2021_Lisbon_local_election Knowpia

2021 Lisbon local elections
All 17 Councillors in the Lisbon City Council; 9 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Turnout	51.0% 0.1 pp
Mayor before election; Fernando Medina; PS	Elected Mayor ; Carlos Moedas; PSD

The 2021 Lisbon local election was held on 26 September 2021 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council.

In what was the biggest surprise of the 2021 municipal elections, Carlos Moedas, the candidate of the center-right coalition led by the Social Democratic Party, managed to be elected Mayor of Lisbon and put an end to 14 years of Socialist rule.^[1] Against all expectations, the center-right coalition managed to regain the capital by winning 34.3% of the votes and 7 councilors.^[2] Despite his victory, Carlos Moedas will have to seek understandings with the other parties represented in the City Council.

The big loser in this election was Fernando Medina, candidate of the Socialist Party (which ran in alliance with LIVRE), as he lost his reelection bid, an office he had hold since 2015 and which had been in Socialist hands since 2007. Unexpectedly, the Socialists lost almost 10% of the votes, compared with the previous election, with Medina labeling the defeat as "personal".^[3]

The Unitary Democratic Coalition presented former MEP João Ferreira again and achieved positive results, registering a slight electoral growth to 10.5%, the best result for CDU since 2005, and that guaranteed two Communist councilors.^[4] The Left Bloc, which now supported Beatriz Gomes Dias as a candidate for mayor, managed to keep their sole seat in the municipal council, despite having registered a slight drop in votes.^[5]

People-Animals-Nature, CHEGA, and Liberal Initiative failed to elect any councilor.

Background edit

In the 2017 election, the Socialist Party led by Fernando Medina, won with a comfortable advantage over the opposition parties, although losing its absolute majority. The center-right wing alliance led by Assunção Cristas' CDS - Peoples Party obtained a historic result for the chamber, surpassing 20% of the votes and electing 4 councilors. The Social Democratic Party, which had Teresa Leal Coelho as its candidate, had its worst result in history in Lisbon, finishing in third place, with just over 11% of the votes and 2 councilors, a far cry from the Socialists and Christian Democrats (CDS).

Finally, the Unitary Democratic Coalition obtained 9.6%, winning 2 councilors and the Left Bloc obtained its best municipal result in the capital, managing to conquer 1 councilor with 7.1% and entering in a coalition with the Socialists.

Electoral system edit

Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.^[6]

Parties and candidates edit

Party/Coalition			Political position	Candidate^[7]	2017 result
Party/Coalition			Political position	Candidate^[7]	Votes (%)	Seats
	ML	More Lisbon Mais Lisboa PS, LIVRE	Centre-left	Fernando Medina	42.0%	8 / 17
	NT	New Times Novos Tempos PSD, CDS–PP, A, MPT, PPM	Centre-right	Carlos Moedas	31.8%	6 / 17
	CDU	Unitary Democratic Coalition Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV	Left-wing to far-left	João Ferreira	9.5%	2 / 17
	BE	Left Bloc Bloco de Esquerda	Left-wing to far-left	Beatriz Gomes Dias	7.1%	1 / 17
	PAN	People Animals Nature Pessoas-Animais-Natureza	Centre-left	Manuela Gonzaga	3.0%	0 / 17
	NC	We, the Citizens! Nós, Cidadãos!	Centre-right	Sofia Afonso Ferreira	0.6%	0 / 17
	E	Rise Up^[d] Ergue-te	Far-right	João Patrocínio	0.5%	0 / 17
	PDR	Democratic Republican Party Partido Democrático Republicano	Centre	Bruno Fialho	0.3%	0 / 17
	IL	Liberal Initiative Iniciativa Liberal	Centre-right to right-wing	Bruno Horta Soares	—	—
	CH	Enough! Chega!	Right-wing to far-right	Nuno Graciano	—	—
	VP	Volt Portugal Volt Portugal	Centre to centre-left	Tiago Matos Gomes	—	—
	STL	We are all Lisbon Somos todos Lisboa	Right-wing	Ossanda Liber	—	—

Campaign period edit

Party slogans edit

	Original slogan	English translation	Refs
ML	« Mais Lisboa »	"More Lisbon"	^[8]
NT	« Novos Tempos » « Lisboa pode ser muito mais do que imaginas »	"New Times" "Lisbon can be much more than you think"	^[9]
CDU	« Por uma Lisboa com vida »	"For a Lisbon with life"	^[10]
BE	« Uma cidade em comum »	"A city in common"	^[11]
PAN	« Lisboa nas tuas mãos »	"Lisbon in your hands "	^[12]
IL	« 1 vereador liberal faz toda a diferença »	"1 liberal councillor makes all the difference"	^[13]
CH	« Chega. Lisboa sem Corrupção »	"Enough. Lisbon without corruption"	^[14]

Candidates' debates edit

2021 Lisbon local election debates
Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)	P Present A Absent invitee N Non-invitee
			ML Medina	NT Moedas	CDU Ferreira	BE Dias	PAN Gonzaga	IL Soares	CH Graciano	NC S. Ferreira	E Patrocínio	PDR Fialho	VP Gomes	STL Liber	Refs
															Refs
2 Sep 2021	SIC Notícias	Clara de Sousa	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	N	N	N	N	N	^[15]
7 Sep 2021	TVI, TVI24	Sara Pinto	P	P	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	N	^[16]
9 Sep 2021	Antena 1	Natália Carvalho	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	^[17]
15 Sep 2021	RTP1, RTP3	António José Teixeira	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	P	^[18]

Opinion polling edit

Graphical summary edit

Polling edit

Exit poll

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS L	PSD CDS PPM MPT A	CDU	BE	PAN	IL	CH	O	Lead
Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size								O	Lead

2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	33.3 7	34.3 7	10.5 2	6.2 1	2.7 0	4.2 0	4.4 0	4.4 0	1.0

CESOP–UCP	26 Sep 2021	4,146	31–35 6/8	32–36 6/8	10–13 1/2	5–7 1	2–4 0	3–5 0/1	3–5 0/1	2–9 0	1
ICS/ISCTE	26 Sep 2021	8,159	31.3– 36.3 6/8	30.2– 35.2 6/8	10.4– 13.4 2/3	5.7– 8.7 1/2	1.8– 3.8 0	3.2– 6.2 0/1	2.4– 5.4 0/1	1.6– 4.6 0	1.1
Pitagórica	26 Sep 2021	6,206	32.6– 38.6 7	29.3– 35.3 6/7	6.6– 12.6 2	4.2– 8.2 1	1.0– 5.0 0	3.3– 7.3 0/1	1.9– 5.9 0	2.1– 6.1 0	3.3– 3.7
Intercampus	26 Sep 2021	6,406	32.0– 36.4 6/8	31.2– 35.6 6/8	10.1– 13.7 1/3	5.5– 8.5 0/2	1.6– 4.6 0/1	2.9– 5.9 0/1	1.6– 4.6 0/1	2.5– 3.3 0	0.8
Pitagórica Seat projection	15–21 Sep 2021	600	40.6 8/9	33.1 6/7	7.6 1	4.7 0/1	3.2 0	3.2 0	2.1 0	5.5 0	7.5
CESOP–UCP Seat projection	16–20 Sep 2021	1,292	37 7/8	28 5/6	11 1/2	7 1	3 0	5 0/1	3 0	6 0	9
Pitagórica Seat projection	30 Aug–4 Sep 2021	600	39.8 8/9	32.6 6/7	8.5 1	6.8 1	3.8 0	3.0 0	2.8 0	2.7 0	7.2
Intercampus Seat projection	25–30 Aug 2021	642	45.2 9	27.0 5	9.7 2	8.5 1	1.8 0	2.1 0	3.2 0	2.5 0	18.2
Eurosondagem Seat projection	23–26 Aug 2021	2,225	38.6 8	26.9 4	7.7 0/2	6.3 0/2	3.3 0/1	6.3 0/2	4.8 0/2	6.1 0	11.7
Aximage	14–21 Aug 2021	792	51	27	9	4	2	2	2	3	24
ICS/ISCTE	3–18 Jul 2021	803	42	31	6	8	3	2	4	4	11
Intercampus	8–13 Apr 2021	611	46.6	25.7	7.1	6.6	0.5	2.3	6.1	5.1	20.9

2017 local election	1 Oct 2017	—	42.0 8	31.8 6^[c]	9.6 2	7.1 1	3.0 0	—	—	6.5	10.2

Results edit

Municipal Council edit

Summary of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon City Council elections results
Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Councillors

Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Total	±
	PSD / CDS–PP / Alliance / MPT / PPM	83,185	34.27	2.5	7	1
	Socialist / LIVRE	80,907	33.33	8.7	7	1
	Unitary Democratic Coalition	25,550	10.53	1.0	2	0
	Left Bloc	15,057	6.20	0.9	1	0
	CHEGA	10,730	4.42	—	0	—
	Liberal Initiative	10,213	4.21	—	0	—
	People–Animals–Nature	6,625	2.73	0.3	0	0
	Volt Portugal	1,016	0.42	—	0	—
	We are all Lisbon (STL)	864	0.36	—	0	—
	We, the Citizens!	494	0.20	0.4	0	0
	Rise Up	338	0.14	0.4	0	0
	Democratic Republican	319	0.13	0.2	0	0
Total valid		235,298	96.93	1.1	17	0
Blank ballots		4,823	1.99	0.6
Invalid ballots		2,622	1.08	0.4
Total		242,743	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		476,050	50.99	0.1
Source: Lisbon 2021 election results

Municipal Assembly edit

Summary of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon Municipal Assembly elections
results
Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Seats

Parties		Votes	%	±pp swing	Total	±
	PSD / CDS–PP / Alliance / MPT / PPM	75,616	31.15	0.9	17	0
	Socialist / LIVRE	74,765	30.80	6.9	17	5
	Unitary Democratic Coalition	26,890	11.08	0.9	6	0
	Left Bloc	18,528	7.63	0.8	4	0
	Liberal Initiative	14,447	5.95	—	3	—
	CHEGA	13,004	5.36	—	3	—
	People–Animals–Nature	8,573	3.53	0.8	1	1
	Volt Portugal	1,401	0.58	—	0	—
	We are all Lisbon (STL)	1,069	0.44	—	0	—
	Rise Up	438	0.18	0.4	0	0
Total valid		234,731	96.70	1.1	51	0
Blank ballots		5,337	2.20	0.7
Invalid ballots		2,671	1.10	0.4
Total		242,739	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		476,740	50.92	0.2
Source: Lisbon 2021 election results

Parish Assemblies edit

Results of the 26 September 2021 Lisbon Parish Assembly elections
Parish	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	Total S
Parish	ML		NT		CDU		BE		IL		CH		PAN		IND		Total S
Ajuda	51.5	8	15.9	2	13.6	2	6.5	1	3.6	-	5.5	-					13
Alcântara	53.7	8	18.8	3	9.3	1	5.3	-	6.2	1	3.8	-					13
Alvalade	28.6	6	33.2	7	8.6	2	6.4	1	6.4	1	4.2	1			5.0	1	19
Areeiro	25.9	4	42.6	7	7.7	1	5.8	-	7.0	1	4.6	-	3.4	-			13
Arroios	23.8	5	29.0	6	12.5	3	10.7	2	5.5	1	4.2	1	5.4	1	3.6	-	19
Avenidas Novas	26.8	5	43.0	9	6.9	1	5.8	1	9.1	2	4.8	1					19
Beato	39.5	6	18.2	3	13.0	2	9.4	1	2.5	-	7.5	1			5.8	-	13
Belém	24.2	4	46.4	7	6.6	1	4.0	-	8.6	1	4.8	-	2.6	-			13
Benfica	45.6	10	23.7	5	8.9	2	6.5	1	3.8	-	5.0	1	3.3	-			19
Campo de Ourique	34.3	5	34.0	5	8.8	1	7.5	1	6.4	1	4.8	-					13
Campolide	38.9	6	25.7	4	9.0	1	6.8	1	6.8	1	5.5	-	3.7	-			13
Carnide	18.2	3	20.1	3	45.5	7	3.3	-	3.5	-	3.8	-	2.1	-			13
Estrela	23.7	3	47.8	8	7.1	1	5.6	-	7.3	1	5.3	-					13
Lumiar	27.1	6	41.3	9	8.7	1	5.2	1	6.6	1	4.6	1	3.2	-			19
Marvila	48.5	11	13.7	3	11.7	2	6.9	1	2.4	-	9.2	2	2.4	-			19
Misericórdia	33.1	6	27.4	4	12.3	2	10.6	1	5.1	-	4.5	-	4.0	-			13
Olivais	34.7	8	24.9	5	13.8	3	8.0	1	3.4	-	6.8	1	4.5	1			19
Parque das Nações	34.4	5	35.8	6	7.4	1	4.2	-	8.0	1	4.4	-	2.8	-			13
Penha de França	37.0	8	20.6	4	13.5	3	11.2	2	3.8	-	5.3	1	4.5	1			19
Santa Clara	36.2	6	22.0	3	12.4	2	6.4	1	3.8	-	11.2	1					13
Santa Maria Maior	45.0	8	16.4	2	14.3	2	7.7	1	3.6	-	4.2	-	3.3	-	1.4	-	13
Santo António	23.6	3	44.6	7	8.1	1	7.4	1	6.7	1	3.4	-	3.4	-			13
São Domingos de Benfica	32.8	7	35.3	8	8.6	2	6.1	1	5.8	1	4.2	-	3.8	-			19
São Vicente	28.7	5	19.4	3	22.9	3	11.6	2	5.0	-	3.5	-	4.3	-			13
Total	33.3	146	30.5	123	11.5	47	6.8	21	5.5	14	5.2	11	2.8	3	0.7	1	366
Source: Election Results

References edit

^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país". Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens". CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa". Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa". João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ "Um mau resultado, os assim-assim e um líder que segurou o partido". www.dn.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
^ "Autarquicas 2021 Candidatos" (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-03-03.
^ "IMG_6722". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "O BOM REVERSO DA MEDALHA – COMEÇAM A CHEGAR". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "Twitter Manuela Gonzaga". Manuela Gonzaga (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "ELEIÇÕES AUTÁRQUICAS DE 2021 – LISBOA – FREGUESIAS – IL". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "Facebbok CHEGA-Lisboa". CHEGA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.
^ "Debate autárquico. A luta política entre os sete candidatos a Lisboa". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 3 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
^ "O debate entre Medina e Moedas na íntegra". TVI24 (in Portuguese). 7 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
^ "Debate com todos os candidatos à Câmara de Lisboa". RTP (in Portuguese). 9 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.
^ "Eleições Autárquicas 2021 - Debates Episódio 22 - de 15 Set 2021 - RTP Play - RTP". RTP (in Portuguese). 15 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

Notes edit

^ Coalition with PSD, CDS–PP, Alliance, MPT and PPM.
^ Coalition between the PS and LIVRE.
^ ^a ^b Sum of the PSD and CDS separate results in 2017.
^ In July 2020, the National Renovator Party (PNR) changed its name to Rise Up (E).

External links edit

2021 local election results

[4] Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país". Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[5] Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens". CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[6] Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa". Fernando Medina assume derrota "pessoal e intransmissível" em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[7] Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de. "João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa". João Ferreira destaca crescimento da CDU em Lisboa (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[8] "Um mau resultado, os assim-assim e um líder que segurou o partido". www.dn.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[9] "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.

[10] "Autarquicas 2021 Candidatos" (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-03-03.

[12] "IMG_6722". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[13] "O BOM REVERSO DA MEDALHA – COMEÇAM A CHEGAR". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[14] "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[15] "Ephemera Facebook". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[16] "Twitter Manuela Gonzaga". Manuela Gonzaga (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[17] "ELEIÇÕES AUTÁRQUICAS DE 2021 – LISBOA – FREGUESIAS – IL". EPHEMERA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[18] "Facebbok CHEGA-Lisboa". CHEGA (in Portuguese). Retrieved 3 March 2022.

[19] "Debate autárquico. A luta política entre os sete candidatos a Lisboa". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 3 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

[20] "O debate entre Medina e Moedas na íntegra". TVI24 (in Portuguese). 7 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

[21] "Debate com todos os candidatos à Câmara de Lisboa". RTP (in Portuguese). 9 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

[22] "Eleições Autárquicas 2021 - Debates Episódio 22 - de 15 Set 2021 - RTP Play - RTP". RTP (in Portuguese). 15 September 2021. Retrieved 3 March 2021.

[NT-1] Coalition with PSD, CDS–PP, Alliance, MPT and PPM.

[ML-2] Coalition between the PS and LIVRE.

[PSD-CDS-3] Sum of the PSD and CDS separate results in 2017.

[PNR-11] In July 2020, the National Renovator Party (PNR) changed its name to Rise Up (E).

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Summary