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Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Summary

In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.

Graphical summary edit

Primary vote edit

 

Two-party preferred edit

 

Voting intention edit

2024 edit

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
19–23 April 2024 YouGov[1] Online 1,514 36% 33% 13% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
17–21 April 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,145 35% 31% 11% 9% 1% 9% 4% 47% 49%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[3] Online 1,610 36% 30% 13% 5% 2% 14% — 50% 50%
15–21 April 2024 Roy Morgan[4] Online 1,617 35.5% 30.5% 16% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll[5] Online 1,236 38% 33% 12% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy[6] Online 1,055 40% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
8–14 April 2024 Roy Morgan[7] Online 1,706 38.5% 30% 13.5% 5.5% — 12.5% — 49% 51%
13 April 2024 The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election
3–7 April 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,165 34% 29% 14% 6% 2% 8% 6% 48% 46%
1–7 April 2024 Roy Morgan[8] Online 1,731 38% 29.5% 13.5% 6% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
25–31 March 2024 Roy Morgan[9] Online 1,677 37.5% 30% 15.5% 3.5% — 13.5% — 51% 49%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov[10] Online 1,513 38% 32% 13% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[11] Online 1,610 35% 32% 13% 5% 2% 13% — 53% 47%
20–24 March 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,150 36% 29% 11% 7% 3% 7% 6% 44% 50%
18–24 March 2024 Roy Morgan[12] Online 1,633 38% 31.5% 14% 4.5% — 12% — 50% 50%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll[13] Online 1,223 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 51% 49%
11–17 March 2024 Roy Morgan[14] Online 1,710 37% 31.5% 12.5% 5.5% — 13.5% — 51.5% 48.5%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy[15] Online 1,051 39% 31% 14% — — 16% — 51% 49%
4–10 March 2024 Roy Morgan[16] Online 1,714 38% 32% 13% 4% — 13% — 51.5% 48.5%
5–9 March 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,126 35% 32% 11% 8% 2% 8% 5% 48% 47%
24 February – 5 March 2024 YouGov[17] Online 1,539 37% 32% 15% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
26 February – 3 March 2024 Roy Morgan[18] Online 1,679 36.5% 34% 13.5% 3.5% — 12.5% — 53.5% 46.5%
2 March 2024 Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election
21–25 February 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,145 35% 30% 13% 7% 2% 8% 4% 47% 48%
19–25 February 2024 Roy Morgan[19] Online 1,682 38% 31.5% 12% 5% — 13.5% — 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[20] Online 1,603 37% 34% 11% 6% 1% 13% — 52% 48%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll[21] Online 1,245 36% 33% 12% 6% — 13% — 52% 48%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy[22] Online 1,049 38% 31% 14% — — 17% — 51% 49%
12–18 February 2024 Roy Morgan[23] Online 1,706 37% 34% 13% 4% — 12% — 52.5% 47.5%
7–11 February 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,148 34% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 5% 50% 46%
5–11 February 2024 Roy Morgan[24] Online 1,699 37% 34.5% 12% 4.5% — 12% — 52% 48%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov[25] Online 1,502 36% 32% 14% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
30 January – 7 February 2024 RedBridge Group[26] Online 2,040 38% 33% 13% — — 16% — 51.2% 48.8%
29 January – 4 February 2024 Roy Morgan[27] Online 1,709 37% 33% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
31 January – 3 February 2024 Newspoll[28] Online 1,245 36% 34% 12% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
24–28 January 2024 Essential[2] Online 1,201 34% 32% 13% 7% 2% 7% 5% 48% 46%
22–28 January 2024 Roy Morgan[29] Online 1,688 37.5% 31% 13% 5.5% — 13% — 50.5% 49.5%
15–21 January 2024 Roy Morgan[30] Online 1,675 36% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 14% — 52.5% 47.5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov[31] Online 1,532 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
8–14 January 2024 Roy Morgan[32] Online 1,727 37% 31.5% 12% 4.5% — 15% — 51.5% 48.5%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater Strategy[33][34][35] Online 1,007 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
2–7 January 2024 Roy Morgan[36] Online 1,716 39% 29% 13% 5% — 14% — 49% 51%

