The 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama. Incumbent senator Richard Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat before becoming a Republican in 1994.[1] In his most recent election in 2016, he was re-elected with nearly 64% of the vote over Democrat Ron Crumpton.[2] In February 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term,[3] which resulted in the first open Senate seat since 1996 and the first in this seat since 1968.[a]
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Turnout | 38.5% | ||||||||||||||||
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Britt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Boyd: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24, with Will Boyd securing the Democratic nomination. However, as none of the Republican candidates received at least 50% of the vote, a runoff election occurred on June 21 between the top two candidates of the first round: attorney Katie Britt and U.S. representative Mo Brooks. Britt won the runoff against Brooks and subsequently became the Republican nominee.[4]
Britt's victory in the Republican Party primary was seen as tantamount to election in Alabama, which is a heavily Republican state.[5][6][7] Britt won the general election and became the first woman elected to the U.S. Senate in the state's history.[b][c] She is also the first non-incumbent Republican Senator from Alabama to have been elected to this seat since 1980.
Early polling showed U.S. Representative Mo Brooks as the frontrunner in the race, and he received the endorsement of former president Donald Trump.[8] However, in November, the race started becoming increasingly closer with former chief of staff to incumbent senator Richard Shelby, Katie Britt, running neck and neck with Brooks. In March 2022, businessman and former pilot Michael Durant took the lead in the race, with Brooks only just beginning to spend money on television advertisements. On March 23, 2022, with Brooks polling in third place, Trump revoked his endorsement and promised to endorse a new candidate.[9] In his official statement, Trump slammed Brooks for wanting to move past the 2020 United States presidential election, and claimed he went "woke" on it. There was speculation that Trump withdrew his endorsement because he did not want to be associated with a losing campaign. Brooks claimed that Trump had told him to reinstate him as President and that Trump had been manipulated by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Brooks attacked Britt as allegedly being weak on illegal immigration and supporting higher taxes, while Brooks' critics frequently point to his long career in politics, having been in office for 40 years.[10][11] In May, a planned debate between the three candidates was canceled after Durant declined to attend.[12] A runoff election took place on June 21 as none of the candidates managed 50% of the vote needed to win the nomination outright, with Britt becoming the Republican nominee.
No. | Date | Host | Link | Participants | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn O Not yet entered race | ||||||||||||
Blanchard | Britt | Brooks | Dunn | Durant | Taylor | |||||||
1[106] | Sep 15, 2021 | Coffee County Republican Women | WTVY | P | P | P | A | O | A | |||
2[107] | Sep 28, 2021 | Alabama Public Employees' Advocacy League | WHNT | P | P | A | P | P | ||||
3[108] | Feb 19, 2022 | Alabama Republican Party | N/A | W | P | P | W | P | W | |||
4[109] | Feb 28, 2022 | Butler County Republican Party | N/A | P | P | A | ||||||
5[110] | Mar 22, 2022 | Tallapoosa County Republican Party | N/A | P | P | A | ||||||
6[111] | Mar 24, 2022 | Houston County Republican Party | N/A | P | P | A | ||||||
7[112] | Apr 25, 2022 | Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce | N/A | A | P | A |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Katie Britt |
Mo Brooks |
Mike Durant |
Other [d] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | May 15–21, 2022 | May 24, 2022 | 34.7% | 28.7% | 25.3% | 11.3% | Britt +6.0 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Lynda Blanchard |
Katie Britt |
Mo Brooks |
Mike Durant |
Jessica Taylor |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | May 18–21, 2022 | 1,060 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 36% | 28% | 23% | – | 4%[f] | 9% | ||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | May 16–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 37% | 25% | 24% | – | – | 13% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | May 15–16, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 31% | 29% | 24% | – | 6% | 10% | ||||||
Emerson College | May 15–16, 2022 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | 32% | 25% | 26% | – | 3%[g] | 14% | ||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | May 9–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 37% | 21% | 31% | – | – | 12% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | May 6–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 32% | 23% | 21% | – | 9% | 16% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | May 2–5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | 27% | 20% | 20% | – | 9%[h] | 24% | ||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | May 2–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 39% | 22% | 27% | – | – | 12% | ||||||
Emerson College | March 25–27, 2022 | 687 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | 23% | 12% | 33% | – | 7%[i] | 26% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | March 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 28% | 16% | 35% | – | 7%[j] | 14% | ||||||
Wisemen Consulting (R) | March 15–17, 2022 | – (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 27% | 23% | 29% | – | 4%[k] | 17% | ||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | March 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 32% | 18% | 34% | – | – | 17% | ||||||
Cherry Communications (R)[B] | February 2–6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 29% | 34% | 24% | – | – | 13% | ||||||
