The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson won reelection to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.
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Henderson: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Asa Hutchinson |
Jan Morgan |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hendrix College | April 17–19, 2018 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 58% | 31% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 145,251 | 69.7 | |
Republican | Jan Morgan | 63,009 | 30.3 | |
Total votes | 208,260 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jared Henderson | 68,340 | 63.4 | |
Democratic | Leticia Sanders | 39,382 | 36.6 | |
Total votes | 107,722 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[18] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[19] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[20] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[21] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[23] | Safe R | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[25][a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[26] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Dates | Location | Hutchinson | Henderson | West | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
September 12, 2018 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Didn't participate | Participant | Participant | Full debate - YouTube |
October 12, 2018 | Conway, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Asa Hutchinson (R) |
Jared Henderson (D) |
Mark West (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Arkansas | October 1–28, 2018 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 59% | 35% | – | 6% | – |
Hendrix College | October 18–19, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 60% | 24% | 5% | – | 11% |
Hendrix College | September 5–7, 2018 | 1,701 | ± 2.4% | 60% | 25% | 6% | – | 9% |
Mason-Dixon | March 21–24, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 24% | – | – | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 582,406 | 65.33% | +9.89% | |
Democratic | Jared Henderson | 283,218 | 31.77% | -9.72% | |
Libertarian | Mark West | 25,885 | 2.90% | +0.98% | |
Total votes | 891,509 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |