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2021 Nova Scotia general election

Summary

The 2021 Nova Scotia general election was held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

2021 Nova Scotia general election
← 2017 August 17, 2021 Next →
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.67% Increase 2.32 pp[1]
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Tim Houston Iain Rankin Gary Burrill
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since October 27, 2018 February 6, 2021 February 27, 2016
Leader's seat Pictou East Timberlea-Prospect Halifax Chebucto
Last election 17 seats, 35.73% 27 seats, 39.47% 7 seats, 21.51%
Seats won 31 17 6
Seat change Increase14 Decrease10 Decrease1
Popular vote 162,473 155,026 88,477
Percentage 38.44% 36.67% 20.93%
Swing Increase 2.71 pp Decrease 2.80 pp Decrease 0.58 pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
Premier before election

Iain Rankin
Liberal

Premier after election

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative

In April 2019, the Electoral Boundaries Commission released its final report entitled, Balancing Effective Representation with Voter Parity. The report recommended increasing the number of electoral districts from 51 to 55, including reinstating the four former districts of Argyle, Clare, Preston and Richmond. In the fourth quarter of 2019, the House of Assembly passed the recommended electoral changes into law and they were put into effect in this election.[2]

In a major upset,[3] Tim Houston led the Progressive Conservatives to power for the first time since 2006, and with a majority government for the first time since 1999. With a popular vote share of 38.44%, the PCs won the smallest winning vote share of any majority government in Nova Scotian electoral history.

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin’s victory in Cumberland North marked the first occasion since 1988 that an independent candidate won election to the House of Assembly.[4] A record number of four Black Nova Scotians were elected MLAs; prior to this election, only five Black MLAs had ever been elected in Nova Scotia.[5]

Timeline edit

Changes in seats held (2017–2021)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Cumberland South January 24, 2018[6] Jamie Baillie █ PC Resignation[a 1] June 19, 2018[12] Tory Rushton █ PC
Sackville-Cobequid November 16, 2018[13] Dave Wilson █ New Democratic Resignation June 18, 2019[14] Steve Craig █ PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River June 9, 2019[15] Lenore Zann █ New Democratic Resigned from caucus[a 2] █ Independent
Cape Breton-Richmond June 24, 2019[16] Alana Paon █ PC Removed from caucus[a 3] █ Independent
Argyle-Barrington July 31, 2019[17] Chris d'Entremont █ PC Resignation[a 4] September 3, 2019[18] Colton LeBlanc █ PC
Northside-Westmount July 31, 2019[17] Eddie Orrell █ PC Resignation[a 5] September 3, 2019[18] Murray Ryan █ PC
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg July 31, 2019[17] Alfie MacLeod █ PC Resignation[a 6] September 3, 2019[18] Brian Comer █ PC
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River September 12, 2019 Lenore Zann █ Independent Resignation[a 7] March 10, 2020 Dave Ritcey █ PC
Cape Breton Centre February 6, 2020 Tammy Martin █ New Democratic Resignation[a 8] March 10, 2020 Kendra Coombes █ New Democratic
Chester-St. Margaret's February 23, 2020 Hugh MacKay █ Liberal Resigned from caucus[a 9] █ Independent
Annapolis May 3, 2021 Stephen McNeil █ Liberal Resignation[a 10]
Hants East June 1, 2021 Margaret Miller █ Liberal Resignation[a 11]
Cumberland North June 24, 2021 Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin █ PC Removed from caucus[a 12] █ Independent
  1. ^ amid an allegation of harassment
  2. ^ in order to seek the federal Liberal nomination in Cumberland-Colchester
  3. ^ amid a conflict over constituency office accessibility
  4. ^ to run in the federal district of West Nova
  5. ^ to run in the federal district of Sydney-Victoria
  6. ^ to run in the federal district of Cape Breton-Canso
  7. ^ to run in the federal district of Cumberland—Colchester
  8. ^ due to ongoing health issues
  9. ^ amid charges of impaired driving
  10. ^ retired from political life
  11. ^ retired from political life
  12. ^ amid encouraging a protest that blocked the provincial border

Leaders' debates edit

2021 Nova Scotia general election debates
Date Organizers Venue Moderator(s)  P  Participant  A  Absent invitee  N  Non-invitee Source
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica
July 28, 2021 CBC Nova Scotia Neptune Theatre,
Halifax		 Tom Murphy
Amy Smith 		P
Rankin 		P
Houston 		P
Burrill 		N
Alexander 		N
Dean 		[19]
August 5, 2021 CTV Atlantic CTV Studios,
Halifax		 Steve Murphy P
Rankin 		P
Houston 		P
Burrill 		N
Alexander 		N
Dean 		[20]

Results edit

Results by party edit

↓
31 17 6 1
Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic Ind
Official Results
 
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
2017DissolutionElectedChange
Progressive Conservative162,47338.59+2.71171731+14
Liberal155,02636.82-2.80272417-10
New Democratic88,47721.02-0.58756-1
Green9,0422.15-0.63000±0
Independents4,9601.18+1.06031+1
Atlantica1,0230.24-0.17000±0
Vacant–2––
Total421,001100.00–515155+4
Valid votes421,00199.60
Invalid/blank votes1,7110.40
Total votes422,712100.00
Registered voters/turnout759,34155.67
Popular vote
PC
 
 38.44%
Liberal
 
 36.67%
New Democratic
 
 20.93%
Green
 
 2.14%
Independent
 
 1.17%
Atlantica
 
 0.24%
Seats summary
PC
 
 56.36%
Liberal
 
 30.91%
New Democratic
 
 10.91%
Independent
 
 1.82%

Results by region edit

Party name HRM Cape Breton Annapolis Valley South Shore Fundy-Northeast Central Nova Total
Parties winning seats in the legislature
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 6 5 4 6 5 5 31
  Popular vote: 28.39% 38.29% 41.75% 50.28% 43.66% 59.61% 38.44%
  Liberal Seats: 11 2 3 1 0 0 17
  Popular vote: 38.96% 39.93% 41.33% 33.97% 29.84% 27.56% 36.67%
  New Democratic Party Seats: 5 1 0 0 0 0 6
  Popular vote: 29.78% 20.83% 12.99% 12.94% 15.02% 11.19% 20.93%
  Independents Seats: 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
  Popular vote: 0.09% 0.83% — — 9.06% 0.17% 1.17%
Parties not winning seats in the legislature
Green Popular vote: 2.59% 0.12% 3.15% 2.56% 2.31% 1.23% 2.14%
Atlantica Popular vote: 0.19% — 0.78% 0.25% 0.12% 0.25% 0.24%
Total seats: 22 8 7 7 6 5 55

Synopsis of results edit

 
2021 Nova Scotia riding flips by party.
Results by riding - 2021 Nova Scotia general election[a 1]
Riding Region 2017[a 2] Winning party Turnout
[a 3] 		Votes[a 4]
Party Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		PC Lib NDP Grn Atl Ind Total
 
