2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election

Summary

The 2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election was held on March 20, 2021, with a runoff being held on April 24, 2021.

Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election

← 2020 March 20, 2021 (first round)
April 24, 2021 (runoff)
2022 →

Louisiana's 2nd congressional district
Turnout18.0% (first round)[1]
16.8% (second round)[1]
 
Nominee Troy Carter Karen Carter Peterson
Party Democratic Democratic
First round 34,402
36.38%
21,673
22.92%
Runoff 48,513
55.25%
39,297
44.75%

 
Nominee Gary Chambers Claston Bernard
Party Democratic Republican
First round 20,163
21.31%
9,237
9.77%
Runoff Eliminated Eliminated

Carter:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     70–80%
Peterson:      20–30%      50–60%      60–70%
Chambers:      20–30%
Bernard:      30–40%

U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Troy Carter
Democratic

On November 17, 2020, incumbent Democratic representative Cedric Richmond announced that he would resign from the United States House of Representatives to serve as the director of the Office of Public Liaison and as a Senior Advisor to Joe Biden. He did so on January 15, 2021, and took his new job when Biden assumed office on January 20, 2021.[2][3][4] When congressional seats in Louisiana become vacant, the governor has the ability to call a special election at any time. The special election to fill Louisiana's 2nd congressional district took place on March 20, and a runoff was held on April 24.[5][6][7][8] Troy Carter won the runoff election on April 24, 2021 against fellow Democrat Karen Peterson.[1]

Primary candidates edit

Democratic Party edit

Of the Democratic candidates, Troy Carter, a state senator, Karen Carter Peterson, a state senator and former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, and Gary Chambers, an activist, were considered the frontrunners.[9] Of these candidates, Carter was considered to be moderate, while Peterson and Chambers were considered to be progressives.[9] In the jungle primary, Carter and Peterson took first and second place with 36% and 23% of the vote, while Chambers took third place with 21%.[10] Chambers' result was considered an overperformance, as he significantly outdid his polling numbers.[10] On March 29, Chambers endorsed Peterson.[11]

Declared edit

Republican Party edit

Declared edit

  • Chelsea Ardoin, HR professional[16]
  • Claston Bernard, decathlete[16]
  • Greg Lirette, information technology professional[19]
  • Sheldon C. Vincent Sr., retired postal worker[16]

Libertarian Party edit

Declared edit

  • Mindy McConnell, principal[20]

No party affiliation edit

Declared edit

  • Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste, activist and perennial candidate[16]
  • Brandon Jolicoeur, actor[16]

Endorsements edit

Claston Bernard (R)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
  • Rev. Jesse Lee Peterson, podcast and talk show host, president of the Brotherhood Organization of a New Destiny (BOND)(1990–present)[26]
Organizations
Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Gary Chambers (D)
Individuals

Jungle primary edit

Polling edit

Graphical summary edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Troy
Carter
(D)
Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)
Gary
Chambers
Jr.
(D)
Desiree
Ontiveros
(D)
Other Undecided
Edgewater Research/My People Vote March 2–7, 2021 651 (LV) ± 3.8% 35% 24% 11% 16% 15%
LexthomResearch and Development, LLC February 26 – March 3, 2021 1,067 (LV) ± 3.0% 23% 17% 13% 4% 3%[b] 40%
Trust the People PAC (D)[A] February 21–22, 2021 620 (LV) ± 4.0% 24% 23% 6% 2% 16%[c] 29%
Silas Lee & Associates (D)[B] February 12–14, 2021 450 (LV) ± 3.5% 28% 19% 6% 2% 8%[d] 38%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Troy
Carter
(D)
Cleo
Fields
(D)
Mitch
Landrieu
(D)
Helena
Moreno
(D)
Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)
Other Undecided
ALG Research (D)[permanent dead link] November 2–5, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 15% 14% 25% 18% 4% 3% 22%
22% 17% 24% 7% 4% 22%

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Solid D March 19, 2021
Inside Elections[56] Solid D March 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe D March 18, 2021

Results edit

2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Troy Carter 34,402 36.38
Democratic Karen Carter Peterson 21,673 22.92
Democratic Gary Chambers Jr. 20,163 21.31
Republican Claston Bernard 9,237 9.77
Republican Chelsea Ardoin 3,218 3.40
Republican Greg Lirette 2,349 2.48
Republican Sheldon C. Vincent Sr. 754 0.80
Democratic Desiree Ontiveros 699 0.74
Independent Belden Batiste 598 0.63
Democratic Harold John 403 0.43
Libertarian Mindy McConnell 323 0.34
Democratic J. Christopher Johnson 288 0.30
Democratic Jenette M. Porter 244 0.26
Democratic Lloyd M. Kelly 122 0.13
Independent Brandon Jolicoeur 94 0.10
Total votes 94,567 100.00

By parish edit

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic
Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic
Gary Chambers Jr.
Democratic
Claston Bernard
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Ascension 776 33.9 653 28.5 307 13.4 392 17.1 162 7.1 123 5.4% 2,290
Assumption 373 44.9 152 18.3 59 7.1 149 17.9 98 11.8 221 26.6% 831
East Baton Rouge 2,273 26.2 3,045 35.1 2,832 32.6 164 1.9 365 4.2 213 2.5% 8,679
West Baton Rouge 289 20.4 334 23.6 296 20.9 318 22.5 177 12.5 16 1.1% 1,414
Iberville 622 23.9 504 19.3 640 24.6 583 22.4 258 9.9 18 0.7% 2,607
Jefferson 7,702 39.5 3,283 16.8 1,989 10.2 2,902 14.9 3,647 18.7 4,419 22.6% 19,523
Orleans 18,366 38.6 12,055 25.3 12,897 27.1 1,798 3.8 2,514 5.3 5,469 11.5% 47,630
St. Charles 1,037 23.2 476 10.6 334 7.5 1,495 33.4 1,133 25.3 458 10.2% 4,475
St. James 1,238 35.0 553 15.6 317 9.0 990 28.0 437 12.4 248 7.0% 3,535
St. John the Baptist 1,726 48.2 618 17.3 492 13.7 446 12.5 301 8.4 1,108 30.9% 3,583
Total 34,402 36.38 21,673 22.92 20,163 21.32 9,237 9.77 9,092 9.61 12,729 13.46% 94,567

Runoff edit

A runoff was held on April 24 between Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson. In the April 24th runoff, Carter beat Peterson 48,513, 55.2%, to 39,297, 44.8%, with 87,810 votes reported from 100% of precincts.[58]

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Solid D March 19, 2021
Inside Elections[59] Solid D April 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] Safe D April 15, 2021

Endorsements edit

Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations

Results edit

2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election runoff[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Troy Carter 48,513 55.25%
Democratic Karen Carter Peterson 39,297 44.75%
Total votes 87,810 100.00
Democratic hold

By parish edit

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic
Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic
Margin Total votes
# % # % # %
Ascension 1,113 47.5 1,228 52.5 115 5.0% 2,341
Assumption 441 62.6 263 37.4 178 25.2% 704
East Baton Rouge 3,032 35.4 5,542 64.6 2,510 29.2% 8,574
West Baton Rouge 617 48.6 652 51.4 35 2.8% 1,269
Iberville 1,173 48.0 1,272 52.0 99 4.0% 2,445
Jefferson 11,195 67.0 5,524 33.0 5,671 34.0% 16,719
Orleans 24,160 53.0 21,467 47.0 2,693 6.0% 45,627
St. Charles 2,346 70.3 989 29.7 1,357 40.6% 3,335
St. James 2,356 66.2 1,202 33.8 1,357 32.4% 3,558
St. John the Baptist 2,078 64.3 1,156 35.7 922 28.6% 3,234
Totals 48,513 55.25 39,297 44.75 9,216 10.50% 87,810

Notes edit

Additional candidates and polling key
  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Claston Bernard (R) with 3%
  3. ^ "Republican candidates" with 11% and "Another candidate" with 5%
  4. ^ Chelsea Ardoin (R), Belden Batiste (I), Harold John (D), J. Christopher Johnson (D), Brandon Jolicoeur (NPP), Jenette Porter (D), Lloyd Kelly (D), Greg Lirette (R), Mindy McConnell (L) and Sheldon Vincent (R) combined with 6%; Claston Bernard (R) with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Trust the People PAC, an anti-Troy Carter super PAC.
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Troy Carter's campaign.

References edit

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External links edit

Official campaign websites
  • Troy Carter (D) for Congress
  • Karen Carter Peterson (D) for Congress