2024 Romanian local elections

Summary

Local elections are set to be held in Romania in 9 June 2024. They will be the eighth post-1989 local elections in the country. The previous Romanian local elections in 2020 were won by the National Liberal Party (PNL), even though the Social Democratic Party (PSD) came in with significantly more County Council (CJ) presidents and mayors than the national liberals.

2024 Romanian local elections

← 2020 9 June 2024 2028 →

All 41 County Council Presidents

1,340 County Council Councillors All 3,176 Mayors

39,900 Local Council Councillors
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Leader Marcel Ciolacu Nicolae Ciucă Hunor Kelemen
Party PSD PNL UDMR
Leader since 26 November 2019 10 April 2022 26 February 2011

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Eugen Tomac Cătălin Drulă Victor Ponta
Party PMP USR PRO
Leader since 19 February 2022 7 February 2022 3 September 2017

Therefore, the de facto winner of the previous Romanian local elections was the Social Democratic Party (PSD), in spite of the de jure one which was the National Liberal Party (PNL), according to popular vote and thereby overall political score.

Furthermore, the 2020 USR-PLUS Alliance (now simply legally known as USR which is short for Save Romania Union) came in third with respect to popular vote yet failed to obtain an important nationwide representation (for mayors, local and municipal councillors, and county councillors alike). In the meantime, the PNL enlarged itself at local political level nationwide with the integral absorption of the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats (ALDE) during late March 2022.[1]

The main six political contenders in the forthcoming Romanian local elections will be the Social Democratic Party (PSD), the National Liberal Party (PNL), Save Romania Union (USR; formerly USR PLUS), the Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR/RMDSZ), the People's Movement Party (PMP), and PRO Romania (PRO).

Background edit

The government which will organize the forthcoming Romanian local elections will very likely be the Ciolacu Cabinet representing the National Coalition for Romania (CNR) with a Social Democratic (PSD) Prime Minister, most probably in the person of incumbent head of government Marcel Ciolacu.

Most opinion polls to date (depicted in the tables from the sections below) show the Social Democratic Party (PSD) as either the main or overall winning party in several major cities and towns across Romania, including, most notably, the capital, Bucharest.

In Bucharest, incumbent mayor Nicușor Dan has recently expressed his intention to candidate again, hoping that he will be supported by the main centre-right political parties which previously endorsed him in the 2020 Romanian local elections.[2][3] However, as of October 2023, the National Liberal Party (PNL) already declined its support for Nicușor Dan for another term as Mayor of Bucharest (PGMB).[4] At the same time, Dan announced he will run as an independent candidate, as in 2020, and that he hopes he will be supported by as many centre-right political parties as possible.

In stark contrast, several other major cities are shown to favour Save Romania Union (USR) in their public administration thus far and others the National Liberal Party (PNL). The current political trend, according to the polls, is that the Social Democratic Party (PSD) is the dominant political party in the south and east of Romania (i.e. in Muntenia, Oltenia, Dobrogea, and Western Moldavia respectively), the National Liberal Party (PNL) in the centre and north of the country (i.e. in Transylvania and Bukovina), and Save Romania Union (USR), sporadically at urban level in the south-western part of the country, more specifically in Banat.

Opinion polls edit

National results in 2020 edit

In the table below are highlighted the major electoral scores (or results) obtained by the 6 largest political parties in Romania at the previous local elections which here held in September 2020:

Date Results Electorate PNL PSD USR PMP UDMR PRO Others Lead
27 Sep 2020 2020 election 8,419,028 32.32% 23.16% 8.89% 6.04% 4.87% 4.68% 20.04% 9.16%

National polling edit

In the table below are represented the prospective results of the 6 main political parties active in Romania at local political level for the forthcoming local elections which are going to be held in 2024:

Date Sample size Source PNL PSD USR PMP UDMR PRO Others Lead
6–19 Oct 2022 CURS 22.0%   31.0%   11.0%   4.0%   4.0%   14.0%   9.0%

Regional polls edit

Bucharest edit

Date Poll source PSD USR PMP FD PNL AUR PV PRO PUSL ApP SOS Others Lead
9-23 Feb 2024 CURS 34 23 16 13 5 6 3 11
Sep 2022 Avangarde 34.0 12.0 3.0 25.0 13.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 9.0
Aug 2022 CURS 32.0 10.0 4.0 23.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 9.0
Jun 2022 CURS 33.0 10.0 5.0 22.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 11.0
14–20 Jan 2022 CURS 34.0 17.0 6.0 17.0 13.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 17.0
17–23 Sep 2021 CURS 33.0 23.0 4.0 21.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 10.0
Jul 2021 CURS 32.0 25.0 4.0 22.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 7.0
May 2021 CURS 29.0 27.0 4.0 22.0 9.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.0
Mar 2021 CURS 32.0 27.0 5.0 20.0 7.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 5.0
26 Sep 2020 Election 32.38 26.98 7.82 - 22.24[5] 0.88 1.81 1.72 0.95 6.3 5.0

