks Off Bid For Senate Seat With Rep. Perlmutter And Beer". Colorado Public Radio.
  68. ^ a b "The Case for John Hickenlooper". Medium. June 26, 2020.
  69. ^ a b c d "Hickenlooper Announces More Endorsements from Colorado Legislators". Hickenlooper for Colorado. March 12, 2020.
  70. ^ a b Luning, Ernest (February 18, 2020). "Senate President Leroy Garcia endorses Hickenlooper in Democratic US Senate primary". Colorado Politics.
  71. ^ a b "Our view: Endorsement in the U.S. Senate primary". The Durango Herald. June 12, 2020. Archived from the original on June 17, 2020. Retrieved June 17, 2020.
  72. ^ a b "Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC". Bend the Arc: Jewish Action.
  73. ^ a b Luning, Ernest (May 19, 2020). "Congressional Black Caucus PAC endorses Hickenlooper in Senate primary". Colorado Politics.
  74. ^ a b "John Hickenlooper for Senate (D-CO)- Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  75. ^ a b Kornbluh, Jacob (May 20, 2020). "DMFI announces fourth wave of congressional endorsements". Jewish Insider.
  76. ^ a b "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  77. ^ a b "Former Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords Comes to Denver to Back Gun Safety Champion John Hickenlooper for Senate". Giffords. March 9, 2020.
  78. ^ a b "J Street PAC proudly endorses Governor John Hickenlooper for Senate in Colorado". Hickenlooper for Colorado. June 18, 2020.
  79. ^ a b "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
  80. ^ a b Connnon, Courtnee (August 18, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses John Hickenlooper for U.S. Senate". League of Conservation Voters.
  81. ^ a b c d "IN THE LOOP: Big Endorsements and Conversations on the Trail". Hickenlooper for Colorado. April 25, 2020.
  82. ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses John Hickenlooper for Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. February 13, 2020.
  83. ^ a b "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
  84. ^ a b "SIERRA CLUB ENDORSES JOHN HICKENLOOPER FOR US SENATE". Sierra Club. August 4, 2020.
  85. ^ a b @Hickenlooper (January 2, 2020). "I am proud to earn the endorsement of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus @BOLDDems. I look forward to working with them in the Senate to prioritize Colorado workers and get Washington working again" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  86. ^ a b "Tweet". twitter.com. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  87. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates — 314actionfund". 314 Action. Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  88. ^ a b "Endorsements". Andrew Romanoff for Senate. Archived from the original on June 3, 2020. Retrieved May 29, 2020.
  89. ^ Luning, Ernest (May 4, 2020). "Climate activist Bill McKibben endorses Romanoff in Democratic US Senate primary". Colorado Politics. Retrieved May 28, 2020.
  90. ^ "Marianne Williamson: Romanoff For Senate". Colorado Pols. January 21, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2020.
  91. ^ "ENDORSEMENT: Replace Trump's loyal Gardner with Colorado's trusted Romanoff". Sentinel Colorado Vote. June 11, 2020. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  92. ^ "Andrew Romanoff". Climate Hawks Vote. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
  93. ^ Our Revolution [@OurRevolution] (May 12, 2020). "We are so proud to endorse @Romanoff2020 for U.S. Senate in Colorado. He is running to rescue our planet, repair our democracy, and restore the American Dream. #ProgressiveChampion #PoilticalRevolution @OurRevBoulder" (Tweet). Retrieved May 12, 2020 – via Twitter.
  94. ^ "2020 Endorsements". PDAmerica. Archived from the original on May 20, 2020. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
  95. ^ "Sunrise backs Hickenlooper opponent Andrew Romanoff in Colorado Senate Primary, plans to launch field program in January". Medium. November 18, 2019. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  96. ^ "Romanoff claims victory in Colorado Democratic Senate caucuses". KUSA.com. March 8, 2020.
  97. ^ "Colorado's Democratic caucuses reveal party split between Romanoff's values, Hickenlooper's electability". The Colorado Sun. March 8, 2020.
  98. ^ Catanese, David (March 17, 2010). "Romanoff wins Colorado caucuses". Politico. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  99. ^ "Colorado Caucus 2020". Archived from the original on June 22, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  100. ^ "UNITED STATES SENATOR – DEMOCRATIC PARTY". Secretary of State of Colorado. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  101. ^ "2020 State Primary Candidate List". sos.state.co.us.