2023 edit

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[b]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy[37] Online 1,109 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
11–17 December 2023 Roy Morgan[38] Online 1,109 38% 32% 11.5% 4.5% — 14% — 50% 50%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll[39] Online 1,219 36% 33% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
6–11 December 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,102 34% 31% 13% 6% 2% 9% 5% 49% 46%
6–11 December 2023 RedBridge Group[40] Online 2,010 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 52.8% 47.2%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov[41][42] Online 1,555 36% 29% 15% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[43][44] Online 1,605 34% 35% 12% 5% 1% 12% — 55% 45%
27 November – 3 December 2023 Roy Morgan[45] — 1,730 37.5% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 12.5% — 51% 49%
22–26 November 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,151 34% 31% 13% 7% 1% 8% 6% 48% 47%
20–26 November 2023 Roy Morgan[46] — 1,379 35% 32% 13.5% 5% — 14.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll[47] Online 1,216 38% 31% 13% 6% — 12% — 50% 50%
13–19 November 2023 Roy Morgan[48] — 1,401 37.5% 29.5% 13.5% 6.5% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov[49] Online 1,582 36% 31% 13% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
8–12 November 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,150 34% 32% 12% 7% 2% 8% 5% 49% 47%
6–12 November 2023 Roy Morgan[50] — 1,397 36.5% 30% 13% 6% — 14.5% — 50% 50%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[51] Online 1,602 30% 35% 13% 7% 2% 13% — 57% 43%
30 October – 3 November 2023 Newspoll[52] Online 1,220 37% 35% 12% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
27 October – 2 November 2023 RedBridge Group[53] Online 1,205 35% 34% 14% — — 17% — 53.5% 46.5%
25–29 October 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,149 34% 32% 10% 7% 3% 9% 6% 48% 46%
23–29 October 2023 Roy Morgan[54] — 1,375 35% 32.5% 15% — — 17.5% — 53% 47%
16–22 October 2023 Roy Morgan[55] — 1,383 36% 32% 14% 4.5% — 13.5% — 49.5% 50.5%
14 October 2023 The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll[56] Online 2,638 35% 36% 12% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov[57] Online 1,519 36% 33% 14% 6% — 11% — 53% 47%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll[58][59] Online 1,225 36% 34% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[60][61] Online 4,728 31% 37% 12% 7% 2% 11% — 57% 43%
27 September – 1 October 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,125 32% 33% 14% 6% 2% 7% 5% 50% 45%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov[62][63] Online 1,563 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 53% 47%
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy[64] Online 1,003 37% 33% 13% — — 17% — 51% 49%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll[65][66] Online 1,239 36% 36% 11% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
13–17 September 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,135 32% 31% 13% 8% 2% 8% 6% 49% 45%
4–10 September 2023 Roy Morgan[67] — 1,382 37% 32% 13.5% — — 17.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[68][69] Online 1,604 34% 36% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 55.5% 44.5%
30 August – 4 September 2023 RedBridge Group[70] Online 1,001 36% 37% 13% — — 14% — 54.1% 45.9%
30 August – 3 September 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,151 32% 31% 15% 7% 2% 7% 6% 51% 43%
28 August – 3 September 2023 Roy Morgan[71] — 1,404 37.5% 33.5% 13% — — 16% — 53% 47%
28 August – 1 September 2023 Newspoll[72] Online 1,200 37% 35% 13% 7% — 8% — 53% 47%
16–20 August 2023 Essential[2][73] Online 1,151 33% 33% 14% 5% 3% 7% 6% 51% 43%
10–14 August 2023 RedBridge Group[74] Online 1,010 32% 38% 10% — — 21% — 55.6% 44.4%
9–13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[75][76] Online 1,603 33% 37% 11% 5% 2% 12% — 56% 44%
2–6 August 2023 Essential[2][77] Online 1,150 30% 33% 12% 8% 2% 8% 6% 52% 42%
19–23 July 2023 Essential[2][78] Online 1,150 32% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 6% 50% 45%
15 July 2023 LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[79][80] Online 1,610 30% 39% 11% 6% 1% 11% — 59% 41%
12–15 July 2023 Newspoll[81][82] Online 1,570 34% 36% 12% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
5–9 July 2023 Essential[2][83] Online 2,248 32% 32% 14% 8% 1% 8% 5% 51% 44%
21–25 June 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,148 30% 32% 14% 7% 2% 11% 6% 52% 42%
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll[84][85] Online 2,303 35% 38% 11% 6% — 10% — 54% 46%
7–11 June 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,123 32% 32% 16% 5% 1% 9% 5% 52% 42%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[86][87] Online 1,606 30% 40% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 60% 40%
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll[88][89] Online 1,549 34% 38% 12% 6% — 10% — 55% 45%
24–28 May 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,138 31% 34% 15% 6% 2% 7% 5% 52% 43%
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[90][91] Online 1,005 37% 34% 12% — — 17% — 52% 48%
10–14 May 2023 Essential[2][92] Online 1,080 31% 35% 14% 5% 1% 8% 5% 53% 42%
11–13 May 2023 Newspoll[93][94] Online 1,516 34% 38% 11% 7% — 10% — 55% 45%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[95][96] Online 1,610 30% 42% 12% 5% 2% 8% 2% 61% 39%
26–30 April 2023 Essential[2][97] Online 1,130 32% 33% 14% 5% 2% 8% 5% 53% 41%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll[98][99] Online 1,514 33% 38% 11% 7% — 11% — 56% 44%
12–16 April 2023 Essential[2][100] Online 1,136 31% 34% 14% 6% 3% 9% 4% 52% 43%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[101][102] Online 1,609 28% 42% 12% 6% 1% 11% — 61.5% 38.5%
29 March – 2 April 2023 Essential[2][103] Online 1,133 30% 33% 14% 6% 2% 10% 5% 53% 42%
29 March – 1 April 2023 Newspoll[104] Online 1,500 33% 38% 10% 8% — 11% — 55% 45%
1 April 2023 Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election
15–20 March 2023 Essential[2][105] Online 1,124 31% 34% 14% 5% 2% 9% 5% 52% 43%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[106][105] Online 1,600 30% 39% 13% 5% 1% 11% — 60% 40%
1–5 March 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,141 32% 32% 12% 7% 2% 10% 7% 49% 44%
27 February – 5 March 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 38% 11.5% — — 17% — 54.5% 45.5%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll[107] Online 1,530 35% 37% 10% 7% — 11% — 54% 46%
20–26 February 2023 Roy Morgan — — 34.5% 37% 13.5% — — 15% — 56.5% 43.5%
15–19 February 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,044 30% 33% 14% 6% 3% 8% 8% 51% 42%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[108][109] Online 1,604 31% 40% 10% 5% 1% 11% — 57.9% 42.1%
13–19 February 2023 Roy Morgan Online/Telephone — 33% 37% 13% — — 17% — 58.5% 41.5%
1–6 February 2023 Essential[2] Online 1,000 30% 33% 17% 6% 1% 15% 5% 55% 40%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll[110][111] Online 1,512 34% 38% 11% 6% 1% 10% — 55% 45%
23–29 January 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 37.5% 11.5% — — 17.5% — 57% 43%
18–22 January 2023 Essential[2][112] Online 1,050 31% 34% 14% 8% 1% 7% 5% 53% 42%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[113][112] Online 1,606 29% 42% 11% 6% 2% 11% — 60% 40%

2022 edit

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[c]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent
16–18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[114][115][116] Online 1,209 37% 37% 12% 4% 1% 9% — 54% 46%
7–11 December 2022 Essential[2] Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 6% 3% 8% 5% 51% 44%
30 November–4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[117][118] Online 1,611 30% 42% 11% 4% 2% 8% — 60% 40%
30 November–3 December 2022 Newspoll[119] Online 1,508 35% 39% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
23–27 November 2022 Essential[119][120] Online 1,042 31% 33% 13% — — 17% 6% 51% 43%
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[121] Online 1,500 35% 38% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[122][121] Online 1,611 32% 39% 13% 4% 1% 11% — 57.4%[d] 42.6%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[123][124] Online 1,604 30% 39% 12% 5% 3% 11% — 58.3% 41.7%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[125][126] Online 1,607 32% 39% 10% 6% 2% 11% — 57% 43%
31 August–3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[127][128] Online 1,505 31% 37% 13.5% 7% 2% 10% — 57% 43%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[129][130] Online 2,011 28% 42% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 61.3% 38.7%
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[131][132] Online 1,508 33% 37% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 56% 44%
14–17 June 2022 Dynata[133] Online 1,001 31% 34% 12% 4% 4% 7% 9% 52.2%[e] 47.8%
13–19 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] Online/telephone 1,401 37% 36% 11% 4% 0.5% 11.5% — 53% 47%
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party[135]
21 May 2022 Election[136][137] 35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 52.1% 47.9%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and psephologist Kevin Bonham.
  2. ^ Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and psephologist Kevin Bonham.
  3. ^ Resolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger and Kevin Bonham.
  4. ^ Calculated using the Australian Federal Two-Party-Preferred Estimator from Armarium Interrata. Does not account undecided voters.
  5. ^ Calculated using the Australian Federal Two-Party-Preferred Estimator from Armarium Interreta. Does not account undecided voters.

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling edit

Graphical summary edit

The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.

Preferred Prime Minister edit

 

Leadership approval ratings edit

Albanese edit

 

Dutton edit

 

Preferred Prime Minister and leadership polling table edit

2024 edit
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
17–21 April 2024 Essential[138] Online 1,145 — — — 43% 48% 9% −5% 44% 41% 15% +3%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic[3] Online 1,610 41% 32% 27% 43% 45% 12% −2% 40% 42% 17% −2%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll[5] Online 1,236 48% 35% 17% — — — −6% — — — −15%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy[6] Online 1,055 45% 39% 16% 38% 45% 17% −7% 32% 41% 27% −9%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov[10] Online 1,513 46% 34% 20% 41% 52% 7% −11% 38% 49% 13% −11%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[11] Online 1,610 40% 30% 30% 38% 49% 13% −11% 36% 44% 20% −8%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll[13] Online 1,223 48% 34% 18% 44% 51% 5% −7% 37% 52% 11% −15%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy[15] Online 1,051 47% 38% 15%[a] 37% 45% 18% −8% 30% 43% 27% −13%
24 February – 5 March 2024 YouGov[17] Online 1,539 48% 34% 18% 44% 50% 6% −6% 39% 49% 12% −10%
21–25 February 2024 Essential[139] Online 1,145 — — — 42% 47% 10% −5% 40% 44% 16% −4%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[20] Online 1,603 39% 32% 29% 41% 47% 12% −6% 35% 45% 20% −10%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll[21] Online 1,245 47% 35% 18% 43% 51% 6% −8% 37% 51% 12% −14%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy[140] Online 1,049 42% 38% 19%[b] 38% 45% 18% −7% 32% 41% 28% −9%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov[25] Online 1,502 45% 38% 17% — — — −16% — — — −8%
31 January–3 February 2024 Newspoll[28][141] Online 1,245 46% 35% 19% 42% 51% 7% −9% 37% 50% 13% −13%
24–28 January 2024 Essential[142] Online 1,201 — — — 41% 47% 12% −6% 38% 43% 19% −5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov[31] Online 1,532 45% 35% 20% — — — −13% — — — −11%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater Strategy[33][34][35] Online 1,007 47% 38% 15%[c] 38% 43% 19% −5% 31% 40% 30% −9%
2023 edit
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy[37] Online 1,109 43% 39% 18%[d] 37% 42% 20% −5% 34% 36% 30% −2%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll[39] Online 1,219 46% 35% 19% 42% 50% 8% −8% 39% 48% 13% −9%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov[41][42] Online 1,555 46% 36% 18% 39% 55% 6% −16% 39% 48% 13% −9%
29 November–3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic[43] Online 1,605 42% 28% 30% 37% 48% 15% −11% 34% 42% 24% −8%
22–26 November 2023 Essential[143] Online 1,151 — — — 42% 47% 12% −5% 39% 42% 19% −3%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll[47] Online 1,216 46% 35% 19% 40% 53% 7% −13% 37% 50% 13% −13%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov[49][144] Online 1,582 48% 34% 18% 43% 50% 7% −7% 40% 47% 13% −7%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic[51] Online 1,602 40% 27% 33% 39% 46% 15% −7% 36% 40% 25% −4%
30 October–3 November 2023 Newspoll[52] Online 1,220 46% 36% 18% 42% 52% 6% −10% 37% 50% 13% −13%
11–14 October 2023 Essential[145] Online 1,125 — — — 46% 43% 11% +3% 36% 43% 21% −7%
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll[56] Online 2,638 51% 31% 18% 46% 46% 8% 0% 35% 53% 12% −18%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov[57][144] Online 1,519 50% 34% 16% 45% 48% 7% −3% 38% 50% 12% −12%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll[58][59] Online 1,225 50% 33% 17% 45% 46% 9% −1% 37% 50% 13% −13%
22 September–4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic[60][61] Online 1,604 47% 25% 28% 43% 43% 14% 0% 30% 45% 25% −15%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov[62][144] Online 1,563 50% 33% 17% — — — — — — — —
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy[64] Online 1,003 46% 37% 17%[e] 38% 41% 21% −3% 30% 40% 30% −10%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll[65][66] Online 1,239 50% 30% 20% 47% 44% 9% +3% 32% 52% 16% −20%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic[68][69] Online 1,604 43% 28% 29% 40% 47% 13% −7% 35% 43% 22% −8%
30 August–3 September 2023 Essential[146] Online 1,151 — — — 46% 43% 10% +3% 38% 43% 19% −5%
28 August–1 September 2023 Newspoll[72] Online 1,200 50% 31% 19% 46% 47% 7% −1% 38% 49% 13% −11%
9-13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic[75][76] Online 1,603 46% 25% 29% 44% 42% 14% +2% 31% 44% 24% −13%
19-23 July 2023 Essential[78][147] Online 1,150 — — — 48% 41% 11% +7% 37% 43% 20% −6%
12-15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[79][80] Online 1,610 51% 21% 28% 51% 34% 15% +17% 31% 47% 23% −16%
12-15 July 2023 Newspoll[81] Online 1,570 54% 29% 17% 52% 41% 7% +11% 36% 49% 15% −13%
16-24 June 2023 Newspoll[84] Online 2,303 52% 32% 16% 52% 42% 6% +10% 38% 49% 13% −11%
29 May - 12 June 2023 CT Group[148] Online 3,000 — — — 42% 36% 22% +6% — — — —
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[86][87] Online 1,606 53% 22% 25% 53% 35% 13% +18% 28% 48% 24% −20%
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll[88] Online 1,549 55% 28% 17% 55% 37% 8% +18% 36% 50% 14% −14%
15-17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy[90][91] Online 1,005 51% 33% 16%[f] 42% 37% 21% +5% 30% 42% 28% −12%
10–14 May 2023 Essential[149] Online 1,125 — — — 54% 35% 11% +19% 36% 45% 19% −9%
11-13 May 2023 Newspoll[93][94] Online 1,516 56% 29% 15% 57% 38% 5% +19% 36% 51% 13% −15%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[95][96] Online 1,610 53% 20% 27% 56% 29% 14% +27% 28% 49% 23% −21%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll[98][99] Online 1,514 54% 28% 18% 53% 37% 10% +16% 33% 52% 15% −19%
12–16 April 2023 Essential[150] Online 1,136 — — — 51% 36% 12% +15% 36% 44% 20% −8%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic[101][102] Online 1,609 55% 21% 24% 56% 29% 14% +27% 26% 54% 19% −28%
29 March – 2 April 2023 Essential[151] Online 1,133 — — — 52% 35% 13% +17% — — — —
29 March – 1 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,500 58% 26% 16% 56% 35% 9% +21% 35% 48% 21% −13%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic[106][105] Online 1,600 51% 22% 27% 55% 31% 13% +24% 32% 44% 25% −12%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll Online 1,530 54% 28% 18% 55% 38% 7% +17% 37% 48% 15% −11%
15–21 February 2023 Morning Consult — — — — — 57% 31% 12% +26% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Essential[152] Online 1,044 — — — 53% 34% 13% +19% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic[108][109] Online 1,604 55% 23% 22% 56% 30% 13% +26% 29% 45% 26% −16%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll[110][111] Online 1,512 56% 26% 18% 57% 33% 10% +24% 36% 46% 18% −10%
18–22 January 2023 Essential[153] Online 1,050 — — — 55% 31% 13% +24% — — — —
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic[113][112] Online 1,606 55% 20% 25% 60% 25% 15% +35% 28% 46% 26% −18%
2022 edit
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
16-18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[114][115][116] Online 1,209 55% 29% 16%[g] – – – – – – – –
7–11 December 2022 Essential[154] Online 1,042 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[117][118] Online 1,611 54% 19% 27% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 43% 29% –15%
30 November – 3 December 2022 Newspoll[119] Online 1,508 59% 24% 17% 62% 29% 9% +33% 36% 45% 19% –9%
16–22 November 2022 Morning Consult[155] Online — – – – 56% 31% 25% +25% – – – –
9–14 November 2022 Essential[156] Online 1,035 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll[121] Online 1,500 54% 27% 19% 59% 33% 8% +26% 39% 46% 15% –7%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[122][121][157] Online 1,611 53% 19% 28% 57% 28% 16% +29% 29% 41% 30% –12%
13–16 October 2022 Freshwater Strategic[h][158] Online 1,042 – – – 50% 26% 24% +24% 33% 34% 33% –1%
11–16 October 2022 Essential[159] Online 1,122 – – – 58% 26% 15% +32% – – – –
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[123][124] Online 1,604 53% 18% 29% 60% 25% 15% +35% 30% 41% 28% –11%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[125][126] Online 1,607 53% 19% 28% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 40% 32% –12%
31 August – 4 September 2022 Essential[160] Online 1,070 — — — 59% 25% 15% +34% — — — —
31 August – 3 September 2022 Newspoll[127] Online 1,505 61% 22% 17% 61% 29% 10% +32% 35% 43% 22% –8%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[129][130] Online 2,011 55% 17% 28% 61% 22% 17% +39% 30% 37% 32% –7%
3–7 August 2022 Essential[161] Online 1,075 — — — 55% 28% 18% +27% — — — —
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[131] Online 1,508 59% 25% 16% 61% 26% 13% +35% 37% 41% 22% –4%
7–11 July 2022 Essential[162] Online 1,097 — — — 56% 24% 20% +32% — — — —
8–12 June 2022 Essential[163] Online 1,087 — — — 59% 18% 23% +41% — — — —
23–31 May 2022 Morning Consult[164] Online 3,770 — — — 51% 24% 25% +27% — — — —
  1. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  2. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 16% "Neither"
  3. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  4. ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 13% "Neither"
  5. ^ Total of 3% "Unsure" + 14% "Neither"
  6. ^ Total of 5% "Unsure" + 11% "Neither"
  7. ^ Total of 4% "Unsure" + 12% "Neither"
  8. ^ Polling conducted in NSW.

