Fort Rouge (electoral district)

Summary

Fort Rouge is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It was created by redistribution in 1957, and formally came into existence in the general election of 1958. The riding was eliminated in 1989, and re-established in 1999. It is located in the central section of the City of Winnipeg.

Fort Rouge
Manitoba electoral district
Location in Winnipeg
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA
 
 
 
Wab Kinew
New Democratic
District created1957
First contested1958
Last contested2023

Fort Rouge is bordered on the east by St. Boniface, to the south by Fort Garry-Riverview, to the north by Logan, and to the west by River Heights. The actual Legislative Assembly of Manitoba building is located across the river from Fort Rouge.

The riding's population in 1996 was 20,364. In 1999, the average family income was $49,361, and the unemployment rate was 8.70%. 39.6% of Fort Rouge's residents are listed as low-income, the sixth-highest rate in the province. Almost 80% of occupied dwelling are rentals, and over 20% of households are single-parent families. Almost 25% of Fort Rouge's residents have a university degree—one of the highest rates in the province.

Fort Rouge has an immigrant population of 20%. Eight per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal. The service sector accounts for 21% of Fort Rouge's industry, with a further 11% in social services.

The seat was held by the Progressive Conservatives from 1958 to 1973, and was a rare bastion of Liberal strength in the province from 1973 to 1981. Lloyd Axworthy was the riding's representative from 1973 to 1979; for a time, he was the only Liberal in the legislature. Roland Penner's election for the New Democratic Party in 1981, however, foretold of future NDP successes in the riding. Though Jim Carr would win the riding back for the Liberals in 1988, the seat would be broken into Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne for the 1990 election. By the time the seat was reestablished in 1999, Crescentwood, Broadway and Osborne would all have NDP representatives, with Crescentwood MLA Tim Sale becoming the first MLA of the reestablished Fort Rouge. It has been continuously represented by the NDP since the riding was reestablished in 1999.

In the 2007, 2011 and 2016 provincial elections the Liberals were the main challengers to the NDP, though the party would continue to hold the seat with Jennifer Howard. In 2016, Liberal leader Rana Bokhari ran in Fort Rouge, losing to the NDP star candidate Wab Kinew. At the 2015 federal election, according to Elections Canada data, Fort Rouge voted heavily Liberal.[1] In the 2019 and 2023 elections, the Progressive Conservatives finished second behind the NDP, with the Liberals falling behind Green candidate James Beddome in 2019.

The district is represented by NDP leader and Premier Wab Kinew.

List of provincial representatives edit

Name Party Took office Left office
Gurney Evans PC 1958 1969
Inez Trueman PC 1969 1973
Lloyd Axworthy Lib 1973 1979
June Westbury Lib 1979 1981
Roland Penner NDP 1981 1988
Jim Carr Lib 1988 1990
See Broadway, Osborne, Crescentwood (1990-1999)
Tim Sale NDP 1999 2007
Jennifer Howard NDP 2007 2016
Wab Kinew NDP 2016 present

Opinion polls edit

Polling firm Last date of polling Link NDP Liberal PC Green Other
Mainstreet Research/Postmedia March 22, 2016 HTML 29 32 30 8

Election results edit

1958 edit

1958 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Gurney Evans 3,647 54.83
Liberal–Progressive James Edward "Jimmy" Wilson 1,862 27.99
Co-operative Commonwealth Ernest Draffin 1,143 17.18
Total valid votes 6,652
Rejected 26
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,010 55.60
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1959 edit

1959 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gurney Evans 4,352 56.34 1.52
Liberal–Progressive Jerry Marrin 1,947 25.21 -2.78
Co-operative Commonwealth Robert C. Murdoch 1,425 18.45 1.27
Total valid votes 7,724
Rejected 55
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,183 63.85 8.25
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1962 edit

1962 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gurney Evans 3,507 52.94 -3.41
Liberal Brock McArthur 2,128 32.12 6.91
New Democratic William R. Reid 990 14.94 -3.51
Total valid votes 6,625
Rejected 76
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,989 55.89 -7.96
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1966 edit

1966 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Gurney Evans 3,767 46.72 -6.22
Liberal Francis C. Muldoon 2,451 30.40 -1.72
New Democratic Len Green 1,845 22.88 7.94
Total valid votes 8,063
Rejected 22
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,105 61.69 5.80
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1969 edit

1969 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Inez Trueman 2,750 38.53 -8.19
New Democratic Una Decter 2,446 34.27 11.39
Liberal Jane Sayler Heffelfinger 1,941 27.20 -3.20
Total valid votes 7,137
Rejected 51
Eligible voters / Turnout 12,328 58.31 -3.39
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1973 edit

1973 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lloyd Axworthy 4,181 36.49 9.30
New Democratic Samia Friesen 3,614 31.54 -2.73
Progressive Conservative Inez Trueman 3,531 30.82 -7.71
Independent Lane McDonald 131 1.14
Total valid votes 11,457
Rejected 79
Eligible voters / Turnout 14,340 80.45 22.14
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1977 edit

1977 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lloyd Axworthy 4,153 39.54 3.05
Progressive Conservative Julian Hugh McDonald 3,486 33.19 2.37
New Democratic Ermano Barone 2,863 27.26 -4.28
Total valid votes 10,502
Rejected 55
Eligible voters / Turnout 14,272 73.97 -6.48
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1979 by-election edit

Manitoba provincial by-election, October 16, 1979
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal June Westbury 2,659 39.22 -0.33
New Democratic Victor Steven "Vic" Savino 2,291 33.79 6.53
Progressive Conservative Julian Hugh McDonald 1,830 26.99 -6.20
Total valid votes 6,780
Rejected N/A
Eligible voters / Turnout N/A
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1981 edit

1981 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Roland Penner 4,342 44.57 10.77
Progressive Conservative Perry Schulman 2,843 29.18 2.19
Liberal June Westbury 2,415 24.79 -14.43
Progressive Bud Boyce 143 1.47
Total valid votes 9,743
Rejected 77
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,671 71.83
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1986 edit

1986 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Roland Penner 4,223 48.86 4.30
Progressive Conservative Robert P. Haier 2,590 29.97 0.79
Liberal Lionel Ditz 1,683 19.47 -5.31
Libertarian Clancy Smith 101 1.17
Communist Nigel Hanrahan 46 0.53
Total valid votes 8,643
Rejected 53
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,517 64.33 -7.50
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1988 edit

1988 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Jim Carr 5,127 48.91 29.44
New Democratic Roland Penner 2,912 27.78 -21.08
Progressive Conservative Robert Haier 2,303 21.97 -8.00
Progressive Gordon Pratt 75 0.72
Libertarian Dennis Owens 66 0.63 -0.54
Total valid votes 10,483
Rejected 50
Eligible voters / turnout 15,057 69.95 5.62
Liberal gain from New Democratic Swing +25.22
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1999 edit

1999 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures
New Democratic Tim Sale 4,759 48.68 $25,152.00
Progressive Conservative Ron Paley 2,971 30.39 $26,322.65
Liberal John Shanski 1,870 19.13 $24,461.96
Green Alex Reid 176 1.80 $256.65
Total valid votes 9,776
Rejected 52
Eligible voters / turnout 14,064 69.88
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2003 edit

2003 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Tim Sale 4,118 57.63 8.95 $16,724.33
Progressive Conservative Mark Francis 1,409 19.72 -10.67 $8,860.98
Liberal David Henteleff 1,212 16.96 -2.17 $4,299.83
Green Mikel Magnusson 355 4.97 3.17 $48.24
Libertarian Jim Weidman 51 0.71 $0.00
Total valid votes 7,145
Rejected 59
Eligible voters / turnout 13,182 54.65 -15.23
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2007 edit

2007 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Jennifer Howard 3,828 46.97 -10.67 $25.968.04
Liberal Paul Hesse 2,488 30.53 13.56 $23,866.84
Progressive Conservative Christine Waddell 1,202 14.75 -4.97 $11,369.89
Green Gerald H. Enns 511 6.27 1.30 $905.51
Independent Ron Nash 92 1.13 $261.98
Communist Frank Komarniski 29 0.36
Total valid votes 8,150
Rejected 53
Eligible voters / turnout 13,169 62.29 7.64
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2011 edit

2011 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Jennifer Howard 4,501 51.26 4.29 $28,361.23
Liberal Paul Hesse 2,031 23.13 -7.40 $31,673.03
Progressive Conservative Sonny Dominique 1,770 20.16 5.41 $17,369.18
Green Stephen Weedon 478 5.44 -0.83 $24.14
Total valid votes 8,780
Rejected 54
Eligible voters / turnout 14,429 61.22 -1.07
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018.

2016 edit

2016 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Wab Kinew 3,360 37.63 -13.63 $39,199.49
Progressive Conservative Audrey Gordon 2,571 28.80 8.64 $42,245.54
Liberal Rana Bokhari 1,792 20.07 -3.06 $30,238.82
Green Grant Sharp 983 11.01 5.57 $322.90
Manitoba Matthew Ostrove 175 1.96 $945.26
Communist Paula Ducharme 47 0.53 $33.67
Total valid votes / expense limit 8,928 $44,855.00
Rejected 125
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,896 65.15 3.92
New Democratic hold Swing –11.04
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018.

2019 edit

2019 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Wab Kinew 5,055 51.24 13.60 $23,922.64
Progressive Conservative Edna Nabess 1,857 18.82 -9.97 $7,290.07
Green James Beddome 1,580 16.01 5.00 $8,974.33
Liberal Cyndy Friesen 1,290 13.08 -7.00 $8,223.63
Manitoba First Michael McCracken 54 0.55 -1.41 $582.58
Manitoba Forward Bradley Hebert 30 0.30 $0.00
Total valid votes 9,866
Rejected 47
Eligible voters / Turnout 16,870 58.76 -6.39
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.

2023 edit

2023 Manitoba general election
** Preliminary results — Not yet official **
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Wab Kinew 6,759 70.62 +19.38
Progressive Conservative Rejeanne Caron 1,562 16.32 -2.50
Liberal Katherine Johnson 1,149 12.01 -1.07
Communist Robert Crooks 101 1.06
Total valid votes/Expense limit 9,571 99.49
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 49 0.51
Turnout 9,620 58.65 -0.11
Eligible voters 16,401
New Democratic hold Swing +10.94
Source(s)
Source: "2023 Election Results Map". Elections Manitoba. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.

Previous boundaries edit

 
The 1999-2011 boundaries of the riding of Fort Rouge highlighted in red.

References edit

  1. ^ CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016

49°52′23″N 97°08′49″W / 49.873°N 97.147°W / 49.873; -97.147