Seats projection edit

Date PSD USR PNL PMP AUR PV PUSL ApP
Sep 2022 25 8 14 8
Jul 2022 26 8 12 6 3
Jun 2022 25 9 11 6 4
Jun 2022 23 7 15 10
May 2022 23 11 9 5 3 4
Mar 2022 25 13 10 7
Jan 2022 20 10 10 4 7 3
Jan 2022 21 15 8 11
2021 21 14 10 4 6
Jul 2021 20 16 14 5
May 2021 18 17 14 6
Mar 2021 20 16 12 3 4
26 Sep 2020 21 17 12 5 0 0 0

Mayor of Bucharest edit

Data Source
Dan
[a]
Cîrstoiu
Firea
Voiculescu
Ciucu
Burduja
Băsescu
Târziu
Enache
Șoșoacă
Piedone
Others Lead
2-9 April 2024 CURS 27% 23% 5% 2% 38% 5% 11%
9–13 April 2024 Sociopol 43% 8% 5% 41% [b] 2%
5–8 April 2024 AtlasIntel 37.1% 17.4% 4.9% 30% 10.6 7.1%
35.4% 16.4% [c] 30.7% 11.5% 4.7%
29 March–2 April 2024 INSOMAR 29% 15% 22% 34%[d] 3%
26 March–2 April 2024 CURS 29% 20% 4% 4% 40% 11%
21–24 March 2024 Sociopol 34.0% 26.0% 6.0% 4.0% 30.0% 4.0%
20–24 March 2024 Avangarde 41.0% 29.0% 27.0% 3.0% 12.0%
30.0% 16.0% 10.0% 42.0% 2.0% 12.0%
2–9 March 2024 Verifield 39.3% 16.0% 1.0% 2.4% 40.4% 0.9% 1.1%
9–23 February 2024 CURS 36.0% 33.0% 8.0% 5.0% 10.0% 8.0% 3.0%
7–14 September 2022 Avangarde 18.0% 30.0% 14.0% 18.0% 4.0% [e] 4.0% 12.0%
27 septembrie 2020 2020 elections 42.81% 37.97% 10.99% 0.67% 7.56% 4.84%

Constanța edit

Date Poll source PNL USR PSD PMP AUR PV Others Lead
Aug 2023 Ziua CT 10.0 23.0 15.0 3.0 10.0 10.0 29.0 8.0
6 Dec 2020 Parliament 26.1 26.4 22.3 4.2 8.9 0.9 11.3 0.3
27 September 2020 Election 27.7 23.9 19.9 4.7 1.8 22.1 3.8

Iași edit

Date Poll source PNL USR PSD AUR PMP PV Others Lead
6 Dec 2020 Parliament 21.4 31.7 21.0 8.7 5.7 1.3 11.5 10.3
27 September 2020 Election 32.2 29.0 16.4 1.4 5.1 3.8 8.4 3.2

Târgu Jiu edit

Date Poll source PNL PSD PRO PV USR AUR PMP Others Lead
6 Dec 2020 Parliament 21.6 34.6 8.3 3.4 14.2 6.3 4.5 7.0 13.0
26 Sep 2020 Election 37.4 27.8 7.6 6.5 5.6 4.9 10.3 9.6

Results edit

Alba edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PNL  
PSD
USR
PMP
UDMR/RMDSZ
PRO
AUR
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 32
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Arad edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PNL  
USR
PSD
PRO
PMP
UDMR/RMDSZ
PRM
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 32
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Argeș edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
USR
PRO
PMP
PER
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 34
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Bacău edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
USR
Verzii
PRO
AUR
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 36
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Bihor edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PNL  
UDMR/RMDSZ
PSD
PPMT
USR
PRO
PMP
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 34
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Bistrița-Năsăud edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
PMP
USR
PER
PUSL
AUR
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 30
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Botoșani edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
PRO
USR
PMP
PUSL
PER
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 32
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Brașov edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PNL  
PSD
USR
PRO
UDMR/RMDSZ
PMP
FDGR/DFDR
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 34
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Brăila edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
PMP
USR
PRO
AUR
PUSL
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 30
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Buzău edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
PMP
USR
PRO
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 32
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Cluj edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PSD  
PNL
PMP
USR
PRO
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 34
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Constanța edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
PNL  
PSD
USR
PMP
UDMR/RMDSZ
PRO
AUR
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 32
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Satu Mare edit

County Council Election Mayoral Election
Party Voters % Seats    Map
UDMR/RMDSZ  
PNL
PSD
PMP
USR
PRO
AUR
PV
Others
Invalid/blank votes -
Total 100% 33
Turnout -%
Source: TBA