Sub-national polling edit

New South Wales edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic[165] 1,610 35% 33% 11% 6% 2% 12% 2% 52% 48%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[165] 1,152 38% 32% 12% 7% — — 11% 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic[165] 1,603 37% 34% 10% 4% 1% — 14% 51.5% 48.5%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll[165] 1,139 37% 32% 13% 7% — — 11% 51% 49%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 1,565 34% 38% 13% 5% — — 10% 56% 44%
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic[60] — 32% 34% 13% 8% 2% 10% 2% 54.5% 45.5%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic[68] — 36% 39% 8% 6% 2% 7% 3% 53.5% 46.5%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic[75] — 34% 42% 11% 4% 1% 8% 1% 57% 43%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[79] — 32% 39% 10% 9% 0% 8% 2% 55.5% 44.5%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[86] — 33% 39% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 56% 44%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[95] — 30% 46% 9% 5% 1% 7% 2% 61% 39%
21 April 2023 Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll[165] 1,414 35% 38% 10% 7% — — 10% 55% 45%
25 March 2023 Labor wins a minority government at the state election
12-16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 35% 39% 11% 5% 1% 7% 2% 54.9% 45.1%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 41% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 57.5% 42.5%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 40% 10% 8% 2% 7% 2% 57.5% 42.5%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic — 33% 38% 12% 5% 3% 8% 2% 55.5% 45.5%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll[165] 1,817 35% 38% 11% 6% — — 10% 55% 45%
26-30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[122] — 32% 41% 10% 6% 1% 8% 2% 57.9% 42.1%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[123] — 32% 39% 12% 6% 3% 7% 2% 57.9% 42.1%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[125] — 29% 41% 9% 7% 3% 9% 3% 59.4% 40.6%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[129] — 29% 42% 11% 5% 2% 8% 3% 60.6% 39.4%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] — — — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.5% 33.4% 10% 4.8% 4% 7.6% 3.7% 51.4% 48.6%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales.

