2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee

Summary

The 2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[3] Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[4]

2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout69.30% Increase[1] 7.38 pp
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,852,475 1,143,711
Percentage 60.66% 37.45%


President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Trump won Tennessee with 60.66% of the vote, almost tied with his 60.72% vote share in 2016. Despite this, Biden got 37.4% of the vote, three points better than Hillary Clinton. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Tennessee has not supported a Democrat for president since 1996. Biden won the same counties as Clinton did: urban Shelby and Davidson counties—anchored by Memphis and Nashville, respectively—as well as majority-Black Haywood County. In addition, Trump performed somewhat better than polls anticipated, as they had Trump leading Biden by 55%–41%.[5] Biden also became the first Democrat to win the presidency without Hardeman County.[6]

Despite this, Biden was able to improve his support in the Nashville metropolitan area, gaining 64.5% of the vote in Davidson County, the best Democratic performance in the county since FDR won 72.1% of the vote in 1944. At the same time, Biden also made gains in the Nashville suburban counties of Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson, Sumner, and Cheatham, performing considerably better than Hillary Clinton in 2016. For example, Biden lost Rutherford County, anchored by Murfreesboro, only by 15.4%, much lower than Clinton's 25.9-point loss in 2016. Additionally, he narrowed Trump's margins in Hamilton County—anchored by Chattanooga—only losing it by 9.7 points, the best Democratic performance there since Bill Clinton lost the county by 6.5% in 1996; and with 44.1% of the popular vote, the best Democratic percentage since Carter's 48% in 1976, consequently losing by 2.8 points. This is the first time a Democrat has even garnered 40% of the vote in Rutherford County since 2000, when favorite son Al Gore lost the county by 9.7 points while at the same time losing both his home state and the election.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Tennessee came from a 69% showing among Southern whites, who made up 84% of the electorate. Similarly, Trump carried white born-again/Evangelical Christians by 86%–12%. The state of Tennessee is entirely covered in the Bible Belt. The only strength Biden showed was with 88% of African-American voters. 65% of voters opposed removing Confederate statues from public places in Tennessee, and these voters backed Trump by 83%–15%.[7]

Primary elections edit

Republican primary edit

The Republican primary was on March 3, 2020. Former Tennessee senator Bob Corker was considered a potential primary opponent for Trump.[8]

Incumbent United States President Donald Trump was challenged by two candidates: former congressman Joe Walsh of Illinois, and former governor Bill Weld of Massachusetts.[9] Walsh withdrew from the race prior to the primary. There was also an uncommitted option on the ballot. Trump won the state in a landslide victory over Walsh and Weld.

2020 Tennessee Republican primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 384,266 96.47 58
Joe Walsh (withdrawn) 4,178 1.05 0
Bill Weld 3,922 0.98 0
Uncommitted 5,948 1.49 0
Total 398,314 100% 58

Democratic primary edit

The Democratic primary was on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[11][12]

 
Popular vote share by county
  Biden—30–40%
  Biden—40–50%
  Biden—50–60%
  Biden—60–70%
  Sanders—30–40%
2020 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary[13]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[14]
Joe Biden 215,390 41.72 36[a]
Bernie Sanders 129,168 25.02 22[b]
Michael Bloomberg 79,789 15.46 5[c]
Elizabeth Warren 53,732 10.41 1
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[d] 17,102 3.31
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)[d] 10,671 2.07
Tulsi Gabbard 2,278 0.44
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[d] 1,932 0.37
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 1,650 0.32
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 1,097 0.21
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 953 0.18
Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) 498 0.10
John Delaney (withdrawn) 378 0.07
Julian Castro (withdrawn) 239 0.05
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 182 0.04
Uncommitted 1,191 0.23
Total 516,250 100% 64

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[16] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[18] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[19] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[20] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[21] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[22] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[23] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[24] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[25] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[26] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[27] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[28] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling edit

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[e]
Margin
RealClearPolitics Jan 28, 2020 – May 22, 2020 September 15, 2020 39.0% 53.0% 8.0% Trump +14.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 41.4% 55.1% 3.5% Trump +13.7
Average 40.2% 54.1% 5.7% Trump +13.9

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,342 (LV) ± 2.5% 54%[g] 45% - -
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 485 (LV) ± 5.9% 58% 41% 1% 0%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,099 (LV) 56% 42% - -
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,329 (LV) 58% 41% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,796 (LV) 59% 40% - - 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 2,481 (LV) 61% 38% - - 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 1,092 (LV) 61% 37% - - 2%
SSRS/Vanderbilt University May 5–22, 2020 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 51% 42% - - 5%[h] 2%
East Tennessee State University Archived May 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Apr 22 – May 1, 2020 536 (LV) 53% 36% - - 6% 5%
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% - - 6%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 39% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 38% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 37% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[f]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Jan 28–30, 2020 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 36% 7%

Electoral slates edit

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:[29]

Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Republican Party
Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Kanye West and Michelle Tidball
Independent
Don Blankenship and William Mohr
Constitution Party
Howie Hawkins and Angela Nicole Walker
Green Party
Alyson Kennedy and Malcom Jarrett
Socialist Workers Party
Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Party for Socialism and Liberation
Rocky De La Fuente and Darcy Richardson
Alliance Party
Brian T. Carroll and Amar Patel
American Solidarity Party
Jade Simmons and Claudeliah Roze
Independent
Tom Hoefling and Andy Prior
Independent
R19 Boddie and Eric Stoneham
Independent
Kasey Wells and Rachel Wells
Independent
  • Paul Chapman
  • Cindy Hatcher
  • Tina Benkiser
  • John Stanbery
  • Beverly Knight-Hurley
  • Mary Parks
  • Jim Looney
  • Kathy Bryson
  • Terry Roland
  • Scott Smith
  • Julia Atchley-Pace
  • Barbara Wagner
  • Maria Brewer
  • Mike Hampton
  • Meryl Rice
  • Madeline Rogero
  • Deborah Reed
  • Andrew Berke
  • Gale Carson
  • Charles Howard
  • Kevin Huddleston
  • Martha Shepard
  • Robert Hammett
  • Justin Cornett
  • David Tyler
  • Suzanne Eltz
  • Daniel Lewis
  • Joshua Eakle
  • Trisha Butler
  • Victoria Sexton
  • Jaron Weldner
  • Heather Scott
  • David Sexton
  • Breanna Sellars
  • LeeAnn Anderson
  • Sammantha Ashley
  • Clarissa Layne
  • Nicola La Mattina
  • Ricky Williams
  • Mike Magnusson
  • Rochelle Stevens
  • Nicholas Tatum
  • Isaac Ford
  • Newton Ford
  • Coal Lankston
  • Terri Coker
  • H. James Hepping
  • Laura Marquis
  • James Barlow
  • James Beck
  • Joan Castle
  • James Webb
  • Susan Lankston
  • Darrell Castle
  • Josh Berger
  • Martin Pleasant
  • Trevor Miles
  • Michael Principe
  • Elizabeth Dachowski
  • Leith Patton
  • Howard Switzer
  • Richard Griffith
  • James Maynard
  • Charles Owens
  • John Miglietta
  • Helen Wright
  • Jahaan Jones
  • Cordelious Johnson
  • Kristin Griffin
  • Mohd Nasan
  • Clark Harris
  • Keith Cherry
  • Erica Teel
  • Emily Dalerta
  • Jimmy Smartt
  • Celest Farmer
  • Victoria Hewlett
  • Daniel Castillo
  • James Baker
  • Lucas Byrd
  • Ronda Shelton
  • Janice Martin
  • Haley Rader
  • Cassy Morris
  • Kole Oakes
  • Sebastian Baltes
  • Zen Baltes
  • Karrie Davis
  • Kurt Davis
  • Marjorie Lloyd
  • Timothy Nelson
  • Heather Couch
  • Sue Litman
  • Jeffrey Lichterman
  • Steven Pitcairn
  • Molly Hoehn
  • Jonathan Etheridge
  • Starla Etheridge
  • Juan Villalba
  • Sarah Bourque
  • Robert Ritchey
  • Clinton Poston
  • Jonathan Sword
  • Caleb Poston
  • Nathan Warf
  • Heidi Scott
  • David Rogers
  • Patrick Harris
  • Sara Taylor
  • Olivia McCaughan
  • Reginald Jackson
  • Colin Nottage
  • Rebecca Murphy
  • Sherronda Broughton
  • Brittany Mansfield
  • Doris Littleton
  • Jamel Carter
  • Yolanda Roberson
  • Brittany Murphy
  • Candi Carter
  • Jesse Owenby
  • Paula Roffey
  • Alexander Ionnidis
  • Jamie Christley
  • Cecret Williams
  • David Schaffer
  • Bryan Davis
  • James Goodman
  • Josiah Weaver
  • Susan Davis
  • Tom Kovach
  • Preston Sprinkle
  • Fran Stidham
  • Ernestine Thomas
  • Amber Penny
  • Stephanie Frierson
  • Isiah Strafford
  • Debra Rainey
  • Jason Ballard
  • Brigitte Philmore
  • Joseph Frierson
  • Tamika Wright
  • Bettina Cohan
  • William Bowlin
  • Melissa Holloway
  • John Guigneaux
  • Tiffany Snow
  • Ashley Stone
  • Whitney Tucker
  • Matthew Brown
  • Lacoco Pirtle
  • Kim Moses
  • Kippie Lowry

Results edit

2020 United States presidential election in Tennessee[30]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,852,475 60.66 –0.06
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,143,711 37.45 +2.73
Independent[i] Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
29,877 0.98 –1.83
Independent Kanye West
Michelle Tidball
10,279 0.34 N/A
Independent[j] Don Blankenship
William Mohr
5,365 0.18 +0.12
Independent[k] Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
4,545 0.15 –0.49
Independent[l] Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
2,576 0.08 –0.04
Independent[m] Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
2,301 0.08% N/A
Independent[n] Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson
1,860 0.06 –0.10
American Solidarity Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in)
762 0.02 N/A
Independent Jade Simmons (write-in)
Claudeliah Roze (write-in)
68 0.00 N/A
Independent Tom Hoefling (write-in)
Andy Prior (write-in)
31 0.00% N/A
Independent R19 Boddie (write-in)
Eric Stoneham (write-in)
1 0.00% N/A
Independent Kasey Wells (write-in)
Rachel Wells (write-in)
0 0.00% N/A
Total votes 3,053,851 100.00%
Republican win

By congressional district edit

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[31]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 76.2% 22.1% Phil Roe
Diana Harshbarger
2nd 63.6% 34.5% Tim Burchett
3rd 65.3% 32.9% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 67.5% 30.7% Scott DesJarlais
5th 36.7% 60.3% Jim Cooper
6th 72.7% 25.6% John W. Rose
7th 66.9% 31.3% Mark E. Green
8th 65.4% 33.2% David Kustoff
9th 19.9% 78.5% Steve Cohen

