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In statistics, the **uncertainty coefficient**, also called **proficiency**, **entropy coefficient** or **Theil's U**, is a measure of nominal association. It was first introduced by Henri Theil^{[citation needed]} and is based on the concept of information entropy.

Suppose we have samples of two discrete random variables, *X* and *Y*. By constructing the joint distribution, *P _{X,Y}*(

The entropy of a single distribution is given as:
^{[1]}

while the conditional entropy is given as:^{[1]}

The uncertainty coefficient^{[2]} or proficiency^{[3]} is defined as:

and tells us: given *Y*, what fraction of the bits of *X* can we predict? In this case we can think of *X* as containing the total information, and of *Y* as allowing one to predict part of such information.

The above expression makes clear that the uncertainty coefficient is a normalised mutual information *I(X;Y)*. In particular, the uncertainty coefficient ranges in [0, 1] as *I(X;Y) < H(X)* and both *I(X,Y)* and *H(X)* are positive or null.

Note that the value of *U* (but not *H*!) is independent of the base of the *log* since all logarithms are proportional.

The uncertainty coefficient is useful for measuring the validity of a statistical classification algorithm and has the advantage over simpler accuracy measures such as precision and recall in that it is not affected by the relative fractions of the different classes, i.e., *P*(*x*).
^{[4]}
It also has the unique property that it won't penalize an algorithm for predicting the wrong classes, so long as it does so consistently (i.e., it simply rearranges the classes). This is useful in evaluating clustering algorithms since cluster labels typically have no particular ordering.^{[3]}

The uncertainty coefficient is not symmetric with respect to the roles of *X* and *Y*. The roles can be reversed and a symmetrical measure thus defined as a weighted average between the two:^{[2]}

Although normally applied to discrete variables, the uncertainty coefficient can be extended to continuous variables^{[1]} using density estimation.^{[citation needed]}

- ^
^{a}^{b}^{c}Claude E. Shannon; Warren Weaver (1963).*The Mathematical Theory of Communication*. University of Illinois Press. - ^
^{a}^{b}William H. Press; Brian P. Flannery; Saul A. Teukolsky; William T. Vetterling (1992). "14.7.4".*Numerical Recipes: the Art of Scientific Computing*(3rd ed.). Cambridge University Press. p. 761. - ^
^{a}^{b}White, Jim; Steingold, Sam; Fournelle, Connie. "Performance Metrics for Group-Detection Algorithms" (PDF). Interface 2004.`{{cite journal}}`

: Cite journal requires`|journal=`

(help) **^**Peter, Mills (2011). "Efficient statistical classification of satellite measurements" (PDF).*International Journal of Remote Sensing*.**32**(21): 6109–6132. arXiv:1202.2194. Bibcode:2011IJRS...32.6109M. doi:10.1080/01431161.2010.507795. S2CID 88518570. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-04-26.

- libagf Includes software for calculating uncertainty coefficients.