Victoria edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[165] 926 34% 33% 16% 5% — — 12% 55% 45%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll[165] 917 34% 34% 15% 5% — — 12% 55% 45%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 887 35% 36% 13% 4% — — 12% 54% 46%
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic[60] — 30% 39% 11% 2% 6% 8% 2%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic[68] — 32% 40% 13% 2% 3% 8% 2%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic[75] — 30% 38% 14% 1% 3% 10% 4%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[79] — 26% 42% 13% 2% 5% 9% 3%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[86] — 25% 40% 15% 3% 6% 7% 4% 62.2% 37.8%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[95] — 25% 48% 12% 1% 4% 7% 2% 65.7% 34.3%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll[165] 1,193 33% 41% 11% 4% — — 11% 58% 42%
12 - 16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 29% 43% 9% 1% 6% 8% 4% 59.4% 40.6%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 27% 40% 14% 3% 2% 11% 2% 61.5% 39.5%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 41% 13% 2% 3% 7% 4% 60% 40%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic — 27% 46% 11% 2% 2% 7% 5% 63.3% 36.7%
26 December 2022 Labor wins a third term at the state election
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll[165] 1,448 33% 37% 13% 5% — — 12% 57% 43%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[122] — 32% 39% 12% 2% 2% 11% 3% 57.6% 42.4%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[123] — 30% 40% 10% 5% 4% 9% 3% 59.6% 40.4%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[125] — 30% 38% 14% 3% 2% 8% 5% 59.9% 40.1%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[129] — 24% 42% 11% 3% 5% 10% 5% 63.6% 36.4%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] — — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 33.1% 32.9% 13.7% 4.7% 3.8% 6.5% 5.3% 54.8% 45.2%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria.

Queensland edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH LNP ALP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[165] 772 41% 29% 12% 7% — — 11% 53% 47%
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll[165] 764 41% 27% 12% 8% — — 12% 54% 46%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 887 39% 30% 11% 9% — — 11% 52% 48%
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic[60] — 34% 33% 11% 9% 1% 10% 1%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic[68] — 35% 29% 16% 9% 2% 7% 2%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic[75] — 40% 28% 9% 8% 2% 10% 3%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic[79] — 36% 33% 12% 6% 2% 10% 1%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic[86] — 31% 38% 10% 11% 2% 7% 1% 44.3% 55.7%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic[95] — 39% 27% 17% 7% 3% 6% 2% 50.9% 49.1%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll[165] 995 39% 33% 10% 8% — — 10% 50% 50%
12 - 16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 24% 39% 14% 6% 1% 14% 2% 40.3% 59.7%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 35% 39% 10% 9% 1% 0% 5% 46.7% 53.3%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 30% 38% 11% 9% 1% 8% 2% 42.5% 57.5%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[122] — 34% 43% 7% 6% 1% 6% 2% 44.9% 55.1%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll[165] 1,207 40% 33% 12% 6% — — 9% 51% 49%
26-30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[122] — 32% 36% 16% 4% 2% 6% 4% 44.4% 55.6%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[123] — 38% 31% 14% 6% 2% 7% 2% 49.8% 50.2%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[125] — 31% 42% 7% 10% 2% 7% 2% 43.4% 56.4%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[129] — 31% 37% 16% 6% 2% 6% 3% 42.5% 57.5%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] — — — — — — — — 50% 50%
21 May 2022 Election 39.6% 27.4% 12.9% 7.5% 5.1% 2.1% 5.4% 54% 46%
  1. ^ Resolve Strategic 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland.

Western Australia edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[165] 368 34% 39% 8% 6% — 13% — 49% 51%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll[165] 364 37% 37% 11% 5% — 10% — 54% 46%
6–13 December 2023 RedBridge[166] 1,203 39% 37% 12% 5% — 7% — 55.2% 44.8%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 620 38% 38% 10% 6% — 8% — 53% 47%
Mark McGowan stands down as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll[165] 474 40% 33% 11% 6% — 14% — 57% 43%
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll[165] 575 41% 33% 9% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] 144 — — — — — — — 50.5% 49.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.8% 34.8% 12.5% 4% 2.3% 9.6% — 55% 45%

South Australia edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll[165] 278 33% 35% 11% 10% — 11% — 54% 46%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll[165] 277 35% 38% 10% 6% — 11% — 55% 45%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 362 30% 40% 10% 11% — 9% — 57% 43%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll[165] 362 35% 38% 12% 5% — 10% — 56% 44%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll[165] 449 35% 40% 12% 6% — 7% — 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] 103 — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 35.54% 34.46% 12.77% 4.83% 3.89% 8.51% — 53.97% 46.03%

Tasmania edit

Graphical summary edit

Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling edit
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll[165] 366 25% 30% 13% 4% — — 27% 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan[134] — — — — — — — — 63% 37%
21 May 2022 Election 32.9% 27.3% 12% 4% 1.8% 11.2% 10.8% 54.3% 45.7%

Northern Territory edit

Graphical summary edit

Polling edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote[a]
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
16 - 18 November 2023 Redbridge Group[168] 601 22.2% 40.4% 11.1% 11.7% 7.2% 7.4% 43.9% 56.1%
21 May 2022 Election 38.2% 29.4% 13.1% 5.4% 1.3% 12.7% 55.5% 44.5%

Individual seat polling edit

Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.

