2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey

Summary

The 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Primary elections are June 4, 2024.[1]

2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Party Democratic Republican Independent

Incumbent U.S. senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic



The election has drawn attention due to incumbent Democrat Bob Menendez's indictment for federal corruption charges in 2023.[2] On March 21, 2024, Menendez stated he would not seek re-election on the Democratic ticket, and is instead considering a run as an independent.

The Democratic primary was considered by many to be highly contentious due to allegations of nepotism and favoritism shown by New Jersey Democratic Party politicians and county chairs towards Tammy Murphy, First Lady of New Jersey, before she withdrew from the race in March 2024.[3]

Democratic primary edit

Background edit

The Senate seat has been held by Democrat Bob Menendez since 2006, who first took office by appointment and subsequently won his first three Senate races. In 2023, Menendez was indicted on federal corruption charges that he aided and provided sensitive information to the government of Egypt.[4][5] Menendez was previously indicted on federal corruption charges in 2015 for bribery, fraud, and making false statements;[6] the charges were dropped in 2018 after the jury was unable to reach a verdict and he was re-elected to a third term the same year.[7][8]

Following Menendez's 2023 indictment, two prominent Democrats announced their Senate candidacy: Congressman Andy Kim and First Lady of New Jersey Tammy Murphy.[9][10] Menendez, although dismissing calls from several prominent Democrats to resign, has not indicated if he will seek a fourth term.[11]

The primary between Murphy and Kim was seen as competitive as even though Kim led comfortably in polls, Murphy had received significant party support and the county line endorsements in many heavily populated counties along with endorsements from many county party chairs and from New Jersey Democratic Party chair LeRoy J. Jones Jr.. Kim, however, had received support from many national and progressive Democrats such as Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman, the College Democrats of America, and the College Democrats of New Jersey. On March 24, 2024, Murphy announced her withdrawal from the race, citing poor polling.[12]

Allegations of nepotism edit

Murphy's candidacy had given rise to allegations of cronyism and nepotism due to her being the wife of incumbent Governor Phil Murphy. Critics argued that since her husband is the head of the New Jersey Democratic Party, it would have ensured her victory.[13] These accusations grew after she entered into the race as the chairs of the Hudson, Camden, Bergen, Somerset, Essex,[a] and Middlesex county Democratic organizations endorsed Murphy; these represent 40% of Democratic voters in New Jersey. Candidates in New Jersey who receive the endorsement of county chairs are often placed in a premier position of the primary election ballot, bracketed with other endorsed candidates, called the "party" or "county line." Candidates who are "on the line" typically win the June primary.[14]

Murphy had responded to questions about her qualification for office due to not having been elected to office before and her previously being a registered Republican as being sexist, saying: "I’m not sure a male would be asked this question."[15] At a candidate forum at the County College of Morris in January 2024, Murphy was asked to address the "elephant in the room" about her perceived advantage as the wife of Governor Phil Murphy. She replied that she was "honored and thrilled" to receive endorsements from New Jersey Democrats, who endorsed her "not because my husband asked them, but because I asked them. They know me."[16] She promised to "earn every vote" and to listen to "not only the people who are with me, but both sides, and not just seeing through one lens". A number of members of Congress who had endorsed her have also said they endorsed her over Kim because she asked, and because of her work for women's health, children, and seniors.[17]

 
Tammy Murphy
 
Andy Kim

Endorsement controversies edit

On December 24, 2023, Mountainside Democratic Municipal Chair and former NOW-NJ President Anjali Mehrotra announced that she would support Kim. However, she later retracted this statement, deciding to back Murphy's campaign and criticize Kim's candidacy.[18]

On January 10, 2024, the College Democrats of New Jersey (CDNJ) in conjunction with the College Democrats of America (CDA) endorsed Kim.[19] Four days later, it was revealed that, before the CDNJ announced their endorsement of Kim, they received a call from a college student who serves as the Youth Coordinator for the state party. In the call, the staffer asked the CDNJ to cancel the group's endorsement of Kim, expressing concerns over CDNJ members' future job prospects and funding.[20]

