Arrow was born on August 23, 1921, in New York City.[3] Arrow's mother, Lilian (Greenberg), was from Iași, Romania, and his father, Harry Arrow, was from nearby Podu Iloaiei.[4][5] The Arrow family were RomanianJews.[3][6][7] His family was very supportive of his education.[3] Growing up during the Great Depression, he embraced socialism in his youth. He would later move away from socialism, but his views retained a left-leaning philosophy.[8]
From 1946 to 1949 Arrow spent his time partly as a graduate student at Columbia and partly as a research associate at the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics, then at the University of Chicago. During that time he also held the rank of Assistant Professor in Economics at the University of Chicago and worked at the RAND Corporation in California. He left Chicago to take up the post of Acting Assistant Professor of Economics and Statistics at Stanford University. In 1951, he earned his PhD from Columbia.[9] He served in the government on the staff of the Council of Economic Advisers in the 1960s with Robert Solow.[11] In 1968, he left Stanford for the position of Professor of Economics at Harvard University. It was during his tenure there that he received the Nobel Prize in Economics.[9]
If we exclude the possibility of interpersonal comparisons of utility, then the only methods of passing from individual tastes to social preferences which will be satisfactory and which will be defined for a wide range of sets of individual orderings are either imposed or dictatorial.[15]
In what he named the General Impossibility Theorem, he theorized that, unless we accept to compare the levels of utility reached by different individuals, it is impossible to formulate a social preference ordering that satisfies all of the following conditions:[16]
Nondictatorship: The preferences of an individual should not become the group ranking without considering the preferences of others.
Individual Sovereignty: each individual should be able to order the choices in any way and indicate ties
Unanimity: If every individual prefers one choice to another, then the group ranking should do the same
Freedom From Irrelevant Alternatives: If a choice is removed, then the others' order should not change
Uniqueness of Group Rank: The method should yield the same result whenever applied to a set of preferences. The group ranking should be transitive.
The theorem has implications for welfare economics and theories of justice, and for voting theory (it extends the Condorcet paradox). Following Arrow's logical framework, Amartya Sen formulated the liberal paradox which argued that given a status of "Minimal Liberty" there was no way to obtain Pareto optimality, nor to avoid the problem of social choice of neutral but unequal results.[16]
In 1974, The American Economic Association published the paper written by Kenneth Arrow, General Economic Equilibrium: Purpose, Analytic Techniques, Collective Choice, where he states:
From the time of Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations in 1776, one recurrent theme of economic analysis has been the remarkable degree of coherence among the vast numbers of individual and seemingly separate decisions about the buying and selling of commodities. In everyday, normal experience, there is something of a balance between the amounts of goods and services that some individuals want to supply and the amounts that other, different individuals want to sell. Would-be buyers ordinarily count correctly on being able to carry out their intentions, and would-be sellers do not ordinarily find themselves producing great amounts of goods that they cannot sell. This experience of balance is indeed so widespread that it raises no intellectual disquiet among laymen; they take it so much for granted that they are not disposed to understand the mechanism by which it occurs.[20]
Fundamental theorems of welfare economicsedit
In 1951, Arrow presented the first and second fundamental theorems of welfare economics and their proofs without requiring differentiability of utility, consumption, or technology, and including corner solutions.[21]
Endogenous-growth theoryedit
Arrow was one of the precursors of endogenous growth theory, which seeks to explain the source of technical change, which is a key driver of economic growth. Until this theory came to prominence, technical change was assumed to occur exogenously — that is, it was assumed to occur outside economic activities, and was outside (exogenous) to common economic models. At the same time there was no economic explanation for why it occurred. Endogenous-growth theory provided standard economic reasons for why firms innovate, leading economists to think of innovation and technical change as determined by economic actors, that is endogenously to economic activities, and thus belong inside the model. Endogenous growth theory started with Paul Romer's 1986 paper,[22] borrowing from Arrow's 1962 "learning-by-doing" model which introduced a mechanism to eliminate diminishing returns in aggregate output.[3][23] A literature on this theory has developed subsequently to Arrow's work.[24]
Information economicsedit
In other pioneering research, Arrow investigated the problems caused by asymmetric information in markets. In many transactions, one party (usually the seller) has more information about the product being sold than the other party. Asymmetric information creates incentives for the party with more information to cheat the party with less information; as a result, a number of market structures have developed, including warranties and third party authentication, which enable markets with asymmetric information to function. Arrow analysed this issue for medical care (a 1963 paper entitled "Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care", in the American Economic Review);[25] later researchers investigated many other markets, particularly second-hand assets, online auctions and insurance.
Arrow was a brother to the economist Anita Summers, uncle to economist and former Treasury Secretary and Harvard President Larry Summers, and brother-in-law of the late economists Robert Summers and Paul Samuelson.[34] In 1947, he married Selma Schweitzer, graduate in economics at the University of Chicago[35] and psychotherapist, who died in 2015; they had two children, David Michael (b. 1962), an actor,[36] and Andrew Seth (b. 1965), an actor/singer.[9]
Arrow was well known for being a polymath, possessing prodigious knowledge of subjects far removed from economics. On one occasion (recounted by Eric Maskin), in an attempt to artificially test Arrow's knowledge, the junior faculty agreed to closely study the breeding habits of gray whales — a suitably obscure topic — and discuss it in his presence. To their surprise, Arrow already was familiar with the work they had studied and, in addition, thought it had been refuted by other research.[34]
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1951a). "Alternative approaches to the theory of choice in risk-taking situations". Econometrica. The Econometric Society. 19 (4): 404–37. doi:10.2307/1907465. JSTOR 1907465.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Hurwicz, Leonid (1953). Hurwicz's optimality criterion for decision making under ignorance. Technical Report 6. Stanford University.
Also available as: Arrow, Kenneth J.; Hurwicz, Leonid (1977). Appendix: An optimality criterion for decision-making under ignorance. Cambridge Books Online. pp. 461–72. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511752940.015. ISBN 9780511752940.
and as: Arrow, Kenneth J.; Hurwicz, Leonid (1977), "Appendix: An optimality criterion for decision-making under ignorance", in Arrow, Kenneth J.; Hurwicz, Leonid (eds.), Studies in resource allocation processes, Cambridge New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 461–72, ISBN 9780521215220.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Debreu, Gérard (July 1954). "Existence of an equilibrium for a competitive economy". Econometrica. The Econometric Society. 22 (3): 265–90. doi:10.2307/1907353. JSTOR 1907353.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (February 1959a). "Functions of a theory of behaviour under uncertainty". Metroeconomica. Wiley. 11 (1–2): 12–20. doi:10.1111/j.1467-999X.1959.tb00258.x.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1959b), "Toward a theory of price adjustment", in Abramovitz, Moses; et al. (eds.), The allocation of economic resources: essays in honor of Bernard Francis Haley, Stanford, California: Stanford University Press, OCLC 490147128.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1960), "Price-quantity adjustments in multiple markets with rising demands", in Arrow, Kenneth J.; Karlin, Samuel; Suppes, Patrick (eds.), Mathematical models in the social sciences, 1959: Proceedings of the first Stanford symposium, Stanford mathematical studies in the social sciences, IV, Stanford, California: Stanford University Press, pp. 3–15, ISBN 9780804700214.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Suppes, Patrick; Karlin, Samuel (1960). Mathematical models in the social sciences, 1959: Proceedings of the first Stanford symposium. Stanford, California: Stanford University Press. ISBN 9780804700214.
Including: Arrow, Kenneth J. Price-quantity adjustments in multiple markets with rising demands, pp. 3–15.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (June 1962). "The economic implications of learning by doing". The Review of Economic Studies. Oxford Journals. 29 (3): 155–73. doi:10.2307/2295952. JSTOR 2295952. S2CID 155029478.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (December 1963). "Uncertainty and the welfare economics of medical care" (PDF). American Economic Review. American Economic Association. 53 (5): 941–73. JSTOR 1812044. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 11, 2011.
Arrow also published an article, along with Hollis B. Chenery, Bagicha S. Minhas, and Robert M. Solow, pseudonymously under the name Archen Minsol , who it was claimed was at the University of Lower Slobbovia. The publication produced was: Minsol, A (1968). "Some Tests of the International Comparisons of Factor Efficiency with the CES Production Function: A Reply". The Review of Economic Studies', 477–479.s. 50, No. 4 (Nov.): 477–479..[37]
Reprinted as: Arrow, Kenneth J. (1983b), "The organization of economic activity: issues pertinent to the choice of market versus non-market allocations", in Arrow, Kenneth J. (ed.), Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 2: general equilibrium, Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press, pp. 133–55, ISBN 9780674137615.
Also reprinted as a pdf.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1970). Essays in the theory of risk-bearing. Amsterdam: North-Holland Pub. Co.ISBN 9780720430479.
Arrow, Kenneth; Hahn, Frank (1971). General competitive analysis. San Francisco: Holden-Day. ISBN 9780816202751.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Hurwicz, Leonid (1972), "Decision making under ignorance", in Carter, C. F.; Ford, J. L. (eds.), Uncertainty and expectations in economics: essays in honour of G.L.S. Shackle, Oxford / New York: Basil Blackwell / Augustus M. Kelley, ISBN 9780631141709.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1974). The limits of organization. New York: Norton. ISBN 9780393093230.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (February 1977). "Extended sympathy and the possibility of social choice". American Economic Review. American Economic Association. 67 (1): 219–25. JSTOR 1815907.
Reprinted as: Arrow, Kenneth J. (1983a), "Extended sympathy and the possibility of social choice", in Arrow, Kenneth J. (ed.), Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 1: social Choice and justice, Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press, ISBN 9780674137608.
Arrow, Kenneth J. Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press.:
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1983a). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 1: social Choice and justice. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137608.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1983b). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 2: general equilibrium. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137615.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1984a). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 3: individual choice under certainty and uncertainty. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137622.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1984b). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 4: the economics of information. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137639.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1985a). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 5: production and capital. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137776.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1985b). Collected papers of Kenneth J. Arrow, volume 6: applied economics. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap Press. ISBN 9780674137783.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (1987), "Rationality of self and others in an economic system", in Hogarth, Robin M.; Reder, Melvin W. (eds.), Rational choice: the contrast between economics and psychology, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 201–16, ISBN 9780226348575.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Anderson, Philip W.; Pines, David, eds. (1988). The economy as an evolving complex system: the proceedings of the Evolutionary Paths of the Global Economy Workshop, held September, 1987 in Santa Fe, New Mexico. Redwood City, California: Addison-Wesley Pub. Co. ISBN 9780201156850. Book details.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (May 1994). "Methodological individualism and social knowledge (Richard T. Ely Lecture)" (PDF). American Economic Review. American Economic Association. 84 (2): 1–9. JSTOR 2117792.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Debreu, Gérard (2001). Landmark papers in general equilibrium theory, social choice and welfare. Cheltenham, UK Northampton, Massachusetts, USA: Edward Elgar Publishing. ISBN 9781840645699.
Arrow, Kenneth J. (June 2009). "Some developments in economic theory since 1940: an eyewitness account". Annual Review of Economics. Wiley. 1: 1–16. doi:10.1146/annurev.economics.050708.143405.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Anderson, Philip W.; Pines, David (1988). The economy as an evolving complex system: the proceedings of the evolutionary paths of the global economy workshop, held September, 1987 in Santa Fe, New Mexico. Redwood City, California: Addison-Wesley Pub. Co. ISBN 9780201156850.
Arrow, Kenneth J.; Bensoussan, Alain; Feng, Qi; Sethi, Suresh P. (2007). "Optimal Savings and the value of population". PNAS. 104 (47): 18421–18426. Bibcode:2007PNAS..10418421A. doi:10.1073/pnas.0708030104. PMC2141792. PMID 17984059.
^Dewar, Diane M. (2017). Essentials of Health Economics. Jones & Bartlett Publishers. ISBN 978-1-284-05462-0.
^Arrow, Kenneth Joseph (2017). On Ethics and Economics: Conversations with Kenneth J. Arrow. Routledge. pp. 12, 33. ISBN 978-1-138-67606-0.
^ abcdefMaskin, Eric S. (August 2, 2019). "The Economics of Kenneth J. Arrow: A Selective Review". Annual Review of Economics. 11 (1): 1–26. doi:10.1146/annurev-economics-080218-030323. ISSN 1941-1383. S2CID 164272068.
^ abVelupillai, K. Vela (December 2019). "Kenneth Joseph Arrow. 23 August 1921—21 February 2017". Biographical Memoirs of Fellows of the Royal Society. 67: 9–28. doi:10.1098/rsbm.2019.0002. ISSN 0080-4606. S2CID 186214334.
