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2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election 
Summary
The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022.[2] The seat, which went to Democratic president Joe Biden by only four points in the 2020 United States presidential election after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[3]
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Texas's 34th congressional district | ||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 7.36%[1] | |||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Flores: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% 80–90% Sanchez: 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||
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Republican candidate Mayra Flores won outright with 51% of the vote. Although Democrat Dan Sanchez was able to hold on to the Hidalgo County portion of the district by nine points, as well as flip Kenedy County after it went to Donald Trump in 2020, it was not enough to overcome Flores's gains in Cameron and Willacy Counties, resulting in them narrowly flipping red in this race after going to Biden by double digits in the 2020 contest. Flores was also able to shore up support in the district's northern rural counties, which typically vote Republican in the past. Flores became the first Republican to represent parts of the Rio Grande Valley since Blake Farenthold flipped the 27th district in 2010.
Candidates edit
Democratic Party edit
Declared edit
- Dan Sanchez, attorney and former Cameron County commissioner[4]
- Rene Coronado, civil service director[5]
Declined edit
- Vicente Gonzalez, U.S. Representative for Texas's 15th congressional district and nominee for this district in the 2022 regular election[6][7] (endorsed Sanchez)[5]
Republican Party edit
Declared edit
- Mayra Flores, respiratory care practitioner, Hidalgo County GOP Hispanic outreach chair, and nominee for this district in the 2022 regular election[8][7]
- Juana Cantu-Cabrera, former Palmhurst city Mayor Pro-Tem, former UTPA nursing professor, Nurse Practitioner, Forensic Nurse examiner and candidate for this district in the 2022 regular election[5][9]
Endorsements edit
Mayra Flores (R)
- U.S. Representatives
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district (2015–present) and Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present)[10]
- State officials
- Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas (2015–present)[5]
- Matt Rinaldi, chair of the Republican Party of Texas (2021–present) and former state representative (2015–2019)[5]
- Organizations
- Others
- Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla, Inc.[5]
- Peter Thiel, Venture capitalist[5]
Dan Sanchez (D)
- U.S. Representatives
- Vicente Gonzalez, U.S. Representative from Texas's 15th congressional district (2017–present)[5]
- Filemon Vela Jr., former U.S. Representative from Texas's 34th congressional district (2013–2022)[5]
- Organizations
Special election edit
Predictions edit
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Tossup | April 8, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[13] | Tossup | June 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Lean R (flip) | March 30, 2022 |
Polling edit
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) |
Rene Coronado (D) |
Mayra Flores (R) |
Dan Sanchez (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRH Elections (R) | June 8–11, 2022 | 484 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 3% | 7% | 43% | 34% | 13% |
| Ragnar Research Partners (R)[A] | April 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 7% | 9% | 24% | 19% | 41% |
Fundraising edit
| Campaign finance reports | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Amount raised | Amount spent | Cash on hand |
| Mayra Flores (R) | $1,722,406 | $1,608,423 | $113,983 |
| Daniel Sanchez (D) | $173,668 | $173,668 | $0 |
| Source: OpenSecrets[15] | |||
Results edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mayra Flores | 14,799 | 50.91 | ||
| Democratic | Dan Sanchez | 12,606 | 43.37 | ||
| Democratic | Rene Coronado | 1,210 | 4.16 | ||
| Republican | Juana Cantu-Cabrera | 454 | 1.56 | ||
| Total votes | 29,069 | 100.00 | |||
| Registered electors | 395,025 | ||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By county
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See also edit
Notes edit
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee
References edit
- ^ a b "SPECIAL ELECTION CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 34 - UNOFFICIAL RESULTS". Secretary of State of Texas. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 16, 2022.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (April 4, 2022). "Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 5, 2022. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- ^ Livingston, Abby (March 31, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat". KXAN-TV. April 6, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Svitek, Patrick (April 13, 2022). "Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
- ^ "NEW: Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Dem nominee in the 34th, tells me he will *not* run in this special election, even though he'll continue to run for Vela's open seat in the November election. (Gonzalez is running in the 34th after his current district, the 15th, was redistricted.)".
- ^ a b "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". March 24, 2022.
- ^ Svitek, Patrick (March 24, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- ^ "Qualified Candidates Information". Texas Secretary of State.
- ^ Schultz, Marisa (March 8, 2022). "Elise Stefanik unveils new endorsements for 2022 midterm elections". Fox News. Retrieved May 31, 2022.
- ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Announces New 2022 Endorsements". www.bolcpac.com. May 31, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
- ^ Wasserman, Dave (April 8, 2022). "TX-34 Special Election Gives GOP an Early South Texas Gift". Retrieved April 8, 2022.
- ^ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
- ^ Kondik, Kyle (March 30, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: March 30, 2022". Retrieved March 30, 2022.
- ^ "Texas District 34 2022 Special Election". OpenSecrets. Archived from the original on October 7, 2022. Retrieved October 7, 2022.
External links edit
- Official campaign websites
- Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) for Congress
- Mayra Flores (R) for Congress
- Dan Sanchez (D) for Congress