Annapolis Annapolis Valley Lib Lib 4,231 49.62% 1,478 17.33% 57.80% 2,753 4,231 1,127 306 109 – 8,526
Antigonish Central Nova Lib PC 4,707 49.98% 1,710 18.16% 64.78% 4,707 2,997 1,552 128 34 – 9,418
Argyle[a 5] South Shore PC PC 3,649 82.35% 3,014 68.02% 67.54% 3,649 635 63 84 – – 4,431
Bedford Basin Suburban Halifax Lib Lib 3,700 50.87% 1,826 25.11% 55.61% 1,874 3,700 1,554 146 – – 7,274
Bedford South Suburban Halifax Lib Lib 3,586 45.37% 1,230 15.64% 56.03% 2,338 3,568 1,763 140 55 – 7,864
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Cape Breton NDP NDP 3,309 42.15% 121 1.54% 53.66% 1,281 3,188 3,309 72 – – 7,850
Cape Breton East Cape Breton PC PC 3,897 46.27% 803 9.54% 61.42% 3,897 3,094 1,432 – – – 8,423
Chester-St. Margaret's South Shore Lib PC 3,788 40.06% 232 2.45% 62.48% 3,788 3,556 1,626 417 68 – 9,455
Clare[a 5] Annapolis Valley Lib Lib 2,322 49.89% 301 6.46% 67.84% 2,021 2,322 153 158 – – 4,654
Clayton Park West Central Halifax Lib Lib 3,603 47.60% 1,728 22.83% 52.63% 1,875 3,603 1,836 210 46 – 7,570
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Fundy-Northeast PC PC 4,117 55.13% 2,204 29.51% 52.36% 4,117 1,913 1,438 – – – 7,468
Colchester North Fundy-Northeast Lib PC 4,477 53.18% 1,796 21.34% 56.67% 4,477 2,681 955 252 54 – 8,419
Cole Harbour Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib 2,118 39.75% 414 7.77% 53.30% 1,704 2,118 1,431 – 75 – 5,328
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib 5,144 52.24% 2,215 22.49% 61.62% 2,929 5,144 1,558 215 – – 9,846
Cumberland North Fundy-Northeast PC Ind 4,235 53.87% 1,747 22.22% 58.59% 569 2,488 569 – – 4,235 7,861
Cumberland South Fundy-Northeast PC PC 3,900 68.47% 2,808 49.30% 52.12% 3,900 1,092 524 180 – – 5,696
Dartmouth East Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore PC PC 3,260 38.99% 360 4.31% 57.44% 3,260 2,900 1,974 187 41 – 8,362
Dartmouth North Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore NDP NDP 3,731 49.75% 1,370 18.27% 46.02% 1,278 2,361 3,731 129 – – 7,499
Dartmouth South Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore NDP NDP 4,209 58.13% 2,606 35.99% 52.96% 1,262 1,603 4,209 167 – – 7,241
Digby-Annapolis Annapolis Valley Lib PC 2,636 49.55% 771 14.49% 52.98% 2,636 1,865 626 113 80 – 5,320
Eastern Passage Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore PC PC 2,469 44.82% 1,025 18.61% 52.65% 2,469 1,444 1,222 374 – – 5,509
Eastern Shore Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib PC 4,264 45.82% 1,095 11.76% 56.92% 4,264 3,169 1,618 254 – – 9,305
Fairview-Clayton Park Central Halifax Lib Lib 2,892 38.51% 105 1.40% 47.58% 1,678 2,892 2,787 153 – – 7,510
Glace Bay-Dominion Cape Breton Lib PC 2,754 34.61% 29 0.37% 59.37% 2,754 2,479 2,725 – – – 7,958
Guysborough–Tracadie Central Nova Lib PC 3,281 63.39% 1,710 33.04% 66.81% 3,281 1,571 247 77 – – 5,176
Halifax Armdale Central Halifax Lib Lib 3,070 40.35% 477 6.27% 54.02% 1,681 3,070 2,593 202 – 63 7,609
Halifax Atlantic Suburban Halifax Lib Lib 4,213 55.22% 2,473 32.41% 47.27% 1,493 4,213 1,740 183 – – 7,629
Halifax Chebucto Central Halifax NDP NDP 4,009 51.99% 1,531 19.85% 62.01% 911 2,478 4,009 313 – – 7,711
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Central Halifax Lib NDP 3,397 42.31% 441 5.49% 48.92% 1,425 2,956 3,397 250 – – 8,028
Halifax Needham Central Halifax NDP NDP 5,308 58.96% 2,691 29.89% 53.34% 904 2,617 5,308 173 – – 9,002
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Suburban Halifax Lib Lib 3,697 46.06% 832 10.36% 57.43% 2,865 3,697 1,333 131 – – 8,026
Hants East Fundy-Northeast Lib PC 3,328 37.36% 89 1.00% 51.19% 3,328 3,239 2,142 199 – – 8,908
Hants West Annapolis Valley Lib PC 3,968 43.11% 141 1.53% 55.98% 3,968 3,827 1,015 273 121 – 9,204
Inverness Cape Breton PC PC 4,833 55.85% 1,721 19.89% 61.58% 4,833 3,112 708 – – – 8,653
Kings North Annapolis Valley PC PC 3,971 44.70% 1,369 15.41% 55.30% 3,971 2,602 1,876 391 43 – 8,883
Kings South Annapolis Valley Lib Lib 4,049 44.11% 1,003 10.93% 55.70% 3,046 4,049 1,808 276 – – 9,179
Kings West Annapolis Valley Lib PC 4,592 49.45% 736 7.93% 56.65% 4,592 3,856 549 216 74 – 9,287
Lunenburg South Shore Lib PC 3,544 42.01% 629 7.46% 58.14% 3,544 2,915 1,750 171 57 – 8,437
Lunenburg West South Shore Lib PC 4,065 44.42% 868 9.48% 55.65% 4,065 3,197 1,709 180 – – 9,151
Northside-Westmount Cape Breton PC Lib 4,030 46.86% 890 10.35% 53.34% 3,140 4,030 1,430 – – – 8,600
Pictou Centre Central Nova PC PC 4,092 55.77% 1,823 24.84% 57.07% 4,092 2,269 862 114 – – 7,337
Pictou East Central Nova PC PC 4,918 69.68% 3,333 47.22% 61.44% 4,918 1,585 500 – 55 – 7,058
Pictou West Central Nova PC PC 4,487 63.62% 2,977 42.21% 62.1% 4,487 1,510 872 124 – 60 7,053
Preston[a 6] Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore Lib Lib 2,226 43.38% 754 14.69% 46.78% 1,472 2,226 1,433 – – – 5,131
Queens South Shore PC PC 3,627 70.37% 2,576 49.98% 58.36% 3,627 1,051 323 153 – – 5,154
Richmond[a 5] Cape Breton Lib PC 2,773 50.86% 764 14.01% 71.61% 2,773 2,009 274 – – 396 5,452
Sackville-Cobequid Suburban Halifax NDP PC 3,426 43.33% 849 10.74% 51.74% 3,426 1,701 2,577 203 – – 7,907
Sackville-Uniacke Suburban Halifax PC PC 3,104 43.82% 781 11.02% 51.44% 3,104 2,323 1,535 121 – – 7,083
Shelburne South Shore PC PC 3,905 62.56% 2,422 38.80% 54.50% 3,905 1,483 753 101 – – 6,242
Sydney-Membertou Cape Breton Lib Lib 4,561 54.27% 2,184 25.99% 52.66% 1,467 4,561 2,377 – – – 8,405
Timberlea-Prospect Suburban Halifax Lib Lib 5,181 54.38% 2,861 30.03% 55.68% 2,320 5,181 1,647 250 40 90 9,528
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Fundy-Northeast NDP PC 4,025 47.85% 1,484 17.64% 51.11% 4,025 2,541 1,398 448 – – 8,412
Victoria-The Lakes Cape Breton PC PC 3,536 54.37% 1,312 20.17% 51.50% 3,536 2,224 627 – – 116 6,503
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Suburban Halifax PC PC 3,938 40.38% 392 4.02% 56.55% 3,938 3,546 1,581 617 71 – 9,753
Yarmouth South Shore Lib Lib 4,344 56.32% 1,488 19.29% 55.17% 2,856 4,344 322 191 – – 7,713
  1. ^ "Provincial General Election 2021-08-17 - Official Results". electionsns.ca. Elections Nova Scotia. Retrieved August 19, 2021.
  2. ^ effect of 2019 restribution on previous election results, per "Transposition of Votes from the 2017 Provincial General Election to 2019 Electoral District Boundaries" (PDF). Elections Nova Scotia. April 12, 2021.
  3. ^ including spoilt ballots
  4. ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  5. ^ a b c Historically Acadian riding
  6. ^ Historically Black riding

Summary analysis edit

Change in popular vote by party (2021 vs 2017)
Party 2021 2017 Change (pp)
█ Progressive Conservative
38.44%
35.73%
 2.71 2.71
 
█ Liberal
36.67%
39.47%
 -2.80
 
█ New Democratic
20.93%
21.51%
 -0.58
 
█ Green
2.14%
2.77%
 -0.63
 
█ Independent
1.17%
0.11%
 1.06 1.06
 
█ Atlantica
0.24%
0.41%
 -0.17
 
Elections to the 64th Legislature of Nova Scotia – seats won/lost by party, 2017–2021
(after applying effect of redistribution)
Party 2017
(redist.) 		Gain from (loss to) 2021
Lib PC NDP Ind
Progressive Conservative 18 13 (1) 2 (1) 31
Liberal 30 1 (13) (1) 17
New Democratic 7 1 (2) 6
Independent – 1 1
Total 55 14 (1) 2 (15) 2 (1) (1) 55

Incumbents not running for reelection edit

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the 2021 general election:

Independent

Liberal Party

New Democratic Party

Candidates by constituency edit

Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest

NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections Nova Scotia[31]

Annapolis Valley edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica
Annapolis Carman Kerr
4,231
49.62% 		Jennifer Ehrenfeld-Poole
2,753
32.29% 		Cheryl Burbidge
1,127
13.22% 		Krista Grear
306
3.59% 		Mark Robertson
109
1.28% 		Vacant
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
2,322
49.89% 		Carl Deveau
2,021
43.43% 		Cameron Pye
153
3.29% 		Claire McDonald
158
3.39% 		Gordon Wilson†
Clare-Digby
Digby-Annapolis Jimmy MacAlpine
1,865
35.06% 		Jill Balser
2,636
49.55% 		Michael Carty
626
11.77% 		Jessica Walker
113
2.12% 		Tyler Ducharme
80
1.50% 		New riding
Hants West Brian Casey
3,827
41.58% 		Melissa Sheehy-Richard
3,968
43.11% 		Caet Moir
1,015
11.03% 		Jenn Kang
273
2.97% 		Gordon J. Berry
121
1.31% 		Chuck Porter†
Kings North Geof Turner
2,602
29.29% 		John Lohr
3,971
44.70% 		Erin Patterson
1,876
21.12% 		Doug Hickman
391
4.40% 		Paul Dunn
43
0.48% 		John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving
4,049
44.11% 		Derrick Kimball
3,046
33.18% 		Mercedes Brian
1,808
19.70% 		Barry Leslie
276
3.01% 		Keith Irving
Kings West Emily Lutz
3,856
41.52% 		Chris Palmer
4,592
49.45% 		Jason Langille
549
5.91% 		Sue Earle
216
2.33% 		Rick Mehta
74
0.80% 		Leo Glavine†

South Shore edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica
Argyle Nick d'Entremont
635
14.33% 		Colton LeBlanc
3,649
82.35% 		Robin Smith
63
1.42% 		Corey Clamp
84
1.90% 		Colton LeBlanc
Argyle-Barrington
Chester-St. Margaret's Jacob Killawee
3,556
37.61% 		Danielle Barkhouse
3,788
40.06% 		Amy Stewart Reitsma
1,626
17.20% 		Jessica Alexander
417
4.41% 		Steven Foster
68
0.72% 		Hugh MacKay†
Lunenburg Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
2,915
34.55% 		Susan Corkum-Greek
3,544
42.01% 		Alison Smith
1,750
20.74% 		Thomas Trappenberg
171
2.03% 		John Giannakos
57
0.68% 		Suzanne Lohnes-Croft
Lunenburg West Jennifer Naugler
3,197
34.94% 		Becky Druhan
4,065
44.42% 		Merydie Ross
1,709
18.68% 		Eric Wade
180
1.97% 		Mark Furey†
Queens Susan MacLeod
1,051
20.39% 		Kim Masland
3,627
70.37% 		Mary Dahr
323
6.27% 		Brian Muldoon
153
2.97% 		Kim Masland
Queens-Shelburne
Shelburne Penny Smith
1,483
23.76% 		Nolan Young
3,905
62.56% 		Darren Stoddard
753
12.06% 		Steve Hirchak
101
1.62% 		New riding
Yarmouth Zach Churchill
4,344
56.32% 		Candice Clairmont
2,856
37.03% 		SJ Rogers
322
4.17% 		Adam Randall
191
2.48% 		Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Rhonda MacLellan
1,913
25.62% 		Larry Harrison
4,117
55.13% 		Janet Moulton
1,438
19.26% 		Larry Harrison
Colchester North Merlyn Smith
2,681
31.84% 		Tom Taggart
4,477
53.18% 		Sean Foley
955
11.34% 		Ivan Drouin
252
2.99% 		Stephan Sante
54
0.64% 		Karen Casey†
Cumberland North Bill Casey
2,488
31.65% 		David Wightman
569
7.24% 		Lauren Skabar
569
7.24% 		Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
4,235
53.87% 		Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Rollie Lawless
1,092
19.17% 		Tory Rushton
3,900
68.47% 		Larry Duchesne
524
9.20% 		Nicholas Hendren
180
3.16% 		Tory Rushton
Hants East Michael Blois
3,239
36.36% 		John A. MacDonald
3,328
37.36% 		Abby Cameron
2,142
24.05% 		Simon Greenough
199
2.23% 		Vacant
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Tamara Tynes Powell
2,541
30.21% 		Dave Ritcey
4,025
47.85% 		Darlene DeAdder
1,398
16.62% 		Shaun Trainor
448
5.33% 		Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
3,603
47.60% 		Nargis DeMolitor
1,875
24.77% 		Reena Davis
1,836
24.25% 		Richard Zurawski
210
2.77% 		Helen Lau
46
0.61% 		Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
2,892
38.51% 		Nicole Mosher
1,678
22.34% 		Joanne Hussey
2,787
37.11% 		Sheila Richardson
153
2.04% 		Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Ali Duale
3,070
40.35% 		Richard MacLean
1,681
22.09% 		Julie Melanson
2,593
34.08% 		Jo-Ann Roberts
202
2.65% 		Stephen Chafe
63
0.83% 		Lena Diab†
Halifax Chebucto Jackie Kinley
2,478
32.14% 		John Wesley Chisholm
911
11.81% 		Gary Burrill
4,009
51.99% 		Lily Barraclough
313
4.06% 		Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Labi Kousoulis
2,956
36.82% 		Sheri Morgan
1,425
17.75% 		Lisa Lachance
3,397
42.31% 		Noah Hollis
250
3.11% 		Labi Kousoulis
Halifax Needham Colin Coady
2,617
29.07% 		Scott Ellis
904
10.04% 		Suzy Hansen
5,308
58.96% 		Kai Trappenberg
173
1.92% 		Lisa Roberts†

Suburban Halifax edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
3,700
50.87% 		Nick Driscoll
1,874
25.76% 		Jacob Wilson
1,554
21.36% 		Madeline Taylor
146
2.01% 		Kelly Regan
Bedford
Bedford South Braedon Clark
3,568
45.37% 		Sura Hadad
2,338
29.73% 		David Paterson
1,763
22.42% 		Ron G. Parker
140
1.78% 		Alan Nightingale
55
0.70% 		New riding
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
4,213
55.22% 		Tim Cranston
1,493
19.57% 		Shauna Hatt
1,740
22.81% 		Sarah Weston
183
2.40% 		Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
3,697
46.06% 		Julie Chaisson
2,865
35.70% 		Angela Downey
1,333
16.61% 		Mark Embrett
131
1.63% 		Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Mary LeRoy
1,701
21.51% 		Steve Craig
3,426
43.33% 		Lara Fawthrop
2,577
32.59% 		Ian Dawson
203
2.57% 		Steve Craig
Sackville-Uniacke Donalda MacIsaac
2,323
32.80% 		Brad Johns
3,104
43.82% 		Thomas Hill
1,535
21.67% 		Carson LeQuesne
121
1.71% 		Brad Johns
Sackville-Beaver Bank
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
5,181
54.38% 		Bill Healy
2,320
24.35% 		Raymond Theriault
1,647
17.29% 		Harry Ward
250
2.62% 		Dessire G. Miari
40
0.42% 		Dawn Edith Penney
90
0.94% 		Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Marni Tuttle
3,546
36.36% 		Brian Wong
3,938
40.38% 		Christina McCarron
1,581
16.21% 		Anthony Edmonds
617
6.33% 		Shawn Whitford
71
0.73% 		Bill Horne†

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica
Cole Harbour Tony Ince
2,118
39.75% 		Darryl Johnson
1,704
31.98% 		Jerome Lagmay
1,431
26.86% 		Chris Kinnie
75
1.41% 		Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Portland Valley
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
5,144
52.24% 		Karina Sanford
2,929
29.75% 		Melody Pentland
1,558
15.82% 		Rana Zaman
215
2.18% 		New riding
Dartmouth East D'Arcy Poultney
2,900
34.68% 		Tim Halman
3,260
38.99% 		Tyler J. Colbourne
1,974
23.61% 		Sara Adams
187
2.24% 		Chris Bowie
41
0.49% 		Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Pam Cooley
2,361
31.48% 		Lisa Coates
1,278
17.04% 		Susan Leblanc
3,731
49.75% 		Carolyn Marshall
129
1.72% 		Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Lesley MacKay
1,603
22.14% 		Chris Curtis
1,262
17.43% 		Claudia Chender
4,209
58.13% 		Skylar Martini
167
2.31% 		Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Joyce Treen
1,444
26.21% 		Barbara Adams
2,469
44.82% 		Tammy Jakeman
1,222
22.18% 		Corey Myers
374
6.79% 		Barbara Adams
Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
Eastern Shore Kevin Murphy
3,169
34.06% 		Kent Smith
4,264
45.82% 		Deirdre Dwyer
1,618
17.39% 		Cheryl Atkinson
254
2.73% 		Kevin Murphy
Preston Angela Simmonds
2,226
43.38% 		Archy Beals
1,472
28.69% 		Colter C.C. Simmonds
1,433
27.93% 		Keith Colwell†
Preston-Dartmouth