^Feiwel, George R., ed. (January 1, 2016). Arrow and the Foundations of the Theory of Economic Policy. Springer. ISBN 978-1-349-07357-3.
^Wahid, Abu N.M. (2002). Frontiers of Economics: Nobel Laureates of the Twentieth Century. Greenwood Publishing. p. 5. ISBN 0-313-32073-X.
^ abKlein, Daniel B. (2013). "Kenneth J. Arrow [Ideological Profiles of the Economics Laureates]" (PDF). Econ Journal Watch. 10 (3): 268–281. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
^Stefancic, Mitja (July 2021). "Review of J. Maesse et al. (2022) "Power and Influence of Economists: Contributions to the Social Studies of Economics" | World Economics Association". WEA Commentaries. 11 (2): 11–12. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
^"Kenneth J. Arrow Papers, 1939–2009". Rubenstein Library, Duke University.
^Arrow, Kenneth J. (1950). "A Difficulty in the Concept of Social Welfare". Journal of Political Economy. 58 (4): 328–346. doi:10.1086/256963. ISSN 0022-3808. JSTOR 1828886. S2CID 13923619.
^ abMorreau, Michael (January 1, 2016). "Arrow's Theorem". The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Metaphysics Research Lab, Stanford University. Retrieved February 25, 2017.
^Mas-Colell, Andreu; Whinston, Michael D.; Green, Jerry R. (1995). Microeconomic Theory. New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 691–93. ISBN 0-19-507340-1.
^"Gerard Debreu – Biographical". nobelprize.org. Retrieved February 25, 2017.
^Smith, Adam, and Andrew S. Skinner. The wealth of nations. London: Penguin Books, 1999. Print.
^"Kenneth Arrow (1921– )". Concise Encyclopedia of Economics. Liberty Fund. 2008. Retrieved June 18, 2017.
^Romer, Paul M. (1986). "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth" (PDF). Journal of Political Economy. 94 (5): 1002–37. doi:10.1086/261420. JSTOR 1833190. S2CID 6818002.
^Arrow, Kenneth J. (1962). "The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing". The Review of Economic Studies. 29 (3): 155–73. doi:10.2307/2295952. JSTOR 2295952. S2CID 155029478.
^Barro, Robert J.; Sala-i-Martin, Xavier (2004). Economic Growth (2nd ed.). Cambridge: MIT Press. pp. 212–20. ISBN 0-262-02553-1.
^Savedoff, William D. (February 2004). "Kenneth Arrow and the birth of health economics". Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 82 (2): 139–140. hdl:10665/269064. ISSN 0042-9686. PMC2585899. PMID 15042237. Retrieved March 27, 2023.
^"John Bates Clark Medal". American Economic Association. Retrieved February 25, 2017.
^"Kenneth Joseph Arrow". American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Retrieved April 25, 2011.
^"Kenneth J. Arrow". National Academy of Sciences. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
^"Dr. Kenneth J. Arrow". American Philosophical Society Member History. Retrieved September 16, 2022.
^"The President's National Medal of Science: Recipient Details". National Science Foundation. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
^"Honorary Doctors of the Faculty of Social Sciences - Uppsala University, Sweden". Uppsala University. Retrieved March 27, 2023.
^"Central Secretariat and Library and Information Services List of Fellows of the Royal Society 1660 - 201" (PDF). The Royal Society. February 2020. Retrieved March 28, 2023.
^"INFORMS Fellows: Class of 2002". INFORMS. Retrieved March 27, 2023.
^ abcWeinstein, Michael M. (February 21, 2017). "Kenneth Arrow, Nobel-Winning Economist Whose Influence Spanned Decades, Dies at 95". The New York Times. Retrieved February 21, 2017.
^Heller, Walter P.; Starr, Ross M.; Starrett, David A., eds. (1986). "Kenneth J. Arrow". Social Choice and Public Decision Making: Essays in Honor of Kenneth J. Arrow, Volume I. Cambridge University Press. p. xiv. ISBN 0-521-30454-7.
^See page 236 in Düppe, T., & Weintraub, E. R. (2014). Finding equilibrium: Arrow, Debreu, McKenzie and the problem of scientific credit. Princeton University Press.
External linksedit
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