By county edit

County Donald Trump
Republican
Joe Biden
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Anderson 23,184 65.18% 11,741 33.01% 645 1.81% 11,443 32.17% 35,570
Bedford 14,354 75.20% 4,453 23.33% 281 1.47% 9,901 51.87% 19,088
Benton 5,668 78.07% 1,529 21.06% 63 0.87% 4,139 57.01% 7,260
Bledsoe 4,725 82.06% 971 16.86% 62 1.08% 3,754 65.20% 5,758
Blount 47,369 71.12% 17,932 26.92% 1,308 1.96% 29,437 44.20% 66,609
Bradley 35,204 76.76% 9,851 21.48% 810 1.76% 25,353 55.28% 45,865
Campbell 12,331 82.58% 2,441 16.35% 161 1.07% 9,890 66.23% 14,933
Cannon 5,190 79.15% 1,261 19.23% 106 1.62% 3,929 59.92% 6,557
Carroll 9,205 77.32% 2,559 21.50% 141 1.18% 6,646 55.82% 11,905
Carter 19,584 79.96% 4,529 18.49% 379 1.55% 15,055 61.47% 24,492
Cheatham 14,438 71.26% 5,514 27.22% 308 1.52% 8,924 44.04% 20,260
Chester 5,952 78.48% 1,412 18.62% 220 2.90% 4,540 59.86% 7,584
Claiborne 10,604 81.92% 2,202 17.01% 139 1.07% 8,402 64.91% 12,945
Clay 2,733 77.95% 735 20.96% 38 1.09% 1,998 56.99% 3,506
Cocke 12,162 81.85% 2,533 17.05% 164 1.10% 9,629 64.80% 14,859
Coffee 17,883 73.65% 5,705 23.49% 694 2.86% 12,178 50.16% 24,282
Crockett 4,673 76.43% 1,382 22.60% 59 0.97% 3,291 53.83% 6,114
Cumberland 25,168 77.97% 6,728 20.84% 383 1.19% 18,440 57.13% 32,279
Davidson 100,218 32.36% 199,703 64.49% 9,737 3.15% -99,485 -32.13% 309,658
Decatur 4,229 80.69% 904 17.25% 108 2.06% 3,325 63.44% 5,241
DeKalb 6,672 78.37% 1,750 20.56% 91 1.07% 4,922 57.81% 8,513
Dickson 17,643 72.54% 6,106 25.10% 574 2.36% 11,537 47.44% 24,323
Dyer 11,768 78.04% 3,158 20.94% 153 1.02% 8,610 57.10% 15,079
Fayette 15,690 68.26% 7,027 30.57% 267 1.17% 8,663 37.69% 22,984
Fentress 7,441 85.24% 1,214 13.91% 74 0.85% 6,227 71.33% 8,729
Franklin 13,987 73.11% 4,864 25.42% 281 1.47% 9,123 47.69% 19,132
Gibson 16,259 72.80% 5,771 25.84% 305 1.36% 10,488 46.96% 22,335
Giles 9,784 74.10% 3,298 24.98% 121 0.92% 6,486 49.12% 13,203
Grainger 8,565 84.52% 1,467 14.48% 102 1.00% 7,098 70.04% 10,134
Greene 22,259 79.25% 5,199 18.51% 629 2.24% 17,060 60.74% 28,087
Grundy 4,802 82.02% 988 16.87% 65 1.11% 3,814 65.15% 5,855
Hamblen 18,811 76.37% 5,500 22.33% 320 1.30% 13,311 54.04% 24,631
Hamilton 92,108 53.83% 75,522 44.14% 3,483 2.03% 16,586 9.69% 171,113
Hancock 2,372 86.44% 362 13.19% 10 0.37% 2,010 73.25% 2,744
Hardeman 5,760 57.24% 4,180 41.54% 123 1.22% 1,580 15.70% 10,063
Hardin 9,559 82.85% 1,775 15.38% 204 1.77% 7,784 67.47% 11,538
Hawkins 20,405 82.20% 4,083 16.45% 336 1.35% 16,322 65.75% 24,824
Haywood 3,343 44.94% 4,012 53.93% 84 1.13% -669 -8.99% 7,439
Henderson 9,797 81.51% 2,092 17.40% 131 1.09% 7,705 64.11% 12,020
Henry 11,239 74.69% 3,548 23.58% 260 1.73% 7,691 51.11% 15,047
Hickman 7,577 77.06% 2,130 21.66% 125 1.28% 5,447 55.40% 9,832
Houston 2,718 73.74% 871 23.63% 97 2.63% 1,847 50.11% 3,686
Humphreys 6,120 74.31% 2,017 24.49% 99 1.20% 4,103 49.82% 8,236
Jackson 4,118 77.36% 1,135 21.32% 70 1.32% 2,983 56.04% 5,323
Jefferson 18,651 78.98% 4,654 19.71% 311 1.31% 13,997 59.27% 23,616
Johnson 6,468 82.91% 1,246 15.97% 87 1.12% 5,222 66.94% 7,801
Knox 124,540 56.47% 91,422 41.45% 4,594 2.08% 33,118 15.02% 220,556