The staffer would later say that while Murphy's campaign had not asked her to pressure the group on their behalf, but had wanted "to do something to prevent the endorsement." Murphy's campaign responded, saying the staffer's comments were "totally and completely inappropriate, and they in no way represent this campaign or what we stand for," and adding that the staffer had no connection to Murphy's campaign.[21] The Murphy campaign also said that all of the students involved in this “unfortunate situation” should be afforded the “grace, allowance and forgiveness that we all deserve at that age.” Tammy Murphy, meanwhile, called the College Democrats of New Jersey's vice president to apologize.[22] Kim responded on X (Twitter) saying in part, "This is why people lose faith in democracy and our system.[23] On January 17, the CDA called on the national Democratic National Committee to open an investigation into what happened between the state party and Murphy's campaign, while reaffirming their support for Kim saying: "We will not be intimidated or silenced by those who seek to undermine our values and our vision for a more just and equitable world."[24]

On February 5, 2024, the Murphy campaign unveiled a large list of endorsements from Monmouth County Democratic officials.[25] However, later that day, multiple people whose names were on the list denied ever having endorsed her, with many still claiming that they were neutral in the race.[26] Despite his neutrality the day before, Bradley Beach Democratic Municipal Chair Steve Lozowick changed course again on February 6, announcing his support for Murphy.[27]

On March 16, 2024, Murphy was endorsed by the Camden County Democratic Committee, having already received the support of powerbroker George Norcross. However, at the committee meeting (which was largely just a formality due to the county's lack of an open convention), candidate Patricia Campos-Medina was denied entry, being physically barred by multiple guards.[28] This incident led to a condemnation by Kim (who had also been denied access after requesting speaking time prior to the event), while Murphy stated that "You’ll have to talk to Camden" when asked about the incident.[29] Murphy's response to the incident, along with other alleged concerns, led to Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop pulling his support for Murphy the following day and backing Kim, according to Fulop.[30]

On March 17, 2024, the Hoboken Democrats voted to endorse Kim for Senate.[31] Shortly after, chair Rachel Hodes resigned, stating that she has been receiving pressure since February by officials from both the Murphy and Menendez campaigns, as well as the Hudson County Democratic Organization, to change the Hoboken endorsement process as a way to prevent a Kim endorsement.[32]

County lines edit

New Jersey is alone among the 50 states in authorizing local officials to award a strongly favorable ballot position to favored candidates in a prominent column on the ballot called the "county line."[33] The county line on the ballot has come under heavy criticism during the Senate primary as an allegedly undemocratic result of political machine and political boss power in the state.[34]

 Sussex CountyEssex CountyPassaic CountyBergen CountyWarren CountyMorris CountyHunterdon CountySomerset CountyHudson CountyUnion CountyMiddlesex CountyMercer CountyMonmouth CountyOcean CountyBurlington CountyAtlantic CountyCamden CountyGloucester CountySalem CountyCumberland CountyCape May County
A clickable New Jersey county map

Due to this unique preferential-ballot-placement "county line" system in New Jersey, some NJ county parties hold conventions to decide which candidate gains the sought-after county-endorsed ballot position in the June primary, while other counties issue the line by private leadership fiat.[35] The first in the state convention in Monmouth County is often considered a bellwether for other conventions throughout the state, and has been called the "Iowa caucus of the New Jersey Senate race." On February 10, 2024, Kim won the convention in what some described as an upset victory, where it was assumed Murphy would perform better, especially in her home county.[36]

Uniquely among the states, New Jersey law authorizes a county chair of the county political party to make his or her own sole decision as an individual as to whom to award the line.[37] Nevertheless, excluding Sussex and Salem, which do not award a line but do provide an endorsement, processes vary by custom in each county as detailed in this collapsible table on the primary lines as awarded to date:[38][39][40][41]

County Date of convention
(or private leadership decision)
Endorsement process Voting method Winner Number of registered Democratic voters in county[42]
Atlantic March 17, 2024[43] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 69,141
Bergen March 4, 2024[44] Open convention Secret ballot Murphy 252,716
Burlington February 25, 2024[45] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 139,854
Camden March 16, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[46] No convention; chair alone None Murphy 180,907
Cape May March 11, 2024[47] Open convention Secret ballot No endorsement awarded 18,207
Cumberland March 21, 2024[48] Procedurally disputed between two factions Procedurally disputed between two factions No endorsement awarded due to dispute 32,004
Essex No convention; chair alone None Murphy 295,958
Gloucester March 18, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[49] No convention; chair alone None Murphy 84,006
Hudson March 15, 2024 (date of formal announcement of leadership decision)[50] No convention; chair alone None Murphy 218,173
Hunterdon February 25, 2024[51] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 30,200
Mercer March 11, 2024[52] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 117,705
Middlesex March 14, 2024[53] Open convention that serves as a ratification of the chair's endorsement Public vote by show of hands with no count (ratification of chair's choice) Murphy 240,691
Monmouth February 18, 2024[54] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 139,580
Morris March 16, 2024[55] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 116,586
Ocean March 10, 2024[56] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 97,815
Passaic February 10, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[57] No convention; screening committee of the county chairman and municipal chairs None Murphy 71,716
Salem[b] March 23, 2024 Open convention (for endorsement; no line in county) Secret ballot Murphy 14,487
Somerset March 7, 2024[58] Open convention Public vote (by show of placards) Murphy 90,417
Sussex[b] March 2, 2024 (date of endorsement but no county line is awarded)[59] Open convention (for endorsement; no line in county) Secret ballot (for endorsement; no line in county) Kim 26,323
Union March 2, 2024 (date of leadership decision)[60] No convention; each municipal chair gets one vote Public vote (of chairs) at an unannounced private meeting Murphy 177,624
Warren March 3, 2024[61] Open convention Secret ballot Kim 23,153

A professor and director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University opined to The Hill that a major distinction existed between the Murphy-as-victor county endorsements and the Kim-as-victor county endorsements. While Kim won almost all of the county endorsements chosen by a secret ballot at an open convention, Murphy did better in convention-free counties where a county chair decides individually who to back. Said the director: “I think their wins show this steep division where Kim has been winning all of the open conventions, and Tammy Murphy has been winning the conventions that have some sort of advisory panel or advisory vote or party boss at the helm."[62]

On February 12, 2024, it was revealed that prior to her loss at the Monmouth County Democratic Convention, Murphy was repeatedly offered a shared line that she could jointly run on with Kim, but she rejected it, believing that she had enough votes to secure the line for herself.[63] On February 15, it was reported that a similar deal was being proposed for Burlington County by state senator Troy Singleton, who was also attempting to avoid a convention fight between two candidates vying for Kim's House seat, state assemblymembers Herb Conaway and Carol Murphy.[64] On February 18, after the first debate between Kim and Murphy, Kim said that he would not accept a shared line deal in Burlington unless Murphy was willing to share the line in every county. He also stated that the Murphys themselves were behind the push in Burlington for a shared line deal.[65] A third deal was attempted on February 25, by Hunterdon County Democratic Chair Arlene Quiñones Perez (recently appointed to the New Jersey Racing Commission by Murphy's husband)[66] where any candidate who received more than 30% of the Hunterdon County convention results would get the line, forcing Kim to share the line despite winning the vote, but this was defeated in a voice vote by the convention attendees.[51]

In Bergen County where Murphy won the county line, Kim supporters alleged that the county chair, Paul Juliano, who was recently placed with the governor's support in a $280,000-a-year New Jersey Sports and Exposition Authority job, and the county leadership suppressed efforts to allow Kim to speak to delegates and stacked the committee unilaterally with bonus voting delegates loyal to the chair.[67][68]

In Somerset County, where the county chair, Peg Schaffer, a recently added board member at the New Jersey Sports and Exposition Authority, has endorsed Murphy and where a whole-committee vote for the line was held on March 7, some committee members advocated for the usual show of hands or otherwise public vote to be replaced by a secret ballot at the line award in order to quell fears about retaliation.[69] At the Somerset convention, the county chair denied a motion for secret ballot as "out of order" and the vote was held by a show of hands. A Star-Ledger columnist who attended the Somerset convention sharply criticized it as undemocratic and preferentially structured in Murphy's favor, pointing out that the county chair had sent out an advertisement in the name of the county party in support of Murphy in advance, had refused to allow confidential ballots, and had sent out a letter pointedly reminding delegates of the "rewarding" state and county jobs that delegates had allegedly received with Murphy's help.[70]

In Cape May County, county chair Marie Blistan, the former president of the New Jersey Education Association, as well as the rest of the county Democratic officials, voted to not endorse in the race, thus creating an open primary within the county (the same choice was made for the concurrent primary for New Jersey's 2nd congressional district).[71]

In Middlesex County, the county chair, Kevin McCabe, who is a lobbyist before the Murphy Administration on matters of wind power, was nominated by Murphy's husband to the powerful board of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and has the sole authority to award the line as he sees fit,[72] denied a floor motion for a secret ballot at the gathering to award the line despite alleged chanting for same by delegates (according to the Kim campaign, as reporters were barred from the event).[73][40]

In Cumberland County, the Democratic party was split into two rivaling factions, one ran by county chair Kevin McCann (backing Murphy), and the other ran by anti-McCann committeemembers (backing Kim). Neither group made a formal endorsement, leaving no candidate to receive the line.[74]

After Murphy's withdrawal from the race, counties that awarded their lines to Murphy will have the option to award the line to Kim instead.[12] Kim was able to receive the line in 17 of the 19 counties that award a line, with Cumberland not awarding one due to their split organization and Kim rejecting the Camden line due to their presence as the opposing council in his lawsuit against the line.[75][76]

County line federal lawsuit edit

On Monday February 26, 2024 the New York Times reported that Kim had filed a federal lawsuit, Kim v. Hanlon, in the District Court of New Jersey, aiming to redesign the primary ballot in New Jersey and claiming that the current preferential ballot placement is unconstitutional.

For more on the lawsuit, see New Jersey county ballot line lawsuits.

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Patricia Campos-Medina
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Andy Kim
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Party officials
  • Amalia Duarte, chair of the Morris County Democratic Committee (previously neutral)[113]
Local officials
Individuals
Party chapters
  • 30 municipal Democratic committees[120]
Political parties
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Labor unions
Tammy Murphy (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Mayors
Party officials
Individuals
Party chapters
Political parties
Organizations
Labor unions
Kyle Jasey (withdrawn)
State legislators
Joe Signorello (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
 
County endorsements
  Kim
  Murphy
  No county line or endorsement

* signifies endorsement in a county that does not use the county line
 
County party chair endorsements
  Murphy
  No endorsement
 
Municipal party endorsements
  Campos-Medina
  Kim
  Murphy
 
Mayoral endorsements
  Kim
  Murphy
  No endorsement
 
State senate endorsements
  Kim
  Murphy
 
General assembly endorsements
  Kim
  Murphy
  No endorsement
  Split endorsement

County Convention results edit

County Convention results
Monmouth County Democratic Convention (February 10)[129]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 265 56.87%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 181 38.84%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 20 4.29%
Democratic Larry Hamm[c] 0 0.0%
Total votes 466 100.0%
Burlington County Democratic Convention (February 24)[123]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 245 90.41%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 21 7.75%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 3 1.11%
Democratic Larry Hamm 2 0.74%
Total votes 271 100.0%
Hunterdon County Democratic Convention (February 25)[51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 120 62.18%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 64 33.16%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 9 4.66%
Total votes 193 100.0%
Sussex County Democratic Convention (March 2)[d][135]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 101 56.74%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 76 42.70%
Democratic Larry Hamm 1 0.56%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 0 0.0%
Total votes 178 100.0%
Union County Democratic Screening Committee (March 2)[136]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Murphy 19 86.36%
Democratic Andy Kim 3 13.63%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 0 0.0%
Democratic Larry Hamm 0 0.0%
Total votes 22 100.0%
Warren County Democratic Convention (March 3)[137]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 33 80.49%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 6 14.63%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 2 4.88%
Democratic Larry Hamm 0 0.0%
Total votes 41 100.0%
Bergen County Democratic Convention (March 4)[122]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Murphy 738 63.79%
Democratic Andy Kim 419 36.21%
Total votes 1,157 100.0%
Somerset County Democratic Convention (March 7)[134]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Murphy 207 63.11%
Democratic Andy Kim 106 32.32%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 15 4.57%
Total votes 328 100.0%
Ocean County Democratic Convention (March 10)[131]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 197 85.65%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 31 13.48%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 3 8.70%
Total votes 230 100.0%
Mercer County Democratic Convention (March 11)[127]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 236 63.10%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 108 28.88%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 22 5.88%
Democratic Larry Hamm 8 2.14%
Total votes 374 100.0%
Morris County Democratic Convention (March 16–17)[130]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 457 84.63%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 57 10.56%
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina 26 4.81%
Total votes 540 100.0%
Atlantic County Democratic Convention (March 17)[121]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 156 74.29%
Democratic Tammy Murphy 54 25.71%
Total votes 210 100.0%
Salem County Democratic Convention (March 23)[d][133]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Murphy 13 61.90%
Democratic Andy Kim 8 38.10%
Total votes 21 100.0%

Fundraising edit

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Larry Hamm (D) $12,187[e] $1,110 $11,077
Andy Kim (D) $3,897,915 $1,350,745 $2,709,702
Bob Menendez (D) $10,864,824 $4,884,544 $6,198,711
Tammy Murphy (D) $3,203,542 $469,452 $2,734,090
Source: Federal Election Commission[187]