Current distribution of administrative mandates at local political level in Romania edit

In the table below are statistically represented the vast majority of the administrative mandates won nationwide in Romania by the following 12 political parties (both major and minor) after the 2020 Romanian local elections (based on their total number of elected representatives) as well as their current distribution of administrative mandates previously won in Romania in 2020 at local political level, according to the 4 main categories as follows (statistics correct as of late October 2023):

Political party Political position Main Ideology Leader(s) County Council (CJ) Presidents Mayors County Council Councillors Local Council Councillors
PSD Social Democratic Party Centre to centre-left Social conservatism Marcel Ciolacu
20 / 41
1,360 / 3,176
362 / 1,340
13,820 / 39,900
PNL[f] National Liberal Party Centre-right Social conservatism Nicolae Ciucă
17 / 41
1,249 / 3,176
489 / 1,340
15,043 / 39,900
UDMR
RMDSZ
Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania Centre-right Hungarian minority rights Hunor Kelemen
4 / 41
199 / 3,176
94 / 1,340
2,360 / 39,900
PMP People's Movement Party Centre-right to right-wing Christian democracy
National conservatism
Cristian Diaconescu
0 / 41
50 / 3,176
67 / 1,340
2,137 / 39,900
USR Save Romania Union Centre to centre-right Populism Cătălin Drulă
0 / 41
41 / 3,176
108 / 1,340
1,655 / 39,900
PRO PRO Romania Centre-left Social democracy
Progressivism
Victor Ponta
0 / 41
36 / 3,176
56 / 1,340
1,885 / 39,900
PER Romanian Ecologist Party Right-wing Green conservatism
Nationalism
Florin Secara
0 / 41
7 / 3,176
5 / 1,340
372 / 39,900
PUSL Social Liberal Humanist Party Centre Daniel Ionașcu
0 / 41
2 / 3,176
0 / 1,340
166 / 39,900
PV Green Party Centre to left-wing Green politics Marius Lazăr/Lavinia Cosma
0 / 41
1 / 3,176
0 / 1,340
117 / 39,900
AUR Alliance for the Union of Romanians Right-wing to far-right Right-wing populism George Simion
0 / 41
2 / 3,176
[g]
0 / 1,340
79 / 39,900
FDGR
DFDR
Democratic Forum of Germans in Romania German minority rights Paul-Jürgen Porr
0 / 41
5 / 3,176
5 / 1,340
68 / 39,900
PNȚCD Christian Democratic National Peasants' Party Centre-right to right-wing Right-wing populism Aurelian Pavelescu
0 / 41
1 / 3,176
0 / 1,340
42 / 39,900

Notes edit

  1. ^ Supported by the ADU and REPER
  2. ^ Alexandru Pânișoară (PER: 3%
  3. ^ In this scenario, Cozmin Gușă runs as an independent candidate with AUR support and receives 5.8%
  4. ^ Cozmin Gușă (IND): 26%
  5. ^ George Simion, the leader of AUR, has 12% in this poll
  6. ^ PNL had entirely absorbed ALDE during late March 2022, therefore the figures associated here with PNL include seats previously won by ALDE in 2020 as well. In addition, the figures here also include a party-switching mayor from AUR who subsequently joined the party in June 2022.
  7. ^ AUR lost one of its three mayors in June 2022. The respective mayor was from Vrancea County and switched, at that time, to PNL.[6]

References edit

  1. ^ Redacția HotNews.ro (22 March 2022). "Florin Cîţu: Conducerea PNL a aprobat fuziunea cu ALDE". HotNews.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  2. ^ Alina Popescu (16 August 2023). "Nicușor Dan: Ca primar al Bucureștiului, Gabriela Firea a fost un dezastru. A dus Primăria în faliment". Digi24.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 17 August 2023.
  3. ^ Claudia Bancas (16 August 2023). "Nicuşor Dan: Îmi doresc să fiu candidatul dreptei, aşa cum a fost în 2020. Nu văd de ce lucrurile pornite împreună s-ar întrerupe". Digi24.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 17 August 2023.
  4. ^ Financial Intelligence (9 October 2023). "Rareș Bogdan: PNL nu îl mai susține pe Nicușor Dan pentru un nou mandat". Financial Intelligence (in Romanian). Retrieved 13 October 2023.
  5. ^ PNL had entirely absorbed ALDE during late March 2022, therefore the figures associated here with PNL include seats previously won by ALDE in 2020 as well.
  6. ^ Liviu Cojan (17 June 2022). "Singurul primar AUR din Vrancea a trecut la PNL. Un deputat al partidului spune că acesta ar fi fost șantajat de liberali". Digi24.ro (in Romanian). Retrieved 17 June 2022.