Lake 1,492 73.35% 526 25.86% 16 0.79% 966 47.49% 2,034
Lauderdale 5,674 63.29% 3,193 35.62% 98 1.09% 2,481 27.67% 8,965
Lawrence 15,334 81.92% 3,195 17.07% 189 1.01% 12,139 64.85% 18,718
Lewis 4,474 79.76% 1,072 19.11% 63 1.13% 3,402 60.65% 5,609
Lincoln 12,281 78.68% 2,919 18.70% 408 2.62% 9,362 59.98% 15,608
Loudon 21,713 73.99% 6,948 23.68% 686 2.33% 14,765 50.31% 29,347
Macon 8,096 85.34% 1,307 13.78% 84 0.88% 6,789 71.56% 9,487
Madison 23,943 55.75% 18,390 42.82% 617 1.43% 5,553 12.93% 42,950
Marion 9,911 74.77% 3,177 23.97% 168 1.26% 6,734 50.80% 13,256
Marshall 11,043 74.22% 3,605 24.23% 230 1.55% 7,438 49.99% 14,878
Maury 31,464 67.44% 14,418 30.90% 775 1.66% 17,046 36.54% 46,657
McMinn 18,198 79.66% 4,361 19.09% 285 1.25% 13,837 60.57% 22,844
McNairy 9,093 80.65% 1,943 17.23% 239 2.12% 7,150 63.42% 11,275
Meigs 4,467 80.75% 1,008 18.22% 57 1.03% 3,459 62.53% 5,532
Monroe 16,783 80.70% 3,764 18.10% 250 1.20% 13,019 62.60% 20,797
Montgomery 42,187 54.96% 32,472 42.30% 2,099 2.74% 9,715 12.66% 76,758
Moore 2,888 81.60% 573 16.19% 78 2.21% 2,315 65.41% 3,539
Morgan 6,930 84.22% 1,167 14.18% 131 1.60% 5,763 70.04% 8,228
Obion 10,790 79.80% 2,589 19.15% 142 1.05% 8,201 60.65% 13,521
Overton 7,918 78.89% 2,033 20.26% 86 0.85% 5,885 58.63% 10,037
Perry 2,775 80.95% 615 17.94% 38 1.11% 2,160 63.01% 3,428
Pickett 2,381 81.24% 525 17.91% 25 0.85% 1,856 63.33% 2,931
Polk 6,792 81.24% 1,492 17.85% 76 0.91% 5,300 63.39% 8,360
Putnam 23,759 70.73% 9,185 27.34% 649 1.93% 14,574 43.39% 33,593
Rhea 11,050 81.03% 2,369 17.37% 218 1.60% 8,681 63.66% 13,637
Roane 19,230 74.20% 6,043 23.32% 644 2.48% 13,187 50.88% 25,917
Robertson 24,536 72.77% 8,692 25.78% 489 1.45% 15,844 46.99% 33,717
Rutherford 81,480 56.63% 59,341 41.24% 3,057 2.13% 22,139 15.39% 143,878
Scott 8,004 88.42% 986 10.89% 62 0.69% 7,018 77.53% 9,052
Sequatchie 5,855 80.74% 1,298 17.90% 99 1.36% 4,557 62.84% 7,252
Sevier 33,783 77.60% 8,721 20.03% 1,031 2.37% 25,062 57.57% 43,535
Shelby 129,815 33.98% 246,105 64.42% 6,135 1.60% -116,290 -30.44% 382,055
Smith 7,136 78.84% 1,802 19.91% 113 1.25% 5,334 58.93% 9,051
Stewart 4,950 78.62% 1,232 19.57% 114 1.81% 3,718 59.05% 6,296
Sullivan 55,860 75.12% 17,272 23.23% 1,225 1.65% 38,588 51.89% 74,357
Sumner 63,454 68.50% 27,680 29.88% 1,496 1.62% 35,774 38.62% 92,630
Tipton 20,070 73.49% 6,837 25.04% 401 1.47% 13,233 48.45% 27,308
Trousdale 2,936 73.44% 1,012 25.31% 50 1.25% 1,924 48.13% 3,998
Unicoi 6,599 79.44% 1,615 19.44% 93 1.12% 4,984 60.00% 8,307
Union 6,803 83.75% 1,249 15.38% 71 0.87% 5,554 68.37% 8,123
Van Buren 2,342 80.18% 544 18.62% 35 1.20% 1,798 61.56% 2,921
Warren 11,850 74.02% 3,924 24.51% 235 1.47% 7,926 49.51% 16,009
Washington 40,444 67.18% 18,638 30.96% 1,121 1.86% 21,806 36.22% 60,203
Wayne 5,795 86.89% 820 12.30% 54 0.81% 4,975 74.59% 6,669
Weakley 10,396 75.69% 3,020 21.99% 319 2.32% 7,376 53.70% 13,735
White 9,606 80.76% 2,143 18.02% 146 1.22% 7,463 62.74% 11,895
Williamson 86,469 62.20% 50,161 36.08% 2,386 1.72% 36,308 26.12% 139,016
Wilson 50,296 67.67% 22,254 29.94% 1,780 2.39% 28,042 37.73% 74,330
Totals 1,852,475 60.66% 1,143,711 37.45% 57,665 1.89% 708,764 23.21% 3,053,851
 