Debates edit

A WNBC spokesman stated that Kim and Murphy will debate in person in May 2024 at 30 Rockefeller Plaza to be broadcast state-wide.[188]

Kim and Murphy on Sunday, February 18, 2024 both participated in a live streamed event hosted by the New Jersey Globe, rather than an in-person debate.[189][190] Both candidates were invited to a previous debate on February 4; Kim accepted, but Murphy declined. As a result, Kim appeared before a panel of journalists alone to discuss his candidacy.[191]

Debates among candidates for the Democratic nomination for Senate in New Jersey
No. Date and time Host Moderator Link Participants

 P  Present  A  Absent
 I  Invited  N  Not invited  Out  Out of Race  W  Withdrawn

Campos-Medina Hamm Kim Menendez Murphy
1[192] February 18, 2024
8 pm EST
New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rebovich Institute
Laura Jones YouTube N[f] N[f] P O[g] P
2[193] May, 2024 NBC[h]
Telemundo[i]
TBD N/A N N I O W

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez
Andy
Kim
Tammy
Murphy
Other Undecided
March 24, 2024 Murphy withdraws from the race
March 21, 2024 Menendez declines to run in Democratic primary
Braun Research/Farleigh Dickinson University January 21–28, 2024 504 (LV) ± 4.5% 9% 32% 20% 8%[k] 31%
Breakthrough Campaigns[A] December 7–14, 2023 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 45% 22% 10%[l] 15%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] November 13–14, 2023 560 (LV) 5% 40% 21% 34%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] October 3–4, 2023 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 42% 19% 34%
502 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 63% 28%
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 48% 3%[m] 40%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Josh
Gottheimer
Kyle
Jasey
Andy
Kim
Bob
Menendez
Tammy
Murphy
Frank
Pallone
Teresa
Ruiz
Mikie
Sherrill
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 1% 27% 6% 4% 6% 1% 20% 29%

Results edit

2024 United States Senate Democratic primary in New Jersey[194]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Patricia Campos-Medina
Democratic Lawrence Hamm
Democratic Andy Kim
Democratic Tammy Murphy (withdrawn)[n]
Write-in
Total votes

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Withdrawn edit

Declined edit

Endorsements edit

Curtis Bashaw
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Party chapters
Christine Serrano Glassner
U.S. representatives
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Party officials
Political parties
Gregg Mele (withdrawn)
Party chapters
Fred Schneiderman (withdrawn)
Individuals
Alex Zdan (withdrawn)
Political parties
Declined to endorse
 
County party endorsements
  Bashaw
  No county line
  Serrano Glassner
  Zdan

* signifies endorsement in a county that does not use the county line

County Conventions edit

County Convention results
Hunterdon County Republican Convention (February 7)[240]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 87 56.86%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 54 35.29%
Republican Alex Zdan 12 7.84%
Republican Michael Estrada 0 0.0%
Republican Gregg Mele 0 0.0%
Republican Albert Harshaw[c] 0 0.0%
Total votes 153 100.0%
Union County Republican Convention (February 8)[233]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 152 66.09%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 62 26.96%
Republican Gregg Mele 16 6.96%
Total votes 230 100.0%
Morris County Republican Convention (February 20)[241]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 279 73.61%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 100 26.39%
Total votes 379 100.0%
Atlantic County Republican Convention (February 24)[219]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 953 78.24%
Republican Alex Zdan 265 21.76%
Total votes 1,218 100.0%
Ocean County Republican Convention (February 29)[229]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 163 72.77%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 49 21.88%
Republican Alex Zdan 12 5.36%
Total votes 224 100.0%
Monmouth County Republican Convention (February 29)[245]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alex Zdan 103 42.21%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 101 41.39%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 40 16.39%
Total votes 244 100.0%
Monmouth County Republican Convention runoff (February 29)[227]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alex Zdan 111 57.51%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 82 42.49%
Total votes 193 100.0%
Warren County Republican Convention (March 2)[243]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 58 81.69%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 13 18.31%
Total votes 71 100.0%
Somerset County Republican Convention (March 5)[246]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 90 42.06%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 68 31.78%
Republican Alex Zdan 50 23.36%
Republican Albert Harshaw 6 2.80%
Total votes 214 100.0%
Somerset County Republican Convention runoff (March 5)[232]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 110 56.70%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 84 43.30%
Total votes 194 100.0%
Mercer County Republican Convention (March 13)[225]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 78 75.73%
Republican Alex Zdan 24 23.30%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner[o] 1 0.97%
Republican Albert Harshaw 0 0.0%
Republican Justin Michael Murphy 0 0.0%
Total votes 103 100.0%
Middlesex County Republican Convention (March 14)[226]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 117 81.82%
Republican Justin Michael Murphy 16 11.19%
Republican Alex Zdan 7 4.90%
Republican Albert Harshaw 3 2.10%
Total votes 143 100.0%
Cape May County Republican Convention (March 14)[222]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw 121 100.0%
Republican Brian Jackson 0 0.0%
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 0 0.0%
Republican Gregg Mele[p] 0 0.0%
Total votes 121 100.0%
Bergen County Republican Convention (March 19)[238]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner 254 39.94%
Republican Curtis Bashaw 200 31.45%
Republican Fred Schneiderman 99 15.57%
Republican Alex Zdan 80 12.58%
Republican Brian Jackson 2 0.31%
Republican Justin Michael Murphy 1 0.16%
Total votes 636 100.0%

