How to Predict Confirmation Chances of Your Waitlist Ticket?


When booking your ticket, you might get a waitlist train ticket (WL) which means that the ticket has been booked but not assigned any seat or berth. Tickets on the waiting list can be confirmed before the train leaves, depending on how many confirmed tickets are cancelled, or an additional coach is added. PNR Prediction is a helpful feature for train passengers in predicting the confirmation of your waitlisted tickets.

To check the current IRCTC PNR status of your Waitlist Ticket, you can use RailMitra's PNR status feature. The 10-digit PNR number is used to predict confirmation chances of your waitlist ticket. With its AI-based predictability software, RailMitra enables you to get a 99% accurate prediction of the confirmation chance of your tickets.

PNR Prediction and Confirmation Probability

PNR Prediction helps you to predict the probability of getting confirmed tickets. Data analytics and machine learning techniques are used to make predictions. The PNR Confirmation Probability depends on past booking and cancellation patterns, class of travel, quotas, seasonality, holidays, days of the week, and other factors.

During peak seasons such as Holi, Durga Puja, Diwali, Chhath, and other festivals, waiting list PNR status has a very low chance of being confirmed. This is because a large number of passengers return to their hometowns.

When checking the confirmation probability, if confirmation chances are low, it is advisable to search for an alternate train.

What is the PNR number?

PNR number is a unique ten-digit number allotted to every train tickets. It stores basic details about passengers such as their name, age, gender, date of birth, along with their journey details including the source station, destination station, date of journey, seat number, coach number, berth preference if any, quota, class of travel, and payment mode.

PNR number is used to get updates about the PNR current status. Also, it is an important number for making the PNR prediction or confirmation chances of your waitlist or RAC tickets.

Alternatively, with a PNR number, you can even know whether a reservation chart is prepared or not.

PNR Confirmation Probability of Different Waitlist Tickets


While checking PNR prediction, you may come across some terms mentioned below to display seat prediction:

GNWL (General Waiting List): Confirmation chances is Highest.
RLWL (Remote Location Waiting List): Confirmation chances is Less
PQWL (Pooled Quota Waiting List): Confirmation chances are Less, and quota is shared between many stations
CKWL (Tatkal Waiting List): GNWL tickets are privileged over Tatkal tickets, so Confirmation chances of CKWL are Low compared to GNWL
RQWL (Request Waiting List): Confirmation chances is Less
RSWL (Roadside Station Waiting List): Confirmation chances is Less
RLGN (Remote Location General Waiting List): Confirmation chances is Less

IRCTC PNR Status Abbreviations

You might wonder what does the Abbreviations in the PNR status page mean? Here’s a list of some abbreviated terms that you see while checking the PNR prediction status of your booked ticket:

CNF: It means that your ticket is confirmed.
RAC: Reservation Against Cancellation (RAC) means that you are likely to get a reservation if anyone cancels a ticket. A RAC ticket entitles you to a get half-berth on the train.
WL: It means you have a Waiting List ticket. You are not permitted to board the train if your IRCTC PNR status remains WL after chart preparation. There are other types of waiting lists which include GNWL (General Waitlist), TQWL (Tatkal Waitlist), PQWL (Pooled Quota Waitlist), RLWL (Remote Location Waitlist), and NOSB (No Seat Berth).
CAN: It means that the ticket is cancelled.

PNR Confirmation Prediction After Chart Preparation


Although waitlists are cleared on a continuous and automatic basis, a major re-allotment of tickets happens four hours before departure during chart preparation. This is when you'll know whether your ticket is confirmed or not. When the chart is prepared, and the quotas are not filled, then the vacant seats are released to the general passenger on the waitlist.

A final chart preparation is done before 30 minutes of the train departure time, and there may be changes in the PNR status due to last-minute cancellations at this time, resulting in confirmation of some waitlist and RAC tickets. If your e-ticket remains waitlisted after chart preparation, it will automatically get cancelled, and your money will be refunded.

The Importance of Quotas To Get Confirmed Ticket

In Indian Railways, quotas play an important role in ticket confirmation. There are different types of waitlisted tickets based on quotas for specific locations. Based on the priority given by the Indian Railways PNR, prediction of the waitlist tickets can be made in the following ways:

1. GNWL or General Waitlist are for passengers departing from the station of origin or a nearby station. It has more seats, and therefore the chance of confirmation is high.

2. RLWL or Remote Location Wait List are for stations along the route. Fewer seats are allotted under this quota, resulting in less chance of getting a confirmed ticket than the General Waitlist.

3. PQWL or Pooled Quota Wait List covers small stations that are not under general or remote location quotas. PQWL has among the least chances of confirmation and doesn't have a Reservation Against Cancellation facility.

In addition, different quotas have been reserved for particular individuals on Indian Railways trains. The list includes the lady’s quota, senior citizens quota, foreign tourists’ quota, the physically handicapped quota, and the military quota. In railways, quotas may take up a significant number of seats. But they do not exist on all trains.

How to Predict Confirmation Chances (PNR Prediction) With the RailMitra App?


You can make PNR Prediction with RailMitra PNR Status Checker App. Enter your IRCTC PNR number to get the result about confirmation chances of your waiting ticket. The proper information about the likelihood of getting a seat on the train will assist you in planning a journey hassle-free.

Furthermore, whenever you feel hungry while travelling, you can order food in train to add spark to your journey with tasty dishes.

Want to predict the PNR status of any tickets? Visit RailMitra, which is your best companion for train travels.


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