Central Nova edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Atlantica Independent
Antigonish Randy Delorey
2,997
31.82% 		Michelle Thompson
4,707
49.98% 		Moraig MacGillivray
1,552
16.48% 		Will Fraser
128
1.36% 		Ryan Smyth
34
0.36% 		Randy Delorey
Guysborough-Tracadie Lloyd Hines
1,571
30.35% 		Greg Morrow
3,281
63.39% 		Matt Stickland
247
4.77%
 Gabe Bruce
77
1.49% 		Lloyd Hines
Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
Pictou Centre Jim McKenna
2,269
30.93% 		Pat Dunn
4,092
55.77% 		Vernon Theriault
862
11.75% 		Laura Moore
114
1.55% 		Pat Dunn
Pictou East Joe MacDonald
1,585
22.46% 		Tim Houston
4,918
69.68% 		Joy Polley
500
7.08% 		Jonathan Geoffrey Dean
55
0.78% 		Tim Houston
Pictou West Mary Wooldridge-Elliott
1,510
21.41% 		Karla MacFarlane
4,487
63.62% 		Rick Parker
872
12.36% 		Clare Brett
124
1.76% 		John A. Clark
60
0.85% 		Karla MacFarlane

Cape Breton edit

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Green Independent
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Michelle Wilson
3,188
40.61% 		Bryden Mombourquette
1,281
16.32% 		Kendra Coombes
3,309
42.15% 		Robert Hussey
72
0.92% 		Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton Centre
Cape Breton East Heather Peters
3,094
36.73% 		Brian Comer
3,897
46.27% 		Barbara Beaton
1,432
17.00% 		Brian Comer
Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Glace Bay-Dominion John John McCarthy
2,479
31.15% 		John White
2,754
34.61% 		John Morgan
2,725
34.24% 		Geoff MacLellan†
Glace Bay
Inverness Damian MacInnis
3,112
35.96% 		Allan MacMaster
4,833
55.85% 		Joanna Clark
708
8.18% 		Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
4,030
46.86% 		Murray Ryan
3,140
36.51% 		Jennifer Morrison
1,430
16.63% 		Murray Ryan
Richmond Matt Haley
2,009
36.85% 		Trevor Boudreau
2,773
50.86% 		Bryson Syliboy
274
5.03% 		Alana Paon
396
7.26% 		Alana Paon
Cape Breton-Richmond
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
4,561
54.27% 		Pauline Singer
1,467
17.45% 		Madonna Doucette
2,377
28.28% 		Derek Mombourquette
Sydney-Whitney Pier
Victoria-The Lakes Nadine Bernard
2,224
34.20% 		Keith Bain
3,536
54.37% 		Adrianna MacKinnon
627
9.64% 		Stemer MacLeod
116
1.78% 		Keith Bain

Opinion polls edit

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2017 election

 