New South Wales edit

Mackellar edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms[b] 602 ±3.85% 35.3% 30.4% 13.2% 5.8% 4.5% 10.8% 54.0% 46.0%
21 May 2022 Election 41.4% 38.1% 8.6% 6.1% 6.1% — 52.5% 47.5%

Wentworth edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms[b] 643 ±3.85% 35.5% 32.1% 13.1% 10.0% 2.9% 6.3% 57.0% 43.0%
21 May 2022 Election 40.5% 35.8% 10.7% 8.3% 4.6% — 54.2% 45.8%

Cook edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP GRN IND OTH LIB GRN ALP
28 March 2024 uComms[b] 914 ± 3.6% 53% — 17% 12% 10% 65% 35% —
21 May 2022 Election 55.3% 25.0% 9.9% — 9.8% 62.4% — 37.6%

Victoria edit

Kooyong edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms[b] 647 ±3.9% 36.8% 32.5% 12.1% 6.8% 2.0% 9.7% 56.0% 44.0%
24-25 July 2023 uComms[b] 821 ±3.4% 40.3% 31.6% 12.4% 5.6% 2.9% 7.2% 51.0% 49.0%
21 May 2022 Election 42.7% 40.3% 6.9% 6.3% 3.8% — 52.9% 47.1%

Dunkley edit

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN LBT OTH ALP LIB
15-22 February 2024 YouGov[169] 394 ± 6.1% 33% 40% 9% 3% 15% 49% 51%
5-6 February 2024 uComms[b] 626 ± 3.9% 40.1% 39.3% 8.2% 1.6% 10.8% 52.0% 48.0%
21 May 2022 Election 40.2% 32.5% 10.3% 2.5% 16.9% 56.3% 43.7%


See also edit

Notes edit

  1. ^ Some polling forms do not release two-party-preferred results. Results shown for polls conducted by these firms are manually calculated using preference flows in 2022.[167]
  2. ^ a b c d e f Sponsored by the Australia Institute