  102. ^ "Gaylon Kent For Congress". facebook.com.
  103. ^ "UNITED STATES SENATOR – LIBERTARIAN PARTY". Secretary of State of Colorado. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  104. ^ a b c d "United States Senate election in Colorado, 2020". Ballotpedia.
  105. ^ "United States Senate election in Colorado, 2020". Ballotpedia. March 17, 2020. Retrieved June 19, 2020.
  106. ^ Luning, Ernest (September 18, 2019). "Colorado's tiny Unity Party facing first-ever primary in US Senate race". Colorado Politics. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  107. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Colorado 2020 Senate Candidate List". August 14, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
  108. ^ "BELLAMY, V?RONIQUE MARIE DR. – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  109. ^ Veronique Bellamy [@yaynewfriend] (June 30, 2020). "It's over. I had to flee the country since I was being stalked by an... admirer with a gun" (Tweet). Retrieved July 5, 2020 – via Twitter.
  110. ^ "CAMP, JOSEPH ANTHONY – Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  111. ^ "CO US Senate". Our Campaigns. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  112. ^ a b c "2020 General Election Petition Candidates with Formats Approved". Colorado Secretary of State. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  113. ^ "Gardner, Hickenlooper commit to televised debate in Colorado's US Senate race". Colorado Politics. September 11, 2020.
  114. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  115. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  116. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  117. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  118. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  119. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  120. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  121. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  122. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  123. ^ a b c Luning, Ernest (October 3, 2020). "ENDORSEMENT WATCH: Tea Party Express, clean energy group back Gardner in US Senate race". Colorado Politics.
  124. ^ Nath, Sayantani (June 11, 2021). "What is Scott Cawthon's net worth? Animator donated over $14K to Trump, GOP in 2020". Retrieved April 12, 2023.
  125. ^ "ENDORSMENT: Reelecting Gardner is the easiest call on the ballot". Colorado Springs Gazette. September 27, 2020. Retrieved September 29, 2020.
  126. ^ Bennet, Michael [@michaelbennet] (October 6, 2020). "I'm pleased once again to have the chance to reiterate my strong endorsement of John Hickenlooper. @Hickenlooper" (Tweet). Retrieved August 5, 2021 – via Twitter.
  127. ^ "IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements". ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020. Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  128. ^ "U.S. Senate – Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  129. ^ "Colorado – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  130. ^ a b Luning, Ernest (September 19, 2020). "ENDORSEMENT WATCH: Hickenlooper wins support from farm workers, service employees unions". Colorado Politics.
  131. ^ "John Hickenlooper – Black Economic Alliance PAC". Black Economic Alliance.
  132. ^ Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  133. ^ "Our Candidates". MoveOn.org.
  134. ^ "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on September 18, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  135. ^ "John W. Hickenlooper". facebook.com.
  136. ^ "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 14 for House, Senate". nrdcactionfund.org. September 3, 2020.
  137. ^ "2020 General Election Candidate Ballot Order". Colorado Secretary of State. July 13, 2020. Archived from the original on August 4, 2020. Retrieved August 19, 2020.
  138. ^ "2020 General Election – Official Compiled Results". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.
  139. ^ "Colorado U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 3, 2021.

Further reading edit

  • Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", Washingtonpost.com

External links edit

Official campaign websites
  • Raymon Doane (L) for Senate
  • Stephan "Chairman Seku" Evans (U) for Senate
  • Cory Gardner (R) for Senate
  • John Hickenlooper (D) for Senate
  • Danny Skelly (I write-in) for Senate Archived June 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine