The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.
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Hassan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bolduc: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 88,146 | 93.77% | |
Democratic | Paul Krautmann | 3,629 | 3.86% | |
Democratic | John Riggieri | 1,680 | 1.79% | |
Write-in | 546 | 0.58% | ||
Total votes | 94,001 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Don Bolduc | Kevin Smith | Chuck Morse | Vikram Mansharamani | Bruce Fenton | |||||
1 | June 27, 2022 | NH Journal | Michael Graham Alicia Xanthopolous Haris Alic |
Link[60] | P | P | P | P | P |
2[61] | August 16, 2022 | Good Morning New Hampshire | Jack Heath | N/A | P | P | P | P | P |
3[citation needed] | August 24, 2022 | Newsmax | John Bachmann | P | P | P | N | P | |
4 | September 8, 2022 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
YouTube | P | P | P | P | P |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | August 9–29, 2022 | August 31, 2022 | 37.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 32.0% | Bolduc +18.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–8, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | 33% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 9% | – | 25% |
University of New Hampshire | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 39% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 315 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 33% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | 58% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Don Bolduc | 52,629 | 36.91% | |
Republican | Chuck Morse | 50,929 | 35.71% | |
Republican | Kevin H. Smith | 16,621 | 11.65% | |
Republican | Vikram Mansharamani | 10,690 | 7.50% | |
Republican | Bruce Fenton | 6,381 | 4.47% | |
Republican | John Berman | 961 | 0.67% | |
Republican | Andy Martin | 920 | 0.64% | |
Republican | Tejasinha Sivalingam | 832 | 0.58% | |
Republican | Dennis Lamare | 773 | 0.54% | |
Republican | Edward Laplante | 723 | 0.51% | |
Republican | Gerard Beloin | 521 | 0.36% | |
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) (write-in) | 316 | 0.22% | |
Write-in | 307 | 0.21% | ||
Total votes | 142,603 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[67] | Lean D | August 18, 2022 |
Inside Elections[68] | Tilt D | July 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[69] | Lean D | August 31, 2022 |
Politico[70] | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
RCP[71] | Tossup | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[72] | Lean D | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ[73] | Lean D | October 24, 2022 |
538[74] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
The Economist[75] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other [d] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 4.0% | Hassan +1.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | September 23 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% | Hassan +2.2 |
270towin | October 27 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 49.2% | 46.0% | 4.8% | Hassan +3.2 |
Average | 48.9% | 46.6% | 4.5% | Hassan +2.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillips Academy | November 5–6, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | 2%[e] | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | November 2–6, 2022 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 48% | 1%[f] | <1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[A] | November 5, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 48% | 1%[g] | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,995 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 2%[h] | – |
Wick Insights (R) | November 2–5, 2022 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | 2%[i] | 1% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 45% | 3%[j] | 3% |
50% | 46% | 5%[k] | – | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 4%[l] | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | October 28–29, 2022 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | 2%[m] | 3% |
co/efficient (R) | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | 3%[n] | 7% |
UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 41% | 3%[o] | 5% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[A] | October 23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 3%[p] | 3% |
Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3%[q] | 4% |
50% | 45% | 5%[r] | – | ||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[B] | October 17–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,392 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 3%[s] | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[C] | October 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 2% | 1% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 26–30, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 45% | 4%[t] | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | September 23–30, 2022 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 3%[u] | 4% |
Saint Anselm College | September 27–28, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 4%[v] | 4% |
Suffolk University | September 23–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 41% | 3%[w] | 7% |
American Research Group | September 15–19, 2022 | 555 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 40% | – | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | September 15–19, 2022 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | 5%[x] | 5% |
Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 4% | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
Change Research (D)[D] | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | 1% | 6% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 40% | – | 15% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 39% | 7% | 10% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 12% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% |
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 42% | 6% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 39% | 2% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | 7% | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bruce Fenton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 0% | 14% |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other [y] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 | April 21, 2022 | 44.3% | 40.0% | 15.7% | Hassan +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 1% | 9% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 40% | – | 17% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 11% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 27% | 17% | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corey Lewandowski (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 34% | 3% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corky Messner (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Tarrance Group (R)[E] | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 34% | 10% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | October 20–22, 2021 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 46% | 9% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 45% | 6% | 6% |
Saint Anselm College | August 24–26, 2021 | 1,855 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 49% | 6% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
Saint Anselm College | March 4–6, 2021 | 871 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | 7% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R)[B] | October 17–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 4% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 32% | 46% | – | 22% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% | ||
The Tarrance Group (R)[E] | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 1,898 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
Maggie Hassan | Donald C. Bolduc | |||||
1 | October 27, 2022 | NHPR | Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee | YouTube | P | P |
1 | November 1, 2022 | Saint Anselm College | Adam Sexton | YouTube | P | P |
In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 332,490 | 53.54% | +5.56% | |
Republican | Don Bolduc | 275,631 | 44.39% | −3.45% | |
Libertarian | Jeremy Kauffman | 12,390 | 2.00% | +0.30% | |
Write-in | 464 | 0.07% | – | ||
Total votes | 620,975 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
By county
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Hassan won both congressional districts.[102]
District | Hassan | Bolduc | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 53% | 45% | Chris Pappas |
2nd | 54% | 44% | Annie Kuster |
{{cite web}}
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