Deep Root Analytics (R) Archived February 7, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[C] | January 29–31, 2022 | 2,088 (LV) | ± 2.1% | – | 29% | 28% | 23% | – | – | 20% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R) Archived February 7, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[D] | January 25–27, 2022 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 25% | 35% | 30% | – | – | 10% | ||||||
Taylor withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | December 6–9, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 26% | 31% | 17% | 4% | – | 22% | ||||||
Blanchard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
TargetPoint Consulting (R)[C] | November 3–8, 2021 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | 31% | 30% | 12% | 7% | – | 20% | ||||||
Cygnal (R)[E] | November 3–4, 2021 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 1% | 24% | 22% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 39% | ||||||
The Strategy Group (R)[F] | November 1–4, 2021 | 784 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 3% | 23% | 28% | 7% | 1% | – | 31% | ||||||
Cygnal (R)[E] | October 21–22, 2021 | – (LV) | – | – | 14% | 26% | – | – | – | – | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] | October 12–14, 2021 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 12% | 55% | – | 5% | – | 23% | ||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | August 24 – September 2, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 3% | 11% | 41% | – | 7% | – | 39% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | August 17–18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 18% | 41% | – | 3% | 5% | 32% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] | April 26–27, 2021 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 13% | 9% | 59% | – | – | – | 19% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Katie Britt | 289,425 | 44.75% | |
Republican | Mo Brooks | 188,539 | 29.15% | |
Republican | Michael Durant | 150,817 | 23.32% | |
Republican | Jake Schafer | 7,371 | 1.14% | |
Republican | Karla DuPriest | 5,739 | 0.89% | |
Republican | Lillie Boddie | 4,849 | 0.75% | |
Total votes | 646,740 | 100.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Katie Britt |
Mo Brooks |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | June 13–16, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Auburn University at Montgomery | June 8–15, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Emerson College | June 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 34% | 17% |
JMC Analytics (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 630 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A] | June 6–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | March 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 28% | 21% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | December 6–9, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 37% | 25% |
Cygnal (R)[E] | November 3–4, 2021 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Cygnal (R)[E] | October 21–22, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 26% | 34% | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Katie Britt |
Mike Durant |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | March 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 47% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Mo Brooks |
Mike Durant |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | March 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 23% | 57% | 20% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Katie Britt | 253,251 | 63.02% | |
Republican | Mo Brooks | 148,636 | 36.98% | |
Total votes | 401,887 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||||||
Boyd | Dean | Jackson | |||||||||||
1[122] | Apr 07, 2022 | DeKalb County Democratic Party | N/A | N/A | P | P | A | ||||||
2[112] | Apr 25, 2022 | Calhoun County Chamber of Commerce | N/A | N/A | P | A | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Will Boyd |
Brandaun Dean |
Lanny Jackson |
Victor Williams |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 15–16, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 26% | 15% | 11% | – | 49% |
Emerson College | March 25–27, 2022 | 359 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 67% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Will Boyd | 107,588 | 63.72% | |
Democratic | Brandaun Dean | 32,863 | 19.46% | |
Democratic | Lanny Jackson | 28,402 | 16.82% | |
Total votes | 168,853 | 100.0% |
No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[125]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[129] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[130] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[131] | Safe R | March 1, 2022 |
Politico[132] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[133] | Safe R | June 21, 2022 |
Fox News[134] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ[135] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[136] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[137] | Solid R | September 7, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[e] |
Margin of error |
Katie Britt (R) |
Will Boyd (D) |
John Sophocleus (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | October 27–29, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.94% | 57% | 28% | 6% | - |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Katie Britt | 942,154 | 66.62% | +2.66% | |
Democratic | Will Boyd | 436,746 | 30.88% | -4.99% | |
Libertarian | John Sophocleus | 32,879 | 2.32% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,459 | 0.17% | ±0.0% | ||
Total votes | 1,414,238 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold |
Britt won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[153]
District | Britt | Boyd | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 69% | 29% | Jerry Carl |
2nd | 70% | 28% | Barry Moore |
3rd | 71% | 26% | Mike Rogers |
4th | 84% | 14% | Robert Aderholt |
5th | 67% | 30% | Mo Brooks (117th Congress) |
Dale Strong (118th Congress) | |||
6th | 67% | 29% | Gary Palmer |
7th | 37% | 61% | Terri Sewell |
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