2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

In part due to worse than expected results for Republicans during the 2018 midterms, Pennsylvania is expected to be close during the 2020 election.[3]

As of November 2019, Donald Trump, Joe Walsh, and Bill Weld are the declared Republican candidates. A number of Democrats are running or have expressed interest in running, with Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden being some of the major declared candidates.[4][5][6] Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania since 2007, had also expressed interest in running.[7] However, in January 2019, he announced he would not be running.[8]

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call November 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 43% 52% 4% 2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 ± 4.4% 44% 47% 3% 4%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 ± 4.2% 41% 45% 14%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 ± 4.2% 42% 43% 15%
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 42% 53% 1% 3%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 ± 6.9% 45% 46% 8%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 ± 3.4% 45% 55%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 ± 4.0% 43% 50% 4%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 ± 4.2% 45% 32% 23%
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 44% 45% 4% 6%


Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 45% 45% 3% 5%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 ± 3.4% 49% 51%
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other Undecided
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 46% 44% 4% 5%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 ± 3.4% 49% 51%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 ± 4.0% 47% 40% 8%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call November 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 45% 50% 4% 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 ± 4.4% 44% 45% 2% 7%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 ± 4.2% 42% 44% 14%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 ± 4.2% 44% 41% 15%
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 43% 50% 2% 3%
Tulchin Research (D)[A] Apr 14–18, 2019 400 ± 4.9% 43% 51%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 ± 3.4% 45% 55%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 19–21, 2019 632 ± 4.0% 44% 44% 8%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call November 4–9, 2019 410 (RV) ± 6.0% 45% 50% 4% 1%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Oct 13–25, 2019 661 ± 4.4% 45% 44% 2% 6%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Sep 7–9, 2019 527 ± 4.2% 41% 43% 16%
Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Jun 11–13, 2019 565 ± 4.2% 45% 34% 21%
Quinnipiac University May 9–14, 2019 978 ± 4.2% 44% 47% 3% 4%
Emerson College Mar 26–28, 2019 808 ± 3.4% 48% 52%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 813 ± 3.4% 38% 46% 16%

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign

References

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ Taylor, Jessica (November 9, 2018). "What 2018 Elections Could Tell Us About The 2020 Presidential Map". National Public Radio. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Taylor, Kate (9 February 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  5. ^ Zhou, Li (21 January 2019). "Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign". Vox. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  6. ^ Detrow, Scott (1 February 2019). "Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020". NPR. Retrieved 10 February 2019.
  7. ^ Caldwell, Leigh Ann (November 15, 2018). "Pennsylvania Senator Bob Casey on a presidential bid: 'We'll see'". NBC News. Retrieved November 15, 2018.
  8. ^ Greenwood, Max. "Sen. Casey says he won't run for president in 2020". The Hill. Retrieved 4 February 2019.