United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2018

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  John Barrasso official portrait 112th Congress.jpg Gary Trauner at Campbell County League of Women Voters' General Election Candidates' Forum in Gillette, Wyoming (1).jpg
Nominee John Barrasso Gary Trauner
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 136,210 61,227
Percentage 67.0% 30.1%

Wyoming Senate Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County results
Barrasso:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Trauner:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Senator before election

John Barrasso
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Barrasso
Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 6, 2018 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wyoming. The primary election took place August 21, 2018.[1] Although Republican John Barrasso won reelection with a super-majority of 67% percent, this was still the smallest voting margin of his U.S. Senate career and the closest a Democrat got to winning a seat since the 1996 election.

Background

In 2012, incumbent John Barrasso (R) was re-elected with 76% of the vote. Due in large part to Wyoming’s low population and rural setting, it is considered the most Republican state in the nation. It has not voted for a Democratic senate candidate since 1970. In 2008, John McCain won the state with 64%. Mitt Romney won it in 2012 with 68% of the vote, and Donald Trump won it in 2016 with 67% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Declared

Declined

Withdrawn

  • Charlie Hardy, Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014 and candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in 2016[3] (endorsed Dave Dodson)

Results

Results by county:
  Barrasso—70–80%
  Barrasso—60–70%
  Barrasso—50–60%
  Dodson—40–50%
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 74,292 62.9
Republican Dave Dodson 32,647 27.6
n/a Under votes 3,302 2.8
Republican John Holtz 2,981 2.5
Republican Charlie Hardy (withdrawn) 2,377 2.0
Republican Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 1,280 1.1
Republican Anthony Van Risseghem 870 0.7
Republican Write-ins 267 0.2
n/a Over votes 85 0.0
Total votes 118,101 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Trauner—100%
  Trauner—>90%
Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gary Trauner 17,562 90.2
n/a Under votes 1,710 8.8
Democratic Write-ins 195 1.0
n/a Over votes 7 0.0
Total votes 19,474 100.0

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R September 29, 2017
Inside Elections[14] Solid R September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R September 27, 2017
Fox News[16] Likely R^ July 9, 2018
CNN[17] Safe R July 12, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John
Barrasso (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
Joseph
Porambo (L)
Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 858 60% 31% 6%

Endorsements

John Barrasso (R)

Executive branch officials

Gary Trauner (D)
Organizations

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2018[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 136,210 66.96% -8.70%
Democratic Gary Trauner 61,227 30.10% +8.45%
Libertarian Joseph Porambo 5,658 2.78% N/A
n/a Write-ins 325 0.16% -0.01%
Total votes 203,420 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References

  1. ^ https://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/2018/2018_Key_Election_Dates.pdf
  2. ^ "Barrasso says he's ready to take on possible primary challenges". wyomingnews.com. 2017-10-11. Retrieved 2018-04-04.
  3. ^ a b c d e "2018 Primary Election Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 1, 2018.
  4. ^ "Former Presidential Candidate Files In Wyoming U.S. Senate Race". KGAB AM 650. Retrieved 26 August 2018.
  5. ^ Costa, Robert (October 9, 2017). "GOP megadonor Foster Friess exploring a run for U.S. Senate in Wyoming". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 9, 2017.
  6. ^ "GOP megadonor Friess to run for Wyoming governor". Politico. April 20, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
  7. ^ Peters, Jeremy W.; Haberman, Maggie; Thrush, Glenn (October 8, 2017). "Erik Prince, Blackwater Founder, Weighs Primary Challenge to Wyoming Republican". The New York Times. Retrieved October 9, 2017.
  8. ^ a b Statewide Candidates Official Summary
  9. ^ "Democrat Gary Trauner Announces Bid for Wyoming U.S. Senate". U.S. News & World Report. December 8, 2017. Retrieved December 8, 2017.
  10. ^ Funk, Joel (August 27, 2017). "Former Wyoming lawmaker Mary Throne announces bid for governor". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved August 27, 2017.
  11. ^ Greenwald, Joy (August 25, 2017). "Throne Launches Campaign for Wyoming Governor". KGAB. Retrieved August 27, 2017.
  12. ^ "Wealthy independent enters Wyoming US Senate race". usnews.com. Retrieved 26 August 2018.
  13. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  14. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  15. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  16. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  17. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  18. ^ Arno Rosenfeld. "Trump is backing Barrasso ahead of a reelection campaign. Will that matter?". trib.com. Retrieved 26 August 2018.
  19. ^ "End Citizens United Endorses Gary Trauner for U.S. Senate in Wyoming". End Citizens United. March 1, 2018. Retrieved March 14, 2018.
  20. ^ https://soswy.state.wy.us/Elections/Docs/2018/Results/General/2018_Wyoming_General_Election_Results.pdf

External links

Official campaign websites
  • John Barrasso (R) for Senate
  • Gary Trauner (D) for Senate