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2018 Arizona Secretary of State election

Summary

The 2018 Arizona Secretary of State election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2018 Arizona Secretary of State election
← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
Turnout62.77% Increase [1]
 
Nominee Katie Hobbs Steve Gaynor
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,176,384 1,156,132
Percentage 50.4% 49.6%
Hobbs:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gaynor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data
Secretary of State before election

Michele Reagan
Republican

Elected Secretary of State

Katie Hobbs
Democratic

Incumbent Michele Reagan was first elected in 2014 and ran for re-election. She was defeated in the Republican primary by Steve Gaynor. State senator Katie Hobbs defeated Gaynor in the general election by a small margin, becoming the first Democratic Secretary of State since Richard Mahoney was elected in 1990.

The race was rated "Likely Republican" by Governing.com,[2] but this did not come to fruition as Katie Hobbs pulled off an upset win which, alongside Democrats' victory in the concurrent Senate election, established Arizona's role as a key battleground state.

Republican primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Eliminated in primary edit

Declined edit

Results edit

 
Results by county:
  Gaynor—50–60%
  Gaynor—60–70%
  Gaynor—70–80%
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Gaynor 414,332 66.69%
Republican Michele Reagan (incumbent) 206,988 33.31%
Total votes 621,320 100.0%

Democratic primary edit

Candidates edit

Nominee edit

Not on the ballot edit

Withdrew edit

Results edit

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Katie Hobbs 465,668 100.0%
Total votes 465,668 100.0%

General election edit

Predictions edit

Source Ranking As of
Governing[17] Likely R June 4, 2018

Polling edit

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Gaynor (R) 		Katie
Hobbs (D) 		Other Undecided
Data Orbital (R) October 1–3, 2018 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 31% 3% 24%
OH Predictive Insights October 1–2, 2018 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 36% – 14%
Gravis Marketing September 5–7, 2018 882 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 40% – 15%
OH Predictive Insights September 5–6, 2018 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 39% – 19%

Results edit

Arizona Secretary of State election, 2018[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 1,176,384 50.43% +2.65%
Republican Steve Gaynor 1,156,132 49.56% -2.66%
Write-in 169 0.01% N/A
Total votes 2,332,685 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican

By county edit

County[1] Katie Hobbs
Democratic 		Steve Gaynor
Republican 		Others Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Apache 17,029 68.33 7,889 31.65 4 0.02 9,140 36.68 24,922
Cochise 18,721 41.66 26,204 58.31 17 0.04 -7,483 -16.65 44,942
Coconino 34,120 63.21 19,851 36.78 8 0.01 14,269 26.43 53,979
Gila 7,524 37.01 12,804 62.98 2 0.01 -5,280 -25.97 20,330
Graham 3,476 32.99 7,061 67.01 0 0.00 -3,585 -34.02 10,537
Greenlee 1,084 43.00 1,437 57.00 0 0.00 -353 -14.00 2,531
La Paz 1,608 32.06 3,408 67.94 0 0.00 -1,800 -35.88 5,016
Maricopa 713,045 50.72 692,690 49.27 85 0.01 20,355 1.45 1,405,735
Mohave 18,775 26.56 51,900 73.43 5 0.01 -33,125 -46.87 70,675
Navajo 16,930 47.06 19,040 52.93 3 0.01 -2,110 -5.87 35,970
Pima 226,034 59.24 155,501 40.75 23 0.01 70,533 18.49 381,535
Pinal 49,756 42.90 66,211 57.09 7 0.01 -16,455 -14.19 115,967
Santa Cruz 9,497 71.81 3,729 28.19 0 0.00 5,768 43.62 13,226
Yavapai 38,259 36.66 66,088 63.33 13 0.01 -27,829 -26.67 104,347
Yuma 20,526 47.91 22,319 52.09 2 0.00 -1,793 -4.18 42,845

References edit

  1. ^ a b c "2018 General Election" (PDF). results.arizona.vote. November 6, 2018. Retrieved March 30, 2021.
  2. ^ "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". June 2018.
  3. ^ "Millionaire jumps into race to challenge Michele Reagan for Arizona secretary of state".
  4. ^ "Could dark-horse candidate be Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan's biggest threat? - Rose Law Group Reporter". December 25, 2017.
  5. ^ "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote.
  6. ^ "Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan to see 2018 primary challenge". Archived from the original on March 31, 2017. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  7. ^ "Sen. Steve Montenegro jumps into race for Arizona secretary of state".
  8. ^ "Crowded race to replace Rep. Trent Franks reshapes state's political landscape".
  9. ^ a b "2018 Primary Election - August 28, 2018 - Official Canvass of Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State.
  10. ^ "Democratic state Sen. Katie Hobbs will seek to unseat Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan".
  11. ^ "Hobbs Announces She'll Run for Arizona Secretary of State | Arizona News | US News". Archived from the original on December 13, 2017. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  12. ^ "Leslie Pico for AZ Secretary of State 2018 - Take Action". electleslie.com. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  13. ^ "Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star. Archived from the original on July 2, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  14. ^ "Mark Robert Gordon for Secretary of State". www.facebook.com.
  15. ^ "Arizona native, lawyer Mark Robert Gordon to run for secretary of state". September 29, 2017.
  16. ^ "Unity, For The Greater Good". June 19, 2018.
  17. ^ Jacobson, Louis (June 4, 2018). "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". Governing. Retrieved September 22, 2019.

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