 

Analysis edit

Winning the state by 708,764 votes, Tennessee gave Trump his largest margin of victory by the number of votes nationally. This exceeded the 631,221-vote margin by which he won in Texas, marking the first time since 1988 (when Florida provided the largest margin of victory) where Texas did not provide the Republican presidential nominee with his widest margin of votes for a statewide victory. Additionally, this is the second consecutive election in which a nominee carried over 60% of Tennessee's vote, the first time since 1996 that Tennessee and neighboring Georgia did not vote for the same candidate, and the first time since 1980 that Tennessee was won by the Republicans while Georgia was won by the Democrats.

See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ 33 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  2. ^ 20 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  3. ^ 10 delegates, if Bloomberg's statewide delegates would have been calculated.
  4. ^ a b c Candidate withdrew shortly before the primary, after early voting started.
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  7. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  8. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  9. ^ Jorgensen and Cohen were nominated by the Libertarian Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  10. ^ Blankenship and Mohr were nominated by the Constitution Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  11. ^ Hawkins and Walker were nominated by the Green Party of Tennessee but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  12. ^ Kennedy and Jarrett were nominated by the Socialist Workers Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  13. ^ La Riva and Freeman were nominated by the Party for Socialism and Liberation but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.
  14. ^ De La Fuente and Richardson were nominated by the Alliance Party but placed on the ballot as independents because the party did not have ballot access.

References edit

  1. ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2020". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ^ "Tennessee Election Results 2020". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  3. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  5. ^ Mehta, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil (June 28, 2018). "Tennessee President: general election Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 15, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  6. ^ Leip, Dave. "Tennessee Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved February 21, 2023.
  7. ^ "Tennessee Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  8. ^ Mattise, Jonathan (December 20, 2018). "Trump foil, retiring GOP Sen. Corker: 'no idea' what's next". Associated Press. Retrieved December 26, 2018.
  9. ^ Flessner, Dave (December 3, 2019). "16 Democrats and 3 Republicans on presidential primary ballot in Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved December 4, 2019.
  10. ^ "March 3, 2020 Republican Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
  11. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  12. ^ Herndon, Astead W.; Burns, Alexander (December 31, 2018). "Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020". The New York Times. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  13. ^ "March 3, 2020 Democratic Presidential Preference Primary" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 3, 2020.
  14. ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Tennessee Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 4, 2020.
  15. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  16. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  17. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  18. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  19. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  20. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  21. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  22. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  23. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  25. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  26. ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  27. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  28. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  29. ^ State of Tennessee (December 2, 2020). "Tennessee Certificate of Ascertainment 2020" (PDF). National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved July 17, 2021.
  30. ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results, November 3, 2020, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. December 2, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
  31. ^ Nir, David (November 19, 2020). "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". Daily Kos. Retrieved December 10, 2020.

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External links edit

  1. ^ "Tennessee breaks voter turnout record for presidential contest, with more than 3 million people casting ballots". Tennessean. November 6, 2020.