References edit

  1. ^ "Younger Australians are less willing to fight in "unnecessary" wars". YouGov Australia. 24 April 2024.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae "The Essential Report: Political Insights". Essential Research. Archived from the original on 22 April 2024. Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  3. ^ a b Crowe, David (21 April 2024). "Labor vote falls to new low as Australians buckle under cost-of-living pressure". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  4. ^ "ALP regains two-party preferred lead as Coalition loses ground: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 22 April 2024.
  5. ^ a b Benson, Simon (21 April 2024). "Newspoll: Voters back plan but no PM reward". The Australian.
  6. ^ a b "Labor resumes decline, marked down on key issues". Australian Financial Review. 2024-04-14. Retrieved 2024-04-14.
  7. ^ "Swing to Coalition continues as two-party preferred lead over ALP increases: L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%". Roy Morgan. 15 April 2024.
  8. ^ "Coalition takes two-party preferred lead over ALP after support for One Nation surges: L-NP 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 8 April 2024.
  9. ^ "ALP leads on two-party preferred support on the back of high Greens primary vote: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 2 April 2024.
  10. ^ a b "A quarter of Australians say celebrating Jesus is the most important part of Easter". YouGov Australia. 28 March 2024.
  11. ^ a b Crowe, David (25 March 2024). "PM's personal rating slips as frustration with major parties grows". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  12. ^ "Federal voting intention: Support for the ALP and L-NP Coalition is even in late March – ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%". Roy Morgan. 25 March 2024.
  13. ^ a b Benson, Simon (24 March 2024). "Newspoll: Labor on slide as new year reset fades". The Australian. Retrieved 24 March 2024.
  14. ^ "Federal voting intention unchanged in mid-March ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 18 March 2024.
  15. ^ a b Coorey, Phillip (11 March 2024). "PM shows signs of recovery as Labor 'stops the rot'". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 11 March 2024.
  16. ^ "ALP support drops after Dunkley by-election: ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%". Roy Morgan. 12 March 2024.
  17. ^ a b "86% of Australians support the "right to disconnect"". YouGov Australia. 8 March 2024.
  18. ^ "ALP increases lead Federally as the Albanese Government easily wins the Dunkley by-election". Roy Morgan. 4 March 2024.
  19. ^ "ALP and Coalition can't be split Federally as parties contest Dunkley by-election: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%". Roy Morgan. 26 February 2024.
  20. ^ a b Crowe, David (25 February 2024). "Coalition takes primary vote lead in RPM poll for first time since election". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  21. ^ a b Benson, Simon (25 February 2024). "Newspoll: Tax cuts fail to lift PM's fortunes". The Australian. Retrieved 25 February 2024.
  22. ^ Coorey, Phillip (19 February 2024). "Labor unscathed but unrewarded for tax U-turn". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 19 February 2024.
  23. ^ "ALP maintains an election winning lead in mid-February as parties set to contest Dunkley by-election: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%". Roy Morgan. 19 February 2024.
  24. ^ "ALP maintains an election winning lead over the Coalition in mid-February: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan. 12 February 2024.
  25. ^ a b "69% of Australian voters favour the changes to the stage 3 tax cut proposal". YouGov Australia. 8 February 2024.
  26. ^ "Federal vote intention and public opinion 30 January to 7 February, 2024" (PDF). RedBridge Group. Retrieved 12 February 2024.
  27. ^ "ALP support jumps back strongly (up 2.5%) after detail of Stage 3 tax cuts is revealed: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%". Roy Morgan. 5 February 2024.
  28. ^ a b Benson, Simon (4 February 2024). "Newspoll: no tax bounce from voters for PM". The Australian. Retrieved 4 February 2024.
  29. ^ "ALP support plunges 2% after breaking promise on Stage 3 tax cuts: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%". Roy Morgan. 29 January 2024.
  30. ^ "Roy Morgan's latest Federal voting intention poll shows ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5% in election winning lead". Roy Morgan. 22 January 2024.
  31. ^ a b "Latest YouGov poll: Labor's support rises by 1%, to 52%, two party preferred vote". YouGov Australia. 19 January 2024.
  32. ^ "Roy Morgan's latest Federal voting intention poll shows ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5% after inflation drops to two-year low of 4.3%". Roy Morgan. 15 January 2024.
  33. ^ a b "Freshwater Strategy: 50-50 (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2024-01-14.
  34. ^ a b "Shock new poll: Australian voters say Anthony Albanese is 'no help' with cost of living". Courier-Mail. January 14, 2024.
  35. ^ a b "Sunday Telegraph / Freshwater Strategy Federal Poll Insights – January 2024". Freshwater Strategy. 16 January 2024. Archived from the original on 13 February 2024. Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  36. ^ "Roy Morgan's latest Federal voting intention poll shows L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%". 8 January 2024. Retrieved 8 January 2024.
  37. ^ a b Coorey, Phillip (17 December 2023). "Labor loses lead, PM's ratings slump: poll". Australian Financial Review. Retrieved 17 December 2023.
  38. ^ "Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll shows two major parties 'dead-locked' at Christmas: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%" (PDF). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 19 December 2023.
  39. ^ a b Benson, Simon (17 December 2023). "Newspoll: Anthony Albanese a drag on Labor's recovery". The Australian. Retrieved 17 December 2023.
  40. ^ "Federal vote intention and public opinion 6 to 11 December, 2023" (PDF). RedBridge Group. Retrieved 18 December 2023.
  41. ^ a b "Latest YouGov poll: Labor's primary vote is the lowest since 1901". YouGov Australia. 8 December 2023.
  42. ^ a b "YouGov: 51-49 to Labor (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 8 December 2023.
  43. ^ a b Crowe, David (4 December 2023). "How Peter Dutton is winning the border wars against Anthony Albanese". The Sydney Morning Herald.
  44. ^ Bowe, William (4 December 2023). "Resolve Strategic: Labor 35, Coalition 34, Greens 12 (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 4 December 2023. Retrieved 4 December 2023.
  45. ^ "Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support increasing for both major parties as two-party preferred result narrows: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%". Roy Morgan. 4 December 2023.
  46. ^ "Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support for the ALP recovering – up 3% points: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%". Roy Morgan. 28 November 2023.
  47. ^ a b Benson, Simon (26 November 2023). "Newspoll: Voters abandon Anthony Albanese as Labor's fortunes nosedive". The Australian. Retrieved 26 November 2023.
  48. ^ "Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows third straight weekly decline for the ALP Government: ALP 49.5% cf. L-NP 50.5%". Roy Morgan. 20 November 2023. Retrieved 20 November 2023.
  49. ^ a b "Latest YouGov poll: Labor narrowly leads the Coalition by 51% to 49%". YouGov Australia. 17 November 2023. Retrieved 17 November 2023.
  50. ^ "Roy Morgan Update November 14, 2023: ALP Support drops to 50%, Consumer Confidence down, Government Confidence slumps & Middle East Conflict". Roy Morgan. 14 November 2023. Retrieved 17 November 2023.
  51. ^ a b Crowe, David (13 November 2023). "Voters cut support for Labor as cost-of-living concerns mount". The Age.
  52. ^ a b Benson, Simon (5 November 2023). "Coalition leading on primary vote as Dutton closes in on Albanese". The Australian. Retrieved 5 November 2023.
  53. ^ "Federal vote intention 27 October to 2 November, 2023" (PDF). 5 November 2023. Retrieved 18 December 2023.
  54. ^ Bowe, William (1 November 2023). "Essential Research 2PP+: Labor 48, Coalition 46". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 1 November 2023.
  55. ^ "ALP support plunges after the defeat of 'The Voice' Referendum: ALP 49.5% (down 4.5%) cf. L-NP Coalition 50.5% (up 4.5%)". Roy Morgan. 23 October 2023. Retrieved 23 October 2023.
  56. ^ a b Benson, Simon (13 October 2023). "Voice referendum Newspoll: Late swing for Yes campaign but nation poised to say No". The Australian. Retrieved 13 October 2023.
  57. ^ a b "Final YouGov Voice referendum poll: No increases lead to 18 points". YouGov Australia. 12 October 2023. Retrieved 13 October 2023.
  58. ^ a b Benson, Simon (8 October 2023). "Labor's stocks fall as support for the Indigenous voice hits new low". The Australian. Retrieved 8 October 2023.
  59. ^ a b Bowe, William (8 October 2023). "Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 8 October 2023. Retrieved 8 October 2023.
  60. ^ a b c d e Crowe, David (9 October 2023). "Would defeat for the Voice be the end for Albanese? Not on these numbers". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 9 October 2023.
  61. ^ a b Bowe, William (10 October 2023). "Resolve Strategic: Labor 37, Coalition 31, Greens 12 (open thread)". Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 10 October 2023. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
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