Polling Firm Poll Published Link Liberal PC NDP Green Lead
Election Results August 17, 2021 N/A 36.67 38.44 20.93 2.14 1.77
Forum Research August 16, 2021 HTML 39 36 21 3 3
Mainstreet Research August 16, 2021 HTML 38 36 21 3 2
Narrative Research August 11, 2021 PDF Archived August 11, 2021, at the Wayback Machine 40 31 27 2 9
Leger August 2, 2021 PDF 42 32 20 5 10
Mainstreet Research July 22, 2021 HTML 42 30 22 4 12
Premier Iain Rankin calls a election to be held on August 17, 2021 (July 17, 2021)
Angus Reid June 9, 2021 HTML 41 33 20 4 8
Narrative Research June 3, 2021 HTML 52 24 19 5 28
Narrative Research March 9, 2021 HTML 50 26 18 6 24
MQO Research February 25, 2021 HTML 51 27 15 4 24
Iain Rankin is sworn in as Premier of Nova Scotia (February 23, 2021)
Iain Rankin is elected leader of the Liberal Party (February 6, 2021)
Angus Reid December 10, 2020 HTML 37 29 25 7 8
Narrative Research December 8, 2020 HTML 49 25 21 5 24
Narrative Research September 3, 2020 HTML 47 27 19 6 20
Stephen McNeil announces his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and Premier of Nova Scotia (August 6, 2020)
Angus Reid June 8, 2020 HTML 42 31 19 7 11
Narrative Research May 25, 2020 HTML 57 22 15 6 35
Innovative Research Group May 12, 2020 PDF 49 24 18 9 25
Narrative Research March 12, 2020 HTML 43 27 21 10 16
MQO Research March 3, 2020 PDF 34 32 22 9 2
Narrative Research December 10, 2019 HTML 42 26 21 9 16
MQO Research August 31, 2019 PDF 35 35 20 8 Tie
Narrative Research July 31–August 22, 2019 PDF[permanent dead link] 39 28 16 15 11
Narrative Research June 13, 2019 HTML 31 33 21 13 2
MQO Research May 13, 2019 PDF 30 38 18 12 8
Corporate Research Associates March 6, 2019 PDF Archived March 7, 2019, at the Wayback Machine 37 34 24 5 3
MQO Research February 13, 2019 PDF 41 33 19 7 8
Mainstreet Research January 30, 2019 HTML 32.1 31.0 25.2 8.1 1.1
Corporate Research Associates December 12, 2018 PDF Archived December 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 38 31 24 6 7
Mainstreet Research November 16, 2018 HTML 32.7 33.2 20.7 8.9 0.5
MQO Research November 8, 2018 PDF 42 36 15 6 6
Tim Houston is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party (October 27, 2018)
Corporate Research Associates September 6, 2018 PDF Archived September 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 43 32 21 4 11
MQO Research August 9, 2018 PDF 45 31 20 4 14
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 HTML 36.7 33.8 22.9 5 2.9
Corporate Research Associates June 6, 2018 PDF[permanent dead link] 45 29 23 3 16
MQO Research May 11, 2018 PDF 40 31 23 4 9
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 HTML 40.2 34.7 17.3 5.6 5.5
Corporate Research Associates March 8, 2018 PDF Archived March 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine 37 34 25 4 3
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2018 HTML 40.6 38.5 15.7 5.2 2.1
MQO Research January 24, 2018 PDF 47 30 17 5 17
Corporate Research Associates December 6, 2017 PDF Archived December 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 38 29 27 5 9
MQO Research October 24, 2017 PDF 44 32 19 4 12
Corporate Research Associates September 13, 2017 PDF Archived September 13, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 45 29 22 4 16
MQO Research July 27, 2017 PDF 46 30 21 3 16
Corporate Research Associates June 7, 2017 PDF Archived July 30, 2017, at the Wayback Machine 40 29 28 2 11
Election 2017 May 30, 2017 HTML 39.5 35.7 21.5 2.8 3.8

References edit

  1. ^ "Provincial General Election 2021-08-17- Official Results". Elections Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on October 8, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
  2. ^ Doucette, Keith (October 9, 2019). "Province to restore four protected ridings for Acadians, African Nova Scotians". CTV News. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
  3. ^ "Tories surge to upset majority win in N.S. Election with a campaign focused on health". August 17, 2021.
  4. ^ Aly Thomson (August 18, 2021). "Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin elected as Independent in Cumberland North". CBC. Retrieved December 28, 2022.
  5. ^ "Record number of Black MLAs elected to Nova Scotia Legislature". CBC News. August 18, 2021. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
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  13. ^ Laroche, Jean (November 16, 2018). "Dave Wilson steps down as MLA for Sackville-Cobequid". CBC News. Retrieved November 29, 2018.
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  15. ^ "Longtime NDP MLA Lenore Zann to run for federal Liberal nomination". CTV News. June 9, 2019. Retrieved June 9, 2019.
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  17. ^ a b c Laroche, Jean (July 19, 2019). "3 PC MLAs jumping to federal politics co-ordinate resignations". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved August 2, 2019.
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  20. ^ Long, Samantha (August 5, 2021). "Three N.S. party leaders go head-to-head in election roundtable discussion". CTV News. Retrieved August 11, 2021.
  21. ^ Laroche, Jean (June 28, 2021). "Nova Scotia Independent MLA Hugh MacKay won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 28, 2021.
  22. ^ April, Allan (January 21, 2020). "N.S. Deputy Premier, finance minister Karen Casey won't reoffer in next election". CTV News Atlantic. Retrieved January 21, 2021.
  23. ^ Grant, Taryn (July 12, 2021). "Long-time Liberal MLA Keith Colwell will not reoffer in next N.S. election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  24. ^ Gorman, Michael (June 8, 2021). "N.S. Immigration Minister Diab to run for Parliament". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  25. ^ Gorman, Michael (February 19, 2021). "Justice Minister Mark Furey will not reoffer in next provincial election". CBC Nova Scotia. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
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  29. ^ Gorman, Michael (September 16, 2020). "N.S. Environment Minister Gordon Wilson not reoffering in next election". CBC News. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
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