Fundraising edit

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Christine Seranno Glassner (R) $266,533[q] $1,054 $265,479
Source: Federal Election Commission[187]

Debates edit

Debates among candidates for the Republican nomination for Senate in New Jersey
No. Date and time Host Moderator Link Participants

 P  Present  A  Absent
 I  Invited  N  Not invited  Out  Out of Race  W  Withdrawn

Bashaw Serrano-
Glassner
Zdan
1[247] April 3, 2024
8 PM EST
New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rebovich Institute
Laura Jones N/A I I W

Results edit

2024 United States Senate Republican primary in New Jersey[194]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Curtis Bashaw
Republican Albert Harshaw
Republican Justin Murphy
Republican Christine Serrano Glassner
Republican Peter Vallorosi
Write-in
Total votes

Third parties and independents edit

Candidates edit

Declared edit

Filed paperwork edit

  • Victor Joseph Scazzola (Independent)[251]

Publicly expressed interest edit

Endorsements edit

Ken Kaplan (L)
Bob Menendez (I) (not declared)
Organizations

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[254] Solid D March 25, 2024
Inside Elections[255] Solid D February 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[256] Safe D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[257] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[258] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling edit

Hypothetical polling
Bob Menendez vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 24% 27% 41% 8%
Bob Menendez vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 20% 42% 25% 13%
Andy Kim vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 46% 20% 23% 10%
Andy Kim vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[j]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 44% 32% 5% 18%

Notes edit

  1. ^ a b The County Chair of the Essex County Democratic Committee, LeRoy J. Jones Jr., is also the Chair of the state party.
  2. ^ a b Does not use county lines on its primary ballots
  3. ^ a b Withdrew from participation in this convention but remained on ballot.
  4. ^ a b This convention does not award a line
  5. ^ $700 of this total was self-funded by Hamm
  6. ^ a b Did not meet debate threshold by required date
  7. ^ Menendez was invited pending he announced his candidacy by February 11, 2024, but didn't.
  8. ^ WCAU and WNBC
  9. ^ WWSI and WNJU)
  10. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  11. ^ Patricia Campos-Medina with 8%
  12. ^ Larry Hamm with 4%; "Waiting for another candidate" with 6%
  13. ^ Kyle Jasey with 3%
  14. ^ Murphy filed her petition to run prior to withdraw
  15. ^ Did not participate in this convention but received a vote.
  16. ^ Withdrew from the race prior to this convention.
  17. ^ $200,000 of this total was self-funded by Glassner
  18. ^ Menendez is a Democrat, but has expressed interest in running as an independent
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll commissioned on behalf of Kim's campaign
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by End Citizens United and Let America Vote, which support Kim
  3. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by VoteVets.org, which supports Kim.

References edit

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External links edit

  • Campaign finance at FEC
Official campaign websites
  • Curtis Bashaw (R) for Senate
  • Patricia Campos-Medina (D) for Senate
  • Daniel Cruz (R) for Senate
  • Larry Hamm (D) for Senate
  • Albert Harshaw (R) for Senate
  • Brian Jackson (R) for Senate
  • Christina Khalil (G) for Senate
  • Andy Kim (D) for Senate
  • Tammy Murphy (D) for Senate
  • Fred Schneiderman (R) for Senate
  • Christine Serrano Glassner (R) for Senate
  • Victor Joseph Scazzola (I) for Senate
  • Peter Vallorosi (R) for Senate
  • Alex